3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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21157 N 259th Avenue Buckeye, AZ 85396

$549,950

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,061 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6748517

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Here is an Extraordinary home that has been meticulously cared for by the original owner. The backyard is perfect with a beautiful pool and water feature, firepit, covered area and a partially enclosed patio with a fireplace. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has a den/office/sitting room between the two secondary bedrooms. Also has a soft water system, reverse osmosis and a tankless hot water heater. There were a huge amount of upgrades put into the home when it was built and many more after purchase. You can be in this home before Thanksgiving and have the enjoyment of entertaining and have a view of the mountains!

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16089 W Electra Lane Surprise, AZ 85387

$549,950

3 Beds

3 Baths

2,354 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6757844

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

SELLER IS OFFERING CONCESSIONS W/ A SUCCESSFUL COE BEFORE 12/31/2024 ON this Luxuriously Upgraded Fulton home, built 2021. Spectacular spacious Open Floor Plan w/ 3 Bdrms + Den/Movie Rm(or convert to a 4th bed), & 3 Bths located on N/S facing Home Site. 4 Car garage w/ built in storage! Upgraded Kitchen Cabinets, Quartz Counters w/ Tile Back Splash & pendant lighting. Double oven, gas cook-top, stainless hood vent, walk-in Pantry, LVP Wood flooring. 96'' doors, Upgraded Accent walls, Coffered ceiling in Primary Bed, Big Spa Shower double heads in Primary Bthrm. Large Laundry w/ cabs + Lndry Sink. Beautiful fixtures throughout. Atrium like Slider leads to Xtnd Covered Patio w/custom 16K upgraded auto screens! 55K backyard includes pad 4 Ramada & one 4 spa. Water softener, Hot H2O on deman Escalante master planned community is nestled in the thriving Surprise area, conveniently located near new shopping centers, the Loop 303 freeway, and US 60. Embrace the Escalante lifestyle, complete with exceptional community amenities like an enormous neighborhood aquatic center, pickleball courts, bocce ball, frisbee golf, winding walking trails, thrilling zip lines for children, and vast open spaces.

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2429 E Alameda Drive Tempe, AZ 85282

$549,950

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,560 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6769559

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Amazing remodel, this home is like new! Let's start with the new paint and landscaping that greets you. All new doors, windows, garage door, and air conditioning. You'll love the wood look tile floor, modern interior colors and oversized baseboard. Bathrooms are completely new and gorgeous. Then feast your eyes on the chef's kitchen that includes a pantry closet, new stainless appliances, sparkle quartz countertop along with modern pendant lighting. It has a split floorplan along with a large indoor laundry area and extended 2 car garage. Alley access is available with a large RV gate. The house comes with 6 security cameras already installed. It's situated in a quiet cul-de-sac with friendly neighbors. Owner/agent

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3021 N Randolph Road Phoenix, AZ 85014

$549,950

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,620 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6679115

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Motivated seller. Low maintenance yard front and back. All new electrical wiring, relocated electrical panel and 2 AC units. Tankless gas water heater. Modernized with addition of a permitted split master bedroom with bathroom and large closet. LED lighting throughout. Beat the heat with your own private pool. Many hospitals in the area could be a good STR or medium term rental to serve people needing that service. Great access to Highways and to downtown Phoenix. NO HOA

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28201 N Granite Avenue San Tan Valley, AZ 85143

$549,950

5 Beds

3 Baths

4,157 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6770166

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This immaculate, highly updated 5BR, 3BA POOL home feels like a model and is move-in ready! This house is full of custom updates, including a kitchen with granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, updated cabinets, all newer appliances, and a huge pantry. All APPLIANCES INCLUDED! Downstairs features all tile flooring, while upstairs boasts beautiful wood plank floors. The fully renovated master bath is stunning! All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets, including a large downstairs bedroom and full bath. The backyard is an oasis with a sparkling pool, pavers, firepit, covered seating areas, and shade structures (included!). No neighbors behind or on one side for added privacy. The community offers a heated pool, spa, gym, and a nearby park! SO MANY DETAILS - YOU HAVE TO SEE IT!

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19806 W San Miguel Avenue Litchfield Park, AZ 85340

$549,913

4 Beds

2 Baths

1,862 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6730962

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Wow! Better than new and available today with Amazing mountain views! This home is placed on a 70' wide lot and offers an RV gate for your toys. Resort backyard with heated spa under beautiful pergola, pavers and more. As you enter this highly upgraded single level with upgraded elevation of stone and gated front seating area, you will notice over sized 24X12 tile floors, large open kitchen with island open to the great room, walk in pantry, built in microwave and more. Large master bedroom has two walk in closets, separate shower and tub and double sinks. Don't forget to notice the flex teen space or office area. North South exposure and washer, dryer, refrigerator and spa convey with sale. To show is to sell!

