3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble | Simplifying The Market

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble | Simplifying The Market

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble | Simplifying The Market

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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10429 S 47th Lane Laveen, AZ 85339

$624,995
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,390 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6700668
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The Deacon plan includes an attached RV garage, plus two tandem garage bays! Inside, a well-appointed gourmet kitchen with a walk-in pantry is flanked by a great room and a dining room with covered patio access with center meet back doors. You'll also appreciate an elegant primary suite with a private bathroom deluxe walk in shower and ample walk-in closet space. A mudroom, a convenient laundry and a fourth bedroom will complete the plan.

4735 W Stargazer Place Laveen, AZ 85339

$624,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,630 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6707290
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
An inviting covered porch welcomes guests to the charming Pomona plan. A spacious great room is at the heart of the open layout, adjacent to a roomy breakfast nook and an impressive kitchen with a walk-in pantry and center island. This home will be built with either a study and interior guest quarters. The lavish primary suite offers a generous walk-in closet and a private bath with double sinks. A convenient laundry and covered patio are also included as well as a 3 car garage.

10519 S 47th Lane Laveen, AZ 85339

$624,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,390 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6720455
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This Deacon plan includes an attached RV garage, plus two tandem garage bays! Inside, a well-appointed gourmet kitchen with 42'' white cabinets, quartz counters, black matte fixtures, and a walk-in pantry. The kitchen is flanked by a great room and a dining room with center meet doors opening to the covered patio. This home is finished with stone tile and carpeted bedrooms. You'll also appreciate an elegant primary suite with a private deluxe bathroom with large walk-in shower, dual sinks, and ample walk-in closet space. A mudroom, a convenient laundry and a flex room complete the plan.

5064 E Peak View Road Cave Creek, AZ 85331

$624,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,141 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6650226
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
3BD 2.5BA 2141 SQ FT HOME WITH PRIVATE POOL IN GREAT LOCATION. LARGE BKYD THAT BACKS TO DESSERT WASH. TILE IN ALL WALK AREAS & CARPET THROUGHOUT.

24041 N 171st Lane Surprise, AZ 85387

$624,995
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,890 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6684177
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Come see this Julia dream home! Included features: an inviting covered entry; a convenient laundry; an elegant dining room leading onto a covered side porch; a spacious great room; a gourmet kitchen offering 42'' cabinets, quartz countertops, an extended center island, a butler's pantry and a walk-in pantry; a roomy nook with large center meet doors; an extended covered patio; a versatile flex room; an impressive primary suite showcasing extra storage in the bath and a generous walk-in closet; a study in lieu of a storage area; a 2-car garage and a single-car garage. This home also offers front yard landscaping and driveway pavers as well as ceiling fan prewiring, wood laminate and stone tile flooring and additional windows in select rooms. This is a must see!

21873 E Saddle Court Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$624,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,500 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6731525
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The single-story Cassandra plan showcases an open layout with a great room with a multi-sliding glass door, a breakfast nook, a large gourmet kitchen and a 2-car garage. The primary suite is adjacent, and boasts a generous walk-in closet and an attached bath with a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms flank a full bath, and the nearby study.

24021 N 172nd Avenue Surprise, AZ 85387

$624,995
4 Beds
3.5 Baths
2,840 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6732025
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome Home! Darius plan provides a sophisticated and accommodating plan for livability that checks all the boxes on your wish list. In addition to a lavish owner's suite—with a roomy walk-in closet and attached double-sink bath—this home includes a second owner's suite with an adjacent living room, perfect for multi-generational living. You'll also enjoy a 3-car garage, a study, a great room with a covered patio featuring a multi slide door to bring the outdoor living indoors. Inviting gourmet kitchen with a generous island, dining nook for all entertaining gatherings! Airy 10 ft ceilings ,desired jack and jill bathrooms and so much more! This home sits on an oversized cul-de-sac lot.

22717 E Lords Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$624,990
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,123 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6761308
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
4 CAR SUPER GARAGE!!! Do not miss the opportunity to own our lovely Opal plan featuring 4 bedrooms, a Den and 3 baths, Modern Desert home Not only will you be impressed with the expansive garage, this N/S homesite has a double gate and is large enough to build a wonderful backyard Oasis. The gourmet kitchen has light grey shaker cabinetry with extended dining cabinets, sleek stainless steele hardware, quartz countertops, and a glitensing tile backsplash. Wood plank tile floors are in the main living areas with designer tile floors in the primary bath; and the primary bath features an oversized shower with tile surrounds. The Opal floor plan offers flexibility with a bedroom, bath, and den separate from the other rooms for a guest suite arrangement. This home offers room for everyone and plenty of storage with the oversized garage, expansive 10' ceilings, & 8' interior doors. Additional convenience features include an electric car charging package, garage sink, preplumb for a sink in the laundry, laundry room to the primary closet, and added LED ceiling lighting. Gather at the community pool, hottub, pickle-ball, BarBQ's, Ramadas, or neighborhood park in our lovely Madera Community. When you choose to venture out for dining and entertainment, there are several options with Queen Creek Market Place a few short miles away and the new Frontier Family Park that is almost complete.

