What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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17775 E Veit Springs Drive Rio Verde, AZ 85263

$1,375,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,681 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6760283

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Absolutely stunning newly built SHEA HOMES property with endless on-trend features located in the 55+ gated Trilogy at Verde River community. This massive 9567 sqft golf course lot has breathtaking mountain views of Four Peaks and no rear neighbor for optimal privacy. As you approach you are greeted by a relaxing private courtyard with a charming stacked stone fireplace. The chef's kitchen has a formal eat-in area and boasts custom cabinetry, stainless appliances, granite counters, large island with breakfast bar, backsplash, wine fridge, R/O system, and a gas cooktop with hood. Relax in the spacious great room with oversized sliding doors to create the perfect indoor/outdoor space for entertaining. The luxurious master suite has a private patio slider, large walk-in closet, and a full bathroom with dual sinks and a walk-in shower with glass enclosure. Other features include Smart Home technology, gas water heater, home office den, owned water softener, laundry space with built-in desk, 3 car garage, and an underground 250 gal propane tank. Utilize the separate guest casita as the perfect spot for hosting family or friends. The resort style backyard has a sparkling heated pool and spa, wrought iron view fence, faux grass lawn, raised fire pit seating area, and a large covered patio with a custom heater, privacy screen, mounted TV, and a full BBQ kitchen area. Don't miss out on this perfect property that has everything today's market seeks!

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7055 E Brilliant Sky Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85266

$1,375,000

3 Beds

3 Baths

1,687 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6748816

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This gorgeous Novus plan has been completely transformed by the talented crew at Scottsdale Investment Props. All new everything from the cabinets to the floors & counters this split plan great room home has high flat ceilings w/large pocket door for indoor/outdoor living AND detached casita. Located on a south facing lot backing open space & a quick walk to the club makes this an ideal location far from any busy streets. Finishes are top notch including engineered hardwood & tile floors, raised panel 42'' cabinets w/hardware, satin plumbing fixtures, quartz counters, custom gas fireplace w/large format tile surrounds, ceiling fans, LED lighting throughout, ss appliances, etc. Back yard features covered patio, fire pit, b-in bbq, & tiled decking w/low maintenance landscaping.

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14810 E Valley Vista Drive Fountain Hills, AZ 85268

Open House

$1,375,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,742 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6783943

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

New Build from the Ground Up! This single-story new build home will be starting construction in Summer 2024 and be completed for move in Fall 2025. This open floorplan showcases the protected easement behind the home with 8' windows and 12' ceilings. Amazing canyon views! Select your finishes and build your dream home now.

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2190 E Nolan Place Chandler, AZ 85249

$1,371,587

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,610 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6755382

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Quick Move-in Ready Home! McKinley Glenn is an intimate gated enclave of luxury single-level homes offering modern home designs by Cachet Homes. This Aspire Plan 1 is situated on a North/South lot and features 3,610 SF, 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, a 4-car garage, den, and an open-concept kitchen with two large islands and quartz countertops. Additional upgrades include desert front yard landscaping, Shaker Maple painted and stained cabinets, luxury vinyl plank wood look floors, and more!

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20478 E Marsh Road Queen Creek, AZ 85142

Open House

$1,370,995

5 Beds

4.5 Baths

4,004 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6766178

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Spectacular open floor plan with attached casita! An oversized pantry and expansive kitchen island create an entertainer's paradise! The soaring ceilings in the kitchen and great room are open and airy, taking you right out to your generous back yard through stacking multi-slide doors! This large North-South home site is perfect to capture the coveted Arizona indoor/outdoor lifestyle!

