3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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21724 E Roundup Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$629,995

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,510 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6708033

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Step into Light Sky Ranch and experience the allure of the Dominic plan. This single-level residence spans 2510 square feet and presents an inviting layout ideal for entertaining. The focal point of the home is its expansive great room, seamlessly connected to a sunlit kitchen featuring a central island, dual walk-in pantries, and a welcoming breakfast nook that extends to the covered patio. Retreat to the luxurious primary suite boasting a generous walk-in closet and an attached bath with double sinks and an elegant shower. With two additional bedrooms, a teen room, two and a half baths, and a dedicated study, this home offers ample space for privacy and relaxation. Outside, a single-car garage and a 2-car garage provide abundant storage for vehicles and outdoor equipment. Enhanced with amenities such as a tankless water heater for efficiency and a charming paver driveway, this residence effortlessly blends convenience with sophistication.

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6782 W Firebird Drive Glendale, AZ 85308

$629,995

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,125 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6783697

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Nestled in the highly sought-after community of Arrowhead Ranch, this beautiful 4 bedroom 3 bath +Den home stands as a true masterpiece of craftsmanship and design. Every inch of the property has been meticulously maintained, showcasing an elegant balance of style and function. Eye-catching custom woodwork graces the interior, from intricate design to handcrafted cabinetry, adding warmth and sophistication to every room. The spacious open floor plan invites natural light to pour in, enhancing the home's inviting ambiance. Outside, the manicured landscaping and peaceful surroundings offer a serene escape while still being close to all the amenities that the Arrowhead area has to offer. **Please check documents tab for the list of upgrades as well as the Home floor-plan. **

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24006 N 171st Drive Surprise, AZ 85387

$629,995

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,844 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6678786

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome Home! Darius plan provides a sophisticated and accommodating plan for livability that checks all the boxes on your wish list. In addition to a lavish owner's suite—with a roomy walk-in closet and attached double-sink bath—this home includes a second owner's suite with an adjacent living room, perfect for multi-generational living. You'll also enjoy a 3-car garage, a study, a great room with a covered patio featuring a multi slide door to bring the outdoor living indoors. Inviting gourmet kitchen with a generous island, dining nook for all entertaining gatherings! Airy 10 ft ceilings ,desired jack and jill bathrooms and so much more! This is a must see!

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21816 E Saddle Court Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$629,995

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,500 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6708893

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

The single-story Cassandra plan showcases an open layout with a multi-sliding glass door in the great room, cozy breakfast nook, a large gourmet kitchen and a 2-car garage. The primary suite is adjacent, and boasts a generous walk-in closet and an attached bath with a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms flank a full bath, and the nearby study.

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21970 E Stirrup Court Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$629,995

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,500 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6709030

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

The single-story Cassandra plan showcases an open layout with a multi-sliding glass door in the great room, cozy breakfast nook, a large gourmet kitchen and a 2-car garage. The primary suite is adjacent, and boasts a generous walk-in closet and an attached bath with a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms flank a full bath, and the nearby study.

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21881 E Saddle Court Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$629,995

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,500 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6731553

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

The single-story Cassandra plan showcases an open layout with a great room with a multi-sliding glass door, a breakfast nook, a large gourmet kitchen and a 2-car garage. The primary suite is adjacent, and boasts a generous walk-in closet and an attached bath with a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms flank a full bath, and the nearby study.

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23997 N 172nd Avenue Surprise, AZ 85387

$629,995

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,734 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6732038

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to Estates at Asante, a beautiful community with surrounding views to enjoy! This community offers single story homes with floor plans you will love, like our beautiful Julia plan! This home sits on an oversized, cul de sac, corner lot with mountain views. Once you walk inside the Julia, the extended entry leads to an expansive gourmet kitchen with an extended Quartz center island and 42'' cabinets; a large Butlers Pantry with a wetbar, breakfast nook and great room with a 15ft center meet slider, for indoor and outdoor entertaining. In addition, there is a formal dining room with adjacent covered courtyard off to the side of the home accessible by the center meet doors! This home is set up with 3 bedrooms, 2 and half bathrooms, 3 car garage with additional storage. Welcome to the home of your dreams!

