3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

What’s Your Home Worth?

Search for Your New Home

Listing types.

For Sale

For Rent

Land

Multifamily

Commercial

Location Search Nearby

BedsAny1+2+3+4+5+6+

BathsAny1+2+3+4+5+6+

Price MinAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Price MaxAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Advanced Options

Property TypeAnyApartmentManufactured HomeSingle Family ResidenceTownhouseTwin Home

School District

Address, MLS# or Keyword

Home SizeAny600 ft2800 ft21,000 ft21,200 ft21,400 ft21,600 ft21,800 ft22,000 ft22,200 ft22,400 ft22,600 ft22,800 ft23,000 ft23,500 ft24,000 ft24,500 ft25,000 ft25,500 ft26,000 ft2

YearAny2024+2023+2022+2021+2020+2019+2018+2017+2016+2015+2014+2013+2012+2011+2010+2009+2008+2007+2006+2005+2004+2003+2002+2001+2000+1999+1998+1997+1996+1995+1994+1993+1992+1991+1990+1980+1970+1960+1950+1940+1930+

Distressed

Open House

Location Search Nearby

BedsAny1+2+3+4+5+6+

BathsAny1+2+3+4+5+6+

Price MinAny$500$600$700$800$900$1,000$1,100$1,200$1,300$1,500$1,600$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,000$2,250$2,500$2,750$3,000$3,250$3,500$3,750$4,000$4,500$5,000$5,500$6,000$6,500$7,000$7,500$8,000$8,500$9,000$9,500$10,000

Price MaxAny$500$600$700$800$900$1,000$1,100$1,200$1,300$1,500$1,600$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,000$2,250$2,500$2,750$3,000$3,250$3,500$3,750$4,000$4,500$5,000$5,500$6,000$6,500$7,000$7,500$8,000$8,500$9,000$9,500$10,000

Advanced Options

Property TypeAnyApartmentManufactured HomeSingle Family ResidenceTownhouseTwin Home

School District

Address, MLS# or Keyword

Home SizeAny600 ft2800 ft21,000 ft21,200 ft21,400 ft21,600 ft21,800 ft22,000 ft22,200 ft22,400 ft22,600 ft22,800 ft23,000 ft23,500 ft24,000 ft24,500 ft25,000 ft25,500 ft26,000 ft2

YearAny2024+2023+2022+2021+2020+2019+2018+2017+2016+2015+2014+2013+2012+2011+2010+2009+2008+2007+2006+2005+2004+2003+2002+2001+2000+1999+1998+1997+1996+1995+1994+1993+1992+1991+1990+1980+1970+1960+1950+1940+1930+

Location Search Nearby

Lot SizeAny1+ Acres2+ Acres3+ Acres4+ Acres5+ Acres6+ Acres7+ Acres8+ Acres9+ Acres10+ Acres20+ Acres30+ Acres40+ Acres50+ Acres

Price MinAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Price MaxAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Advanced Options

Neighborhood

Address, MLS# or Keyword

Location Search Nearby

Price MinAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Price MaxAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Advanced Options

School District

Address, MLS# or Keyword

YearAny2024+2023+2022+2021+2020+2019+2018+2017+2016+2015+2014+2013+2012+2011+2010+2009+2008+2007+2006+2005+2004+2003+2002+2001+2000+1999+1998+1997+1996+1995+1994+1993+1992+1991+1990+1980+1970+1960+1950+1940+1930+

Location Search Nearby

Lot SizeAny1+ Acres2+ Acres3+ Acres4+ Acres5+ Acres6+ Acres7+ Acres8+ Acres9+ Acres10+ Acres20+ Acres30+ Acres40+ Acres50+ Acres

Price MinAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Price MaxAny$50,000$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000$600,000$700,000$800,000$900,000$1,000,000$1,100,000$1,200,000$1,300,000$1,400,000$1,500,000$1,600,000$1,800,000$1,900,000$2,000,000$2,250,000$2,500,000$2,750,000$3,000,000$3,250,000$3,500,000$3,750,000$4,000,000$4,500,000$5,000,000$6,000,000$8,000,000$10,000,000$15,000,000

Advanced Options

Address, MLS# or Keyword

YearAny2024+2023+2022+2021+2020+2019+2018+2017+2016+2015+2014+2013+2012+2011+2010+2009+2008+2007+2006+2005+2004+2003+2002+2001+2000+1999+1998+1997+1996+1995+1994+1993+1992+1991+1990+1980+1970+1960+1950+1940+1930+

View As: Thumbnails List

Sort by: Select Price, Low to High Price, High to Low Newer Listings First Older Listings First Open House Date

16002 W Jenan Drive Surprise, AZ 85379

$589,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,484 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6780813

