3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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4622 E Firestone Drive Chandler, AZ 85249

$625,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

2,255 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6777232

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this gorgeous 4-bedroom home with an RV gate, thoughtfully designed and adorned with features you'll love! Discover a spacious open floor plan perfect for entertaining and everyday living, showcasing wood flooring, pre-wired surround sound, and a cozy fireplace that adds warmth and charm. Granite counters, SS appliances, recessed lighting, a pantry, a prep island with a breakfast bar, abundant cabinetry with crown moulding, and subway tile backsplash complete this spotless kitchen. Large main bedroom is a serene retreat, offering plush carpet and an ensuite with dual sinks. The Bonus room can be used an office, play space, or more! Expansive backyard won't disappoint, equipped with a covered patio, paver seating area, and a refreshing pool ideal for year-round enjoyment.

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7534 W Jones Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85043

$625,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,390 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6777957

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Better than new home, two years old and highly upgraded including an extended RV garage(gives at least 4 parking spots)!!! Perfect for boats,cars, RV, weight room, workshop, golf simulator, Basketball court, whatever fits your lifestyle! Fabulous split, open floorplan that includes double door den, large great room and dining area. and a powder room and plank tile laid in the upgraded herringbone pattern throughout living area. Gourmet kitchen w/ large island and breakfast bar, SS appliances including gas cooktop, double wall ovens, granite countertops, backsplash and huge walk in pantry plus a ''butlers pantry area'' w/ desk and more storage!! Primary suite offers a luxurious, oversized, tiled walk in shower, separate water closet, walk in closet, double sinks. Guest Rooms share a bath w/ private shower area and double sinks! Beautifully landscaped backyard w/ firepit, artificial turf, covered patio and garden bed. Close access to the new 202 south, too

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3953 W Salter Drive Glendale, AZ 85308

$625,000

5 Beds

5.5 Baths

3,863 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6777770

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this gorgeous 5-bed, 5.5-bath home with an above ground SWIMMING POOL, convenient BASEMENT, GUEST QUARTERS, NEW AC units and thoughtful design throughout! Inviting ambiance in the spacious great room, where plush carpet, upscale ceiling fans, recessed lighting, and thick baseboards create an elegant and cozy feel. The kitchen is a chef's dream, comes complete with abundant cabinetry topped with crown moulding, granite counters, a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, and a center island. Romantic primary retreat boasts outdoor access, double door entry, and an ensuite comprised of two vanities, soaking tub, and a walk-in closet. HUGE family room in the basement is perfect for entertaining, movie nights, or a game room. Serene backyard provides a covered patio, pavers, and a storage shed. This beauty will sell fast!

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18961 N 259th Avenue Buckeye, AZ 85396

$625,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,009 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6779380

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

If you've been considering a 55+ active adult community in Arizona, and Sun City Festival is on your list for all it's fantastic amenities, then you will want to see this gorgeous and upgraded 3 bed 2 bath home that has views upon views as it backs to the White Mountains preserve looking east. Stylish and modern upgrades to the large chef's kitchen, flooring, and much more make this is a home that is truly turn-key. Whether as a second home or your year-round residence, this home has the style and finishes you deserve. Also, the leased solar helps lower your electric bills substantially. Imagine yourself sitting on the patio and taking in the beautiful open land and mountain views backed by that gorgeous Arizona sky. Your new home awaits!

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2937 N 16th Drive Phoenix, AZ 85015

$625,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,500 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6777847

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

WOW!!! Welcome to this stunning move-in-ready home in the highly sought after North Encanto Historic District, completely transformed from top to bottom. It features a newer roof, AC, brand new sub & main electrical panel, LVP flooring, updated electrical, plumbing, and modernized kitchen and baths. While upgraded, it retains charming historic features like a large brick fireplace and a vintage outdoor grill. The reconfigured floor plan includes a primary suite with an ensuite bath. Outside, the front yard has lush grass, and the backyard offers low-maintenance turf. The oversized two-car garage with built-in cabinets provides ample storage. Located on a quiet street, this home blends historic charm with modern living.

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7658 E Vista Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85250

$625,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,236 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6781032

Property Type Townhouse

Price Type --

Step into this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, complete with a versatile bonus room that's perfect for a home office or guest space, featuring a convenient Murphy bed. The kitchen boasts sleek quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances, creating a modern, functional space for any chef. Throughout the home, you'll find elegant plantation shutters, vaulted ceilings, and walk-in closets, providing ample storage. The resort-style front patio, with non-skid tile, and a spacious back patio overlook lush green common areas shaded by mature trees, with a pathway leading to the community pool. Conveniently located near shopping and dining. This gem won't last long!