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175 N Holly Road Globe, AZ 85501

$549,900

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,177 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6737307

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This is a new home!! This spacious home is newly constructed home by one of Globe's premier builder. This home is a definite must see!! There are 4 large bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. The master bedroom is on the main level and has separate soaking tub and walk-in shower, a great walk-in closet and custom cabinetry. Also on the main level, you'll love the open concept with a great kitchen with plenty of counter space, soft close cabinets, and quartz countertops. The kitchen opens up into the dining room and living area that is perfect for entertaining. There is also a 1/2 bath downstairs. Upstairs you'll find 3 more bedrooms, all good sized, and another full bathroom.

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20761 W Hillcrest Boulevard Buckeye, AZ 85396

$549,900

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,775 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6752894

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This FANTASTIC home, backing to a naturally landscaped common area and walking path, in Victory at Verrado is full of UPGRADES! BEAUTIFUL wood look tile flooring + 2023 carpet in bedrooms! CUSTOM up/down window shades + solid wood doors throughout! GOURMET kitchen w/stainless appliances, gas cooktop, wall ovens, granite counters, subway tile backsplash, island w/breakfast bar + pantry! Great room w/surround sound! Primary bedroom w/ensuite bath + large tiled walk-in shower w/bench! Separate office/den w/French doors! Step outside to your backyard OASIS w/extended covered patio w/privacy shade + trellis patio w/travertine pavers and GORGEOUS views! This is an EXTRAORDINARY LUXURY community w/breathtaking mountain views w/miles of hiking/biking trails! Amenities: pools, golf, spa, Main Street shopping/restaurants, clubs/activities + MORE! WELCOME HOME!

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41758 W Cribbage Road Maricopa, AZ 85138

$549,900

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,485 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6756759

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Gorgeous, fully furnished home on the greenbelt in the Award Winning Active Adult Community of Province! This modern, great room floor plan with three full bedrooms plus den and two and a half baths is move in ready! Multi-sliding glass door out to your extended travertine patio with wonderful space for entertaining with a completely fenced yard and hot tub! 10' ceilings throughout with walk in closets in every bedroom. The kitchen is spectacular with white cabinetry, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances with double ovens, gas cooktop and tons of cabinets for storage. The owner's suite has a bay window and a magnificent bathroom with a huge walk in shower and his and her vanities. The laundry room also has lots of built in cabinetry for more storage. Welcome Home!

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2865 Coral Brooke Court Sierra Vista, AZ 85650

$549,900

2 Beds

3 Baths

2,540 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6767350

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

ANOTHER WINTERHAVEN CUSTOM HOME...Wonderful exterior elevations, landscape, and soothing interior...this home boasts peaceful living!!! Cul-de-sac property with golf course access!!! Grandeous Entry/Foyer...Formal DR on one side, Formal LR on the other (or use for whatever you want)...Great Room w/gas log FP off Kitchen featuring SS, Gorgeous Granite, 5-burner GAS Cooktop, Breakfast Bar and Eat-In Area...Enjoy the fabulous, huge AZ room, outside Pergola covered patio, ample yard, stunning mature plantings, and impeccable Mountain Views!!! 2 Master Suites on either side of home, plus additional DEN/office w/French Doors...Huge Laundry Room w/new W/D, utility sink, outside access, and full 3/4 Bath just across...2 AC units, and pride of ownership shows!!! Come see this stunning home!!!

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42201 W Rummy Road Maricopa, AZ 85138

$549,900

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,045 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6763092

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Immaculate Waterfront Home, Fully Furnished in the Award Winning Active Adult Community of Province. Pride of ownership is eminent upon entry of this gorgeous home. Luxurious cherry bordeaux cabinets throughout with 14' ceilings at the great room and a spectacular backyard with an extended paver patio with pergola, putting green and a walk way down to the lake perfect for enjoying those gorgeous Arizona sunsets. Brand new HVAC system just installed this year including a 10 year warranty. The kitchen has rich granite countertops, black appliances with a newer stainless steel fridge and a gas range. Split floor plan with a spacious owner's suite including a bay window in the bedroom and his and her vanities in the bathroom with a nice size shower and walk in closet. Extended 4' garage extension with built in cabinets and a workbench. Additional features in this beautiful home include: a whole house water filtration system with soft water and RO system, upgraded lighting and plumbing fixtures throughout, ceiling fans and window coverings. Front paver courtyard provides another wonderful outdoor living space. The home also includes spray foam insulation and dual pane Low E windows. The home is also fully furnished including all accessories, dishes, pots and pans, linens and miscellaneous garage items. Bring your clothes and a toothbrush and Start Living the GOOD LIFE!

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2532 E Aster Drive Phoenix, AZ 85032

$549,900

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,470 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6764797

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Amazing opportunity to own this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a quiet cul-de-sac! Features a brand NEW 3.5-ton Trane AC unit with all new ductwork, installed in July. Located near restaurants, shopping, and the Phoenix Mountain Preserve. The living room offers wood like tile flooring, large windows, and a calming color palette. The spacious Arizona room opens to the backyard, ideal for entertaining. The kitchen includes shaker cabinets, quartz countertops, tile backsplash, and an island with a breakfast bar. The primary bedroom features plush carpet with dual closets. Primary bath includes dual sinks and large walk in shower. The oversized backyard offers a pool, RV gate, parking, and a storage shed. Don't miss out!

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