The ‘REAL’ News about Housing Affordability

Some industry experts are claiming that the housing market may be headed for a slowdown as we proceed through 2017, based on rising home prices and a potential jump in mortgage interest rates. One of the data points they use is the Housing Affordability Index, as reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Here is how NAR defines the index:

“The Housing Affordability Index measures whether or not a typical family earns enough income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a typical home at the national level based on the most recent price and income data.”

Basically, a value of 100 means a family earning the median income earns enough to qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home, based on the price and mortgage interest rates at the time. Anything above 100 means the family has more than enough to qualify.

The higher the index, the easier it is to afford a home.

Why the concern?

The index has been declining over the last several years as home values increased. Some are concerned that too many buyers could be priced out of the market.

But, wait a minute…

Though the index skyrocketed from 2009 through 2013, we must realize that during that time, the housing crisis left the market with an overabundance of distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales). All prices dropped dramatically and distressed properties sold at major discounts. Then, mortgage rates fell like a rock.

The market is recovering, and values are coming back nicely. That has caused the index to fall.

However, let’s remove the crisis years (shaded in gray) and look at the current index as compared to the index from 1990 – 2008:

Though prices and rates appear to be increasing, we must realize that affordability is composed of three ingredients: home prices, interest rates, and income. And, incomes are finally rising.

ATTOM Data Solutions recently released their Q1 2017 U.S. Home Affordability Index. The report explained:

“Stronger wage growth is the silver lining in this report, outpacing home price growth in more than half of the markets for the first time since Q1 2012, when median home prices were still falling nationwide. If that pattern continues, it will help turn the tide in the eroding home affordability trend.”

Bottom Line

Compared to historic norms, it is still a great time to buy from an affordability standpoint.  Give me a call for more information – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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12003 W Parkway Lane Avondale, AZ 85323

$572,995

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,480 SqFt

Status Active

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2,480 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6727605

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

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16355 W Avenida Del Sol -- Surprise, AZ 85387

$572,995

4 Beds

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2,480 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6718951

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This home features a lovely Guest Suite as well as dramatic 10' ceilings throughout and a tray ceiling at entry; a gourmet kitchen with quartz countertops, 42'' cabinets, a spacious open great room with a multi-slide door; a beautiful primary suite with a generous walk-in closet. The master bath features a drop-in tub and a shower. This home offers stylish pavers at driveway/walkway.

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16400 W Avenida Del Sol -- Surprise, AZ 85387

$572,995

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2,570 SqFt

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3070 E Bellerive Drive Gilbert, AZ 85298

$572,990

3 Beds

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Property Type Single Family Residence

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This charming single-story home offers a thoughtfully designed open floor plan with 9-ft. ceilings, a large great room, and beautiful vinyl plank flooring throughout the common areas. The modern kitchen is a standout, featuring sleek quartz countertops, a center island prewired for pendant lighting, a walk-in pantry, and extended 42-in. upper cabinets. The spacious primary suite, located at the back of the home for added privacy, includes an en-suite bath with a walk-in shower, dual-sink vanity with WaterSense® labeled faucets, and a linen closet with ample storage space. Additional highlights include a soft water loop, ceiling fans in the great room, bedrooms, and covered patio, a convenient side-access door to the garage, and a Wi-Fi-enabled ecobee smart thermostat.

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4320 Sawbuck Way Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$572,671

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,648 SqFt

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1724 S Rockwell Street Gilbert, AZ 85295

$572,400

4 Beds

2 Baths

2,085 SqFt

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16380 W Avenida Del Sol -- Surprise, AZ 85387

$570,995

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,500 SqFt

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11937 W Parkway Lane Avondale, AZ 85323

$570,995

3 Beds

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19026 W Stella Avenue Waddell, AZ 85355

$570,990

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,399 SqFt

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Price Type --

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23055 E Watford Drive Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$570,990

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,688 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6770743

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

To Be Built of our very popular Pebble single story plan. This plan boasts a 3 car garage, 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths and an office. Build time is approximately 7 months. We offer a full design center experience where you can colorize the home to your liking. Options and upgrades may increase the price of the home. Please ask about our special financing promotions.

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15922 W Electra Lane Surprise, AZ 85387

$570,699

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,229 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6719014

Property Type Single Family Residence

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