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25388 N 76th Drive Peoria, AZ 85383

$629,990

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,150 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6704857

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Brand new community in North Peoria! This stunning single story home offers 2,150 sq ft of functional living space. It features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, den, and a 3 car tandem garage. The open concept kitchen is perfect for entertaining and features a large Island, walk-in pantry and stainless steel appliances. It also offers our Coastal Design Palette which includes Fairview White Painted 42'' Cabinets, Crisp Stria Quartz kitchen countertops, Zelige Cielo 4x4 kitchen backsplash, and 6x36 wood looking plank tile in all the common areas. The great room offers a 4 panel center sliding glass door so you can step out into your covered patio to enjoy indoor/outdoor living in your backyard with friends and family. Great location close to dining, freeways, parks, and entertainment!

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22884 E Lords Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$629,990

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,111 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6726730

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Step into this delightful quick move-in home, featuring our Daisy floorplan with 3111 sqft, boasting 4 bedrooms, a den, a loft, and 3.5 bathrooms. The Daisy floorplan offers a spacious kitchen with a large island, pantry, and expansive dining and great room areas, perfect for entertaining guests or enjoying quality family time. Embrace the elegance of our fine finishes, featuring 6 x 24 plank tile floors in the main living areas, plush carpeting in the bedrooms, stylish 42'''' gray shaker upper cabinets with sleek Black Bronze hardware, and stunning quartz kitchen countertops paired with a white 4 x 16 tile backsplash. The kitchen comes fully equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, and white washer and dryer. Additionally, the kitchen is pre-wired for pendant lighting, allowing for easy customization, and features a painted grade mission railing and soft water loop. This home is truly a gem, with 8' doors throughout, a 4-panel slider in the great room, and a mission stair railing adding to its allure. It's just waiting for your personal touch to make it complete. Don't let this opportunity pass you by! Begin your journey to owning your dream home at Madera!

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11506 E Utah Avenue Mesa, AZ 85212

$629,990

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,615 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6728747

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to the Garnet at Destination at Gateway in Mesa, Arizona. This stunning single-story home boasts 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and a den. With 10-foot ceilings and 8-foot doors, the space feels open and inviting. The gourmet kitchen features GE stainless steel appliances, a 36-inch gas cooktop, built-in wall oven and microwave, shaker cabinets with hardware, quartz countertops, and a tile backsplash. Enjoy 6x36'' wood-look tile in the main areas and upgraded carpet elsewhere. A 4-panel sliding glass door connects the great room to a covered patio. The primary bathroom includes a separate shower, soaking tub, dual sinks, and vanity. Bathrooms have upgraded vanity lighting with matte black faucets and fixtures.

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23043 E Lords Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$629,990

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,568 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6757137

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Brand new phase!. Our beautiful Juniper plan is conveniently located to all that Queen Creek has to offer. Minutes from the brand new Costco, Schnepf Farms, Queen Creek Market Place and the Queen Creek Olive Mill. A public report is available on the Arizona Department of Real Estate website.

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2434 W Rowel Road Phoenix, AZ 85085

Open House

$629,990

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

1,964 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6755330

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to your NEW HOME at Aster in Union Park! This home offers 1,964 sq ft of living space with 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. The primary bedroom has dual walk-in closets and a private deck. The Design features are the Elevated A package of upgrades including 42'' flagstone cabinets, quartz countertop, custom backsplash, large island, stainless steel gas range and tile flooring. HOA includes Union Park Amenities, front yard landscaping & maintenance along with concierge trash pickup. Union Park residents will enjoy the abundance of amenities that include, resort styled pool and lounge areas, a 5800 sq ft clubhouse, pickleball courts, basketball courts, 11 parks, playgrounds and walking paths. Easy access to 3 freeways within 10 minutes and 25 minutes to Airport.

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