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Easy to Show this Beautiful move in ready home located in Greer Ranch subdivision. This 4 bedroom 2 1/2 bath split floor plan with great room is perfect for entertaining guests. Granite counter-tops and beautiful staggered cabinets with large walk in pantry and separate coffee bar area make this kitchen a cook's dream. Gorgeous Master Bedroom and bath. Large laundry room/ pantry with door to the side yard. Raised flower bed along the entire backyard block wall and large grass area along with extended covered patio make for a gorgeous outdoor haven and play area. RV gate with 10' side yard is ready for your creative touch. 3 car garage includes a deep sink. New Paint Inside and Out, Stainless Appliances 1 year old, Luxury Vinyl Plank Floors throughout , New Upgraded Carpet in Bedroom

View Property

21539 S 215th Place Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$589,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,245 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6668740

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

NEW Exterior Paint!!! Welcome to this stunning 4 bedroom, 3.5 bath model home nestled in the heart of Queen Creek. Showcasing the builder's finest work, this 3,245 sqft house offers spacious, luxurious living, combined with refined style. Unique to this home is a versatile finished basement - a rare find in the community, perfect for any lifestyle needs. Watch Video Link!

View Property

8744 E Via De La Luna -- Scottsdale, AZ 85258

$589,000

3 Beds

3 Baths

1,675 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6673641

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Rare 3/3 in desirable McCormick Ranch on a quiet dead-end street. Easy access to schools, shopping, Talking Stick Entertainment District, Dbacks spring training, etc. New dual-speed AC unit with 10-year warranty assures you stay cool affordably! Lovely community pool lets you cool down and not deal with the headaches of maintenance. Please email all offers for quickest response. Supra shackle is now up for easy access! Agents show at your leisure - lockbox installed, no need to schedule.

View Property

9122 W Circle Drive Strawberry, AZ 85544

$589,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,027 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6703166

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Feel the peacefulness of Country Living and bring your horses - 2 horse coved corral is included. Nestled on a secluded 0.40 acre lot, this private home boasts a spacious 2027 sq ft of living space. As you step inside, you are welcomed with a generous great room adorned with cathedral ceilings and a warming gas fireplace, offering a cozy ambiance for gathering or quiet evenings in. The allure of outdoor living is evident with covered back deck overlooking a sprawling yard, providing a perfect setting for outdoor dining, sitting around the fire pit or simply soaking up nature's beauty. Upstairs is a sizable primary bedroom which provides a tranquil sanctuary, vehicle an open loft area offers versatility for various lifestyle needs. This is horse property with two stalls. The 2-car garage has a full attic making for ample storage. NEW HVAC SYSTEM heat and A/C

View Property

35737 N Loemann Drive San Tan Valley, AZ 85143

$589,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,219 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6714599

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to 35737 N Loemann Dr., a stunning home nestled in the highly desirable area of San Tan Valley. This gorgeous property boasts 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and an expansive 3,219 sqft of living space on an 8,265 sqft lot that backs onto the serene Empire Park. As you step inside, you are greeted by a spacious open floorplan that perfectly balances luxury and functionality. The gourmet kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring a large island/breakfast bar, walk-in pantry, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, reverse osmosis system, and a water softener. The main floor houses a large primary suite complete with a spacious ensuite and a walk-in closet, providing a perfect retreat. Upstairs, you'll find a second suite and all bedrooms come with their own walk-in closets, ensuring ample storage space for everyone. A huge loft and a media room add to the home's versatility, making it ideal for both relaxation and entertainment. The great room opens to an expansive backyard with a view fence overlooking Empire Park, a covered patio, and plenty of space for a custom pool, perfect for entertaining family and friends. Additional features include a 3-car tandem garage and an RV gate for extra storage. Pride of ownership is evident throughout this meticulously maintained home. Don't miss the opportunity to make 35737 N Loemann Dr. your new address in San Tan Valley, AZ.

View Property

2947 E Rose Lane Phoenix, AZ 85016

$589,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,185 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6722709

Property Type Townhouse

Price Type --

Views, views, views!! Come see this remodeled Biltmore condo overlooking the magnificent Biltmore golf course. This home features an updated kitchen with stainless steel appliances, completely remodeled bathrooms, new flooring throughout, a good-sized living room and dining room with fireplace, a Split Master, and incredible views of the golf course and mountain from every window and patio. The AC unit was replaced in 2021. One car garage, lush landscaping, Amazing gated community with multiple pools and tennis courts. Within walking distance to all of the Biltmore amenities, world-class hotels and golf courses, shopping, restaurants, entertainment, theaters, library, access to major freeways, 15 minutes to Sky Harbor, and more.

