A Tale of Two Markets: Inventory Mismatch Paints a More Detailed Picture

The inventory of existing homes for sale in today’s market was recently reported to be at a 3.6-month supply according to the National Association of Realtors latest Existing Home Sales Report. Inventory is now 7.1% lower than this time last year, marking the 20^th consecutive month of year-over-year drops.

Historically, inventory must reach a 6-month supply for a normal market where home prices appreciate with inflation. Anything less than a 6-month supply is a sellers’ market, where the demand for houses outpaces supply and prices go up.

As you can see from the chart below, the United States has been in a sellers’ market since August 2012, but last month’s numbers reached a new low.

Recently Trulia revealed that not only is there a shortage of homes on the market in general, but the homes that are available for sale are not meeting the needs of the buyers that are searching.

Homes are generally bucketed into three groups by price range: starter, trade-up, and premium.

Trulia’s market mismatch score measures the search interest of buyers against the category of homes that are available on the market. For example: “if 60% of buyers are searching for starter homes but only 40% of listings are starter homes, [the] market mismatch score for starter homes would be 20.”

The results of their latest analysis are detailed in the chart below.

Nationally, buyers are searching for starter and trade-up homes and are coming up short with the listings available, leading to a highly competitive seller’s market in these categories. Ninety-two of the top 100 metros have a shortage in trade-up inventory.

Premium homebuyers have the best chance of less competition and a surplus of listings in their price range with an 11-point surplus, leading to more of a buyer’s market.

“It leaves Americans who are in the market for a home increasingly chasing too fewer options in lower price ranges, and sellers of premium homes more likely to be left waiting longer for a buyer.”

 Lawrence Yun, NAR’s Chief Economist doesn’t see an end to this coming any time soon: 

“Competition is likely to heat up even more heading into the spring for house hunters looking for homes in the lower- and mid-market price range.”

Bottom Line

Real estate is local. If you are thinking about buying OR selling this spring, let’s get together to discuss the exact market conditions in your area.  Give me a call – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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1326 N Central Avenue Unit 411 Phoenix, AZ 85004

$599,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,655 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6758669

Property Type Apartment

Price Type --

Highly sought after 3-level loft, 2 bed/2 bath plus office/den in an award-winning building with the perks of urban living. Refined minimalist design with industrial touches throughout the unit. Must be seen to be fully appreciated. Take in amazing views of the North and West Valley through the expansive picturesque windows, and enjoy sunsets from the private rooftop deck with a spectacular downtown view. Located within walking distance to the light rail, Margaret T. Hance Park, and Central Library. Situated directly south of the Phoenix Art Museum and north of Downtown. Art, recreation, sports, music, and the incredible city dining scene just outside your doorstep!

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44449 W Canyon Creek Drive Maricopa, AZ 85139

$599,000

5 Beds

3 Baths

3,930 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6759318

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to your dream home in the highly desirable Cobblestone subdivision of Maricopa! This stunning 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom residence spans 3,929 sq.ft. of nicely upgraded living space. The modern kitchen boasts sleek stainless steel appliances, beautiful quartz countertops, kitchen island and lots of storage. Upstairs you'll find spacious loft and oversized bedrooms for all the guests or family. Step outside into your expansive backyard oasis, complete with a built-in grill, Blackstone griddle and PIZZA OVEN, with a large SPARKLING HEATED POOL AND SPA —ideal for Arizona's sunny days and cool evenings. With ample space, luxurious features, and a prime location, this home offers everything you need for comfort and style. Don't miss the chance to make this your forever home

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160 N Forgeus Avenue Tucson, AZ 85716

$599,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,840 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6781329

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Prestigious Sam Hughes Neighborhood in a limited 9 lot home community on Forgues Ave. This 2 story, 3bedroom, 2 bath home is located in the heart of Sam Hughe walking distance to Sam Hughes Elementary and even the old Rincon Market now as Floras Market Run. All Garages are in the back of the homes allowing great curb appeal. This home has only been owed by one family. Large living room with built in entertainment area. The down stairs has a step down to living room area from entry. Step down to hallway to bathroom and 2 bedrooms. Stairway upstairs for split master bedroom private with master bath. Roman jacuzzi bath tub, pedestal sinks, separate shower. Large walk-in... closet. Vaulted ceilings, separate laundry room, 2 car garage entry from laundry area. Kitchen with eat in area and built in ovens. Back yard enclosed with jacuzzi and grass area. Investor property. Needs remodeling. Power of attorney is selling home and limited info. Home is being cleaned out and pictures coming soon. Selling home As Is. Nov 30th viewing available BY APPOINTMENT ONLY between 10am-2pm. Proof of funds required prior to viewing. Email to co-listing agent. See private remarks regarding access, notices. DO NOT DISTURB elderly resident! All offers are being reviewed in 30 days. No EXCEPTIONS. Offers accepted with 2 additional back ups.

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1014 S 2nd Street Phoenix, AZ 85004

$599,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

1,897 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6759017

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This property features two separate homes, each with its own private ingress and egress, making it ideal for rental income or living in one and renting out the other. Both homes are enclosed with block wall privacy. The front home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. While cozy, it has been updated with tile flooring, a fully tiled tub surround, and an all-tile shower in the second bath. Dual-pane windows throughout improve energy efficiency. The rear house is newer, with 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and 1,008 sqft of living space. Together, the two homes provide almost 2,000 sqft of total living area. Conveniently located very close to Chase Field, Footprint Center, major freeways and all of what downtown Phoenix has to offer!