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19151 W Coolidge Street Litchfield Park, AZ 85340

$625,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,649 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6781424

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Come and see this beautiful home with a Next Gen Suite and a plethora of upgrades!! This home has an extra living space that includes its own Bedroom, Bathroom, Laundry Area that comes with a washer and dryer attached garage, Kitchen and dining/living room area!! This extra living space is perfect for family and friends! The main living quarters has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and a big kitchen ready to host all of your events! Enjoy the low maintenance backyard with beautiful green turf and plants making it a great area to relax while enjoying the White Tank Mountain views to the west!

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3259 E Isaiah Court Gilbert, AZ 85298

New

$625,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,410 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6780469

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This two-story residence, built in 2007, offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms, 3 baths, with bedroom, bath and office/den on the first floor. With 2,410 sq ft of living space on a generous 7,573 sq ft lot, there's room for everyone to enjoy. The open floor plan is ideal for entertaining, while the well-appointed kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas. Recent upgrades such as LVP flooring, HVAC and water heater make this home lower maintenance. Step outside to your backyard, complete with 8' RV gate for easy access and plenty of space for outdoor activities. The 3-car tandem garage provides ample storage for vehicles and toys alike and has a 220V outlet. Residents have the option to purchase memberships to the Seville Golf Club and recreation centers.

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25451 N 164th Drive Surprise, AZ 85387

$625,000

6 Beds

5 Baths

3,021 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6781462

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to your dream home in Surprise, AZ! This nearly brand-new 6-bedroom, 5-bathroom home, built in 2022, offers a spacious open-concept layout perfect for families and entertaining. The **gourmet kitchen** features a gas cooktop, abundant cabinetry, and a large island with pendant lighting. The **primary suite** is a true retreat with a spa-like bathroom and walk-in shower. Upgrades include an **enhanced sound system** and a **remodeled backyard** with custom pavers, desert landscaping, and a gas stub for grilling. Conveniently located near the 303 Freeway, this home offers the ideal blend of luxury and comfort. Don't miss out!

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7585 W Tumblewood Drive Peoria, AZ 85382

$625,000

5 Beds

2 Baths

2,444 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6782727

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this 5 bedroom 2 bath house with a fantastic floor plan and located in a very desirable community! Equipped with a relaxing pool, great yard and RV Gate. Situated in a corner lot right next to a grass park. This home is nestled wonderfully to enjoy all of the amenities from shops, entertaining and dining that P83 has to offer. Schedule your showing today.

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3918 E Wildhorse Drive Gilbert, AZ 85297

$625,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

2,019 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6784693

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Ideally located on a nice-sized, interior homesite in the highly desirable San Tan Ranch community, this wonderful, well-maintained Gilbert home offers 4 bedrooms; 3 car garage; spacious dining/living areas; vaulted ceilings; open floor plan; beautiful cabinetry; main suite with separate tub/shower, dual sinks, walk-in closet, and exit to covered patio; and resort-style rear yard perfect for relaxing/entertaining with an amazing pool, rock waterfall, and stacked stone built-in BBQ! Approximately $50K in recent updates/upgrades (travertine patio/pool deck, outdoor cooking area, kitchen appliances, wood look flooring, 5 Ton 14 SEER HVAC system, tankless water heater, etc.). Convenient freeway access and close to shopping, dining, sport courts, parks, playgrounds, and more. Move-in ready!

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9618 E Monterey Avenue Mesa, AZ 85209

$625,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

3,389 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6787044

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This gorgeous two story home with 4 beds & 2.5 baths offers mature landscaping and 3 car garage. Inside a bright foyer welcomes you upon entry; formal living room, dining, and large family room are some attributes that can't be left unsaid. Lovely kitchen includes stainless steel appliances, large 42' oak cabinets, solid surface counters, island, breakfast bar, pantry, and breakfast room. Office/Den space & powder room on 1st level. Upstairs you will find a loft & a large bonus room ideal for an entertainment area. Master suite has vaulted ceiling that add to the spacious feel, full bath with dual vanity, separate tub/shower, and walk-in closet. Stunning backyard boasts covered patio and fabulous pool.

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