20147 W Mulberry Drive Buckeye, AZ 85396

$624,990
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,397 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6678219
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
QUICK MOVE-IN HOME! MOVE INTO YOUR NEW HOME BEFORE THE HOLIDAYS! SPECIAL FINANCING WITH BELOW MARKET INTEREST RATES AVAILABLE! MOVE-IN PACKAGES AVAILABLE! PLEASE INQUIRE ABOUT THESE SPECIALS ON THIS QUICK MOVE-IN HOME AND OTHERS. ACT SOON BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE! It's our Carmona sitting on a LARGE lot with over 12,300 sq. ft. and an 8' gate. 3 bedrooms, study, 2 baths, 2 car with storage area. 12'x8' sliding glass door that leads out to the extended covered patio. Stainless steel gas double oven appliance package with a 36'' cooktop and canopy hood. Sonoma Maple Painted ''Linen-off white'' cabinets with 42'' kitchen uppers and pull out trash drawer. DT Quartz Evening Gray countertops with a stainless steel undermount single bowl sink. Upgrade flooring includes EMS Beaumont 7x24 Bosso tile in all areas of the home except beds/closets. Dual sinks at bath 2. Garage service door, stub out for future BBQ and so much more. Please verify all information with onsite agent . Thank you!

25931 N 23rd Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85085

$624,990
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
1,976 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6758025
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to the Peralta plan, offering 1,992 square feet of elegant living space with a charming Farmhouse exterior. As you step onto the pavers at the covered entry and into the home, the paint grade mission stair rail adds a touch of traditional craftsmanship while the 8' interior doors adorned with matte black door hardware. This home's kitchen and great room open up to a spacious outdoor space with a gas stub for BBQ, ensuring the possibilities of effortless outdoor entertaining. The heart of the home, the kitchen, features stainless steel GE appliances including an under-cabinet hood, a built-in gas cooktop with five burners, and a built-in wall oven and microwave with trim kit. The kitchen features white painted shaker cabinets featuring 42'' uppers and 3'' crown at the perimeter. The kitchen countertops are adorned with Della Terra slate grey quartz which are complimented by the Dal Tile - Brickworks 2x8 backsplash. A large single basin stainless steel sink with a Moen Spring kitchen faucet completes this chef's dream kitchen. All bathrooms and the kitchen feature two-tone black and champagne bronze cabinet pulls. Moen Gibson 8 widespread matte black premium finish faucets offer a beautiful contrast to the white cultured marble countertops with rectangular sinks. Throughout the downstairs and in bath 2 and the laundry upstairs, you'll find durable Dal Tile Hill House Natural 6x36 wood look tile, while the primary bathroom boasts AZ Tile Reside Matte Beige 12X24 tile. The primary bath also features an enlarged primary bath shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. Moving upstairs, Shaw Kennfield carpet in the shade Ecru providing comfort and warmth. All flooring is elegantly trimmed with upgraded 4 ¼ baseboards. This home is complemented by a soft water loop located in the garage for added convenience. Union Park offers Tree-lined streets, pedestrian-friendly sidewalks and a 5,500 sf recreation center with resort style pool an kiddie pool, shaded ramadas, parks, gathering areas, pickleball courts and basketball. Close to I-10, 101 and 303. Walking distance to restaurants, movies, entertainment and shopping. Don't miss your opportunity to own this beautifully designed new construction home where luxury meets functionality.

29403 N 31st Lane Phoenix, AZ 85083

$624,990
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,105 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6771893
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Ask about special financing with preferred lender. This single-level home showcases an attached private suite, which is comprised of a separate living space, kitchenette, bedroom and bathroom, ideal for multigenerational living. In the main home, the Great Room, kitchen and dining room are arranged among a convenient open floorplan, with sliding glass doors that lead to the covered patio. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, while two bedrooms are found off the foyer. Photos are renderings of a model home, not the actual home. A public report is available on the Arizona Department of Real Estate website.

26827 N 67th Drive Peoria, AZ 85383

$624,990 - 3Br/3Ba -  for Sale in Aloravita North Phase 3 Parcel 10, Peoria
Open House
$624,990
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,125 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6715116
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This home is now complete and ready to make it yours! Experience the charm of Aloravita, nestled within the scenic mountains of Peoria. This community boasts breathtaking views and is conveniently located minutes away from shopping, dining, hiking trails and more! Our popular 'Barstown' floorplan features 3 full bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, 2 Car-Garage and a private yard with views! Designer selected finish includes Burlap Cabinetry, Quartz Kitchen Countertops, Wood Like Tile Throughout, and Plush Carpet in all the bedrooms. This beautiful home will have it all including 9' ceilings, Gourmet Gas Kitchen, Smudge Proof Stainless Steel Appliances, Blinds, Pre-Plumb for Soft Water, and Smart Home Technology. Interior photos of similar spec, options may vary**

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