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915 W Ardmore Road Unit 11 Phoenix, AZ 85041

$1,370,000

4 Beds

4 Baths

2,870 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6783771

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

The model most aligned to the traditional farmhouse, the Joplin offers a uniquely intimate space that divides naturally into two wings. Three garage bays Formal front porch 3-5 Bedrooms Gen suite option available Master backyard available Large attic available

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2304 E Blue Bell Circle Payson, AZ 85541

$1,370,000

4 Beds

4 Baths

3,842 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6744402

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

*Please view the video tour, 3D walk-though tour and documents to see all this home has to offer* Welcome to your dream home in the beautiful guard gated community of Chaparral Pines Golf Country Club. This stunning residence exudes luxury, function and comfort, offering an impressive array of updates and features that cater to your every need. As you enter the main level, you are welcomed into a spacious and open living area. The living room, dining room, and kitchen are thoughtfully connected, creating a harmonious flow that is perfect for entertaining. The natural light floods in through windows with cellular shades, highlighting the elegance of the gas fireplace and creating a warm, welcoming atmosphere. The primary suite on the main level is a true sanctuary with its expansive seating area, sliding door access to the deck, and walk-in closet. The en-suite bathroom featuring a large shower with dual shower heads and body jets, a built-in tub, dual vanities with a makeup area and ample linen storage. On the opposite side of the main floor, a guest room offers privacy and comfort, complete with direct access to a bathroom that also serves the hall and access to the deck. The laundry room is designed for convenience with a utility sink, countertop space and storage, leading directly to the 2-car garage, golf cart garage and workshop, all with epoxy flooring. Venture to the lower level to discover a spacious setup, perfect for guests, extended family and entertaining. This level features a comfortable guest room with direct access to a bathroom also acting as guest bathroom and an oversized guest suite with an ensuite bathroom plus generous seating area. The office is thoughtfully equipped with two built-in desks, functional storage including a closet making it ideal for working from home. The kitchenette, with a fridge/freezer, dishwasher, sink, and microwave, provides everything you need for relaxed living. A sliding door opens to the patio, where an above-ground spa invites you to unwind. Situated on a large corner lot between two cul-de-sacs, this home offers views of the mountains and the golf course from the upper deck. Please view documents tab for a list of all improvements and additional information. This exceptional home in Chaparral Pines is more than just a place to live; it's a lifestyle. Experience the elegance, comfort, and community this remarkable property offers. Don't miss the opportunity to make it yours! *Owner had a pre-listing inspection completed and are happy to provide that information.

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13736 E Wethersfield Road Scottsdale, AZ 85259

Open House

$1,370,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,782 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6767393

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to luxury living in Scottsdale Mountain! This open concept floor plan is updated with high end finishes through out each room. The home's natural light shines in every window allowing for breathtaking mountains views to be soaked in daily with each of Arizona's famous sunrises. Complete with a chef's kitchen, huge waterfall island, Bosch and Viking appliances, this space allows you to create and entertain family and friends! The kitchen and living spaces flow seamlessly to the homes expansive covered outdoor patio to allow for more indoor/outdoor living. Outside features include a built in BBQ, oversized pool with two waterfalls and a poolside fire feature! The primary bedroom is very spacious offering a spa-like bathroom, soaking tub and more! The secondary bedrooms the flexibility to fit your needs. I'd love you show you around! Thank you for your interest!

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4281 Leaf Spring Drive Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$1,360,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,767 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6743738

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This exquisite Shea Latigo residence, located on the golf course, offers breathtaking views of Vulture Peak and the Weaver Mountains. Nestled on a large cul-de-sac lot adjacent to common areas, this home provides both privacy and picturesque scenery. You'll be captivated by the oversized patios featuring a built-in BBQ, pizza oven, and a majestic rock fireplace—ideal for entertaining or simply enjoying a tranquil evening. No expense was spared in crafting this remarkable home, where every detail has been thoughtfully designed. Upon entering, you'll be greeted by a sophisticated den complete with a built-in wine cabinet, perfect for relaxing with your favorite vintages. The gourmet kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting upgraded appliances including wall ovens, a gas range top, a stainless-steel vent, granite countertops, and a stunning limestone backsplash. The expansive living room showcases a dramatic rock fireplace and accent wall, creating a cozy yet elegant atmosphere. Glass sliders seamlessly connect the indoor living space to the outdoor patios, enhancing the flow and making indoor-outdoor living a breeze. High-end wood and tile flooring, coupled with stylish chandelier lighting, add a touch of luxury throughout the home. The master suite is a true retreat, featuring two walk-in closets and a lavish bathroom with a walk-in shower and a soaking tub. Glass doors open directly to the patio, providing a serene private escape. The guest bedroom is generously sized and includes its own patio exit, while the guest bathroom offers ample space and comfort. The charming courtyard is perfect for gatherings, featuring pavers, a massive rock fireplace, a shade screen, and extensive entertainment space. The separate casita provides an ideal space for guests, with a spacious living area, a full bathroom, and a walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a large laundry room that doubles as an office with ample cabinetry for storage, and an extended-length garage providing extra room for additional storage needs. This Shea Latigo home in Wickenburg Ranch offers unparalleled luxury, comfort, and style.

