The ‘REAL’ News about Housing Affordability

Some industry experts are claiming that the housing market may be headed for a slowdown as we proceed through 2017, based on rising home prices and a potential jump in mortgage interest rates. One of the data points they use is the Housing Affordability Index, as reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Here is how NAR defines the index:

“The Housing Affordability Index measures whether or not a typical family earns enough income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a typical home at the national level based on the most recent price and income data.”

Basically, a value of 100 means a family earning the median income earns enough to qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home, based on the price and mortgage interest rates at the time. Anything above 100 means the family has more than enough to qualify.

The higher the index, the easier it is to afford a home.

Why the concern?

The index has been declining over the last several years as home values increased. Some are concerned that too many buyers could be priced out of the market.

But, wait a minute…

Though the index skyrocketed from 2009 through 2013, we must realize that during that time, the housing crisis left the market with an overabundance of distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales). All prices dropped dramatically and distressed properties sold at major discounts. Then, mortgage rates fell like a rock.

The market is recovering, and values are coming back nicely. That has caused the index to fall.

However, let’s remove the crisis years (shaded in gray) and look at the current index as compared to the index from 1990 – 2008:

Though prices and rates appear to be increasing, we must realize that affordability is composed of three ingredients: home prices, interest rates, and income. And, incomes are finally rising.

ATTOM Data Solutions recently released their Q1 2017 U.S. Home Affordability Index. The report explained:

“Stronger wage growth is the silver lining in this report, outpacing home price growth in more than half of the markets for the first time since Q1 2012, when median home prices were still falling nationwide. If that pattern continues, it will help turn the tide in the eroding home affordability trend.”

Bottom Line

Compared to historic norms, it is still a great time to buy from an affordability standpoint.  Give me a call for more information – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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2978 Glenview Drive Sierra Vista, AZ 85650

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2,373 SqFt

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$550,000

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$550,000

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41581 W Somerset Drive Maricopa, AZ 85138

$550,000

5 Beds

3 Baths

2,521 SqFt

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27709 N 23rd Drive Phoenix, AZ 85085

$550,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,045 SqFt

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Property Type Single Family Residence

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$550,000

3 Beds

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4533 N 93rd Glen Phoenix, AZ 85037

$550,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,590 SqFt

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2486 W Dapple Gray Court San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$550,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

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Property Type Single Family Residence

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619 W Winchester Drive Chandler, AZ 85286

$550,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,565 SqFt

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Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

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20823 S 185th Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$550,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

2,051 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6782864

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

What a gorgeous home with no neighbors behind! The layout was thoughtfully designed with a formal living and dining room, a sizable den, two ample bedrooms, and an open family room adjacent to the kitchen. Durable tile flooring in the main areas, neutral paint, and abundant natural light. Open-concept kitchen showcases a pantry, a center island with a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, and maple cabinetry. Discover a bright primary bedroom offering enough space for all your furniture, a walk-in closet, and a bathroom with a jetted tub, step-in shower, and dual sink vanity. Both bedrooms are carpeted for extra comfort! The garage has a window A/C unit, ceiling fans, and multiple outlets. In the backyard, relax under the covered patio, green grass, or sparkling pool. Move-in ready!!

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15818 W Mercer Lane Surprise, AZ 85379

$550,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,846 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6783386

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

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15227 S 28th Street Phoenix, AZ 85048

New

$550,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,568 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6785785

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This stunning home, fully updated in 2024, offers the perfect blend of modern living and is located in the heart of one of Ahwatukee's most desirable neighborhoods. Situated on a premium corner lot backing up to a serene desert wash, this property provides both privacy and stunning views. The meticulous updates throughout make this home truly move-in ready! Inside, you'll find an open-concept layout with tasteful finishes and abundant natural light. The kitchen features stylish cabinetry, sleek countertops, and newer appliances, perfect for both daily living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a beautifully updated en-suite bathroom and ample closet space. The resort backyard with view fence and pool are ideal for year-round enjoyment! Conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, dining, and major freeways, this home combines tranquil living with easy access to everything you need. Mountain Park Ranch has 3 community parks and pools (1 heated,) tennis and pickleball courts, hiking trails, etc.

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