View Property

4624 E Superstition Boulevard Apache Junction, AZ 85119

$589,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,484 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6727460

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Up to 20K in interest rate buy down and closing costs in Seller concessions on a full price offer. This horse property offers luxury and country living with no HOA. Key features include full slab Quartzite countertops, book-matched backsplash, soft-closing white shaker cabinets, GE slate appliance package, slate range hood, gas cooktop, Walt Disney collection lights, antique copper sinks and hardware, vaulted ceilings, abundant natural light, open floor plan, all-new flooring, new windows, storage shed, private water, and septic system. Enjoy mesmerizing views of the Superstition Mountains. Some tour this amazing home.

View Property

5254 Starlight Drive Happy Jack, AZ 86024

$589,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,098 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6747257

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Escape to your own serene retreat with this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom cabin nestled in the heart of the forest. Situated on almost an acre of lush, wooded land, this home offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and modern comfort. Perfect for family or guests, each room offers warmth and comfort with beautiful wooden accents. Enjoy updated amenities while maintaining the cabin's rustic appeal. Open floor plan with large windows that bring the beauty of the outdoors inside. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway or a full-time residence, this cabin offers the perfect setting to unwind and connect with nature. Don't miss out on this rare opportunity to own a piece of paradise!

View Property

2320 E La Jolla Drive Tempe, AZ 85282

$589,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,590 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6747506

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Recently remodeled home in Tempe conveniently located near AZ-101, AZ-202, and US 60 and just minutes away from Tempe Marketplace, ASU, and Sloan Park. This home is beautiful inside and out and features so many modern touches and attention to detail. The kitchen boasts shiny Carrera quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, shaker cabinets, subway tile backsplash and a large kitchen peninsula perfect for seating multiple people. The decor in both bathrooms blends well with the rest of the home and the guest bathroom also features a Carrera quartz countertop. Additional updates include luxury vinyl plank flooring, new carpet in all bedrooms, fresh paint inside and outside, epoxy in the garage, new custom tall shower door, new tub, and new dual flush toilets. You can also find new light fixtures throughout the home and post lights in the front yard that are dusk to dawn aluminum solar lamps. The backyard has plenty of space to gather around the sparkly blue pool and underneath the large, covered patio. There is also an RV gate and RV parking area located on the west side of the home that is closed off from the rest of the backyard, a perfect spot to park your RV or any other type of vehicle or ATV.

View Property

32508 N 133rd Drive Peoria, AZ 85383

$589,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,249 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6749403

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

**WINNER of the Peoria/Vistancia BEST Home on TOUR!!!*** Experience the allure of this beautiful home in Vistancia Village! Offering 4 beds + den, 3 baths, desert landscape, and a 2-car garage w/paver driveway. Home exudes refined style with layered crown molding, neutral paint, tons of natural light, & wood-look tile floors w/carpet in bedrooms. Enjoy the seamless design of an open layout paired with surround sound, making entertaining a bliss! The gourmet kitchen boasts SS appliances, a walk-in pantry, quartz counters, white shaker cabinetry, mosaic tile backsplash, and an island w/breakfast bar. The den provides versatility! Main bedroom has a barn door that opens to the ensuite with dual sinks & a walk-in closet. Outback, you have artificial turf and a travertine-covered patio w/ceiling fan! You'll surely love the mountain views! Just WOW!!

View Property

1250 W Sand Dune Drive Gilbert, AZ 85233

$589,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,036 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6755373

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Discover this fully updated, cul-de-sac home surrounded by 3 lakes in the highly coveted Islands community in Gilbert AZ. Located alongside the green belt with views of the lakes, this 4 bedroom, 2 1/2 bath home has been completely updated with custom wood shutters, bamboo wood flooring & new HVAC units. Discover the chef's kitchen equipped with double ovens, custom cabinetry, granite countertops & travertine flooring. The great room features custom wood shutters, a cozy fireplace & strikingly vaulted ceilings which lead into the downstairs primary bedroom, which offers a private entrance to the backyard, dual vanities, separate shower/tub & walk in closet. Enjoy entertaining in your North/South exposure backyard, perfect for hosting friends & family. Community center pool & spa. Must see

View Property

2901 N Miller Road Scottsdale, AZ 85251

$589,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,131 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6762164

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home on large lot close to schools and all that Old Town Scottsdale has to offer, including Restaurants, Galleries, Museums, Live Entertainment, and Scottsdale Stadium. Spring Training home of the San Francisco Giants and much more. A great location to live and great Air BnB potential RV gates in both front and backyard. Circular Drive in front for easy access, Dual Pane Windows Granite Countertops, Soft Close Cabinet Drawers and Stainless Steel Appliances in kitchen. Beautifully landscaped backyard with lots of space for entertaining. This home is a must see!

View Property