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3816 E Fairfield Street Mesa, AZ 85205

Open House

$1,359,000

4 Beds

4.5 Baths

4,333 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6754099

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to luxury living in the highly sought-after gated community of Trovita Norte in Mesa, Arizona! This stunning 4,333 sq. ft. estate boasts 4 bedrooms and 4.5 bathrooms, offering the perfect blend of elegance and comfort on a spacious corner lot with RV gate access. Step inside to an inviting courtyard that leads to a grand formal dining room and an expansive great room featuring a full wall of custom built-in cabinetry. The gourmet kitchen is a chef's dream, complete with high-end appliances, a gas cooktop, double ovens, a massive island, and a cozy breakfast nook, all perfectly designed for entertaining and family gatherings. The multi-purpose room, with a large storage closet, is ideal for a variety of uses, while two generously sized bedrooms, each with walk-in closets and en-suite bathrooms, provide privacy and comfort for guests. The master retreat is a sanctuary of its own, featuring direct access to the backyard, his-and-hers closets, a luxurious spa-like bathroom with a walk-in shower, freestanding tub, and dual vanities. Additionally, there is a sophisticated den/office complete with custom built-in cabinetry. A guest suite with serene backyard views completes the interior, but the true gem lies beyond the double sliding doors. Step out to your private oasis with travertine flooring, a sleek modern pergola equipped with a misting system, and a built-in outdoor kitchen island perfect for al fresco dining. The resort-style backyard includes a diving pool with a cascading fountain, a waterslide, a basketball hoop, and a cozy fire pit. The beautifully manicured landscape, including a lush turf area, offers both tranquility and space for outdoor fun. Additional highlights include a 4-car garage with epoxy flooring, built-in cabinets, a tool area, and ample parking for all your toys. This home is a rare find that combines modern luxury with timeless design in one of Mesa's most prestigious communities.

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5547 E Olesen Road Cave Creek, AZ 85331

$1,355,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,038 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6763491

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Almost Complete - Contemporary NEXTGEN Builders home: 4BD +office/den, 3.5 Bath, high-quality luxury with many upgrades. Oversized 2-Gar with attached 47' RV Gar with 12x14 RV door, on 1 acre lot. No HOA, paver front sidewalk & driveway apron with concrete driveway, large kitchen island, upgraded SubZero/Wolf Appliance Pkg:, Gas Range, Microwave Drawer, 48'' Subzero built-in Refrigerator, Quartz counter tops throughout. Many upgrades, all bedrooms have walk in closets. Owner's bath has large entry shower with a standalone tub and double sinks. 12 Ft ceiling in great room and 8' doors throughout, nicely finished. Energy efficient Spray foam insulation, 2x6 framed and fully sheathed exterior, post tension foundation, Pictures are from a completed model home. Buyer to verify all facts.

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3888 E Weston Lane San Tan Valley, AZ 85140

$1,350,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,543 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6784720

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to your dream home in San Tan Valley! This stunning new build is truly a great opportunity, offering 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathroom. Situated on a spacious 1.25 acre lot with no HOA, this property is perfect for those looking for their own piece of paradise. Featuring builder upgrades throughout and front landscaping included, this home will boast a luxurious feel from the moment you step inside. The open concept floor plan is perfect for entertaining guests. This property is also horse friendly, making it ideal for equestrian enthusiasts. And with a generous 4 car garage, there's plenty of room for all your vehicles and toys. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to own a slice of Arizona heaven. Finishes available upon request. Estimated completion is February 2025.

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