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3267 Huckleberry Way Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$599,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,700 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6759265

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Magnificent view of 13th Green on the Championship Course! Step thru the front door into this highly upgraded Beacon Floor Plan. From tile throughout the home to the stunning kitchen granite counters this home has everything. SS appliances, large center island, pull out shelving for the soft close cabinet doors, elegant pendant lights for entertaining guests. Primary w/same granite counters, dual sinks & Walk-in closet. Great room with multi-sliding glass door leads you out to the amazing extended patio and views. This floor plan comes with a separate Den and Guest Suite w/Hall Bathroom. Stop by today to make this once in a lifetime your next home!

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1524 E Dublin Street Gilbert, AZ 85295

$599,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,410 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6768551

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This gorgeous 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home in the heart of Gilbert is truly a gem! From the moment you walk in, you'll be captivated by the elegance and thoughtful upgrades throughout. The executive kitchen is a chef's dream, complete with high-end appliances, sleek countertops, and plenty of cabinet space for all your culinary needs. The spacious primary suite has been extended and upgraded, featuring two generous walk-in closets and a luxurious soaking tub, perfect for unwinding after a long day. A private casita offers a perfect retreat for guests, in-laws, or a home office. Enjoy indoor-outdoor living with the expansive extended patio slider doors, allowing for seamless flow to the backyard, ideal for entertaining. Enjoy the beautiful sparkling community pool and local parks. Come view!

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26205 S Beech Creek Drive Sun Lakes, AZ 85248

$599,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,971 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6763105

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Step into a home where sophistication meets comfort. The custom-designed fireplace sets the tone in the expansive great room—perfect for both intimate gatherings and grand entertaining. This home is better than new, boasting brand-new floors and windows throughout, with meticulous attention to detail at every turn! The heart of the home, the gourmet kitchen, is a chef's dream. Featuring top-of-the-line KitchenAid and Bosch appliances, drawer microwave, dual ovens, induction cooktop, custom drawer organization for all your kitchen utensils, stunning custom quartz countertops, and a massive island that provides ample seating. The flat-panel European-style cabinets are sleek and modern, beautifully complemented by designer lighting. Retreat to the luxurious master suite, where relaxation awaits. The master bathroom boasts a bespoke vanity with a dedicated makeup area, a spacious walk-in shower with a bench, and no-step entry for ultimate convenience. The serene bedroom offers a peaceful view of the private backyard, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The open-concept living area flows seamlessly into a formal dining space, ideal for hosting dinner parties or family meals. Step outside to a backyard that's made for Arizona living. The newly epoxied patio is ready for you to enjoy cool winter evenings under the stars. This stunning home is an entertainer's dream and a peaceful retreat all in one. NEW ROOF AND AC! Don't miss your chance to own this beautifully reimagined property!

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4734 E Verbena Drive Phoenix, AZ 85044

$599,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

1,890 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6761591

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Beautiful home in Ahwatukee Foothills Community. Amazing 4 bed single level home 3 car garage, pool/spa. With a granite kitchen island, extensive custom cabinets with pull-outs, an eating nook with a big picture window. Kitchen overlooks the family room & beautiful travertine tiles & freshly painted throughout. Enjoy private pool with spa in this great entertainers backyard. Mature trees and lovely landscape to this yard giving a feeling of the outside peacefulness. Home also has a soft water loop. It's conveniently located near I-10 for access to anywhere but also within the bounds of Ahwatukee and all it has to offer. It's also just a few miles from Pecos Park, which has pools, water slides, 16 pickleball courts, basketball, soccer, volleyball, walking paths and more!

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4046 E Agave Road Phoenix, AZ 85044

$599,000

5 Beds

3 Baths

2,302 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6761563

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Luxury remodel in a premier location!!! Stunning 5 bed/3 bath with soaring 18ft ceilings and gorgeous new flooring throughout. Highlights: *In-laws suite downstairs, plus 2nd bedroom. Full bath downstairs. *Massive 5ft x 1ft porcelain tiles from Italy mimic white oak wood on first floor. *Elegant engineered hardwood stairs lead to plush new carpeting upstairs. *Gourmet kitchen with quartzite counters, marble backsplash, and stainless appliances. *Jaw-dropping primary bath with 9ft x 3.5ftx10ft H tiled shower; nicknamed The Car Wash Shower. * 4 mitered quartzite counters in all 3 full bathrooms. Laundry conveniently located upstairs. *Fresh interior/exterior paint provides move-in ready luxury. *Coveted neighborhood near I10, 202, 60, downtown Phoenix, ASU, top public and charter schools like Basis. *Amenities galore at Mountain Park HOA- 3 Olympic size pools, jacuzzi, pickleball, tennis and sand volleyball courts, walk and bike paths, hiking. Great shopping nearby- Phoenix Premium Outlets, RH Outlet, Marshalls, Costco, AZ Mills Mall, Sprouts, Frys, Home Depot, Lowes. Call today!

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9416 S 46th Street Phoenix, AZ 85044

$599,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,747 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6758376

Property Type Townhouse

Price Type --

ALL-NEW BEAUTIFUL COMPLETE RENOVATION AT THE POINTE!! LifeStyle at The Pointe South Mountain!!! Indulge in the pinnacle of serene luxury living in this exquisite home offering breathtaking mountain and golf course views within the lush and prestigious Mediterranean-inspired Pointe South Mountain community. The visionary Gosnell architecture is immediately breathtaking as you walk in. Enjoy the majestic palms and enchanting lantern-lit evenings while watching the Pointe Resort fireworks from your own backyard with huge beautiful DIVING POOL!, nestled against the serene South Mountain Preserve, with its inviting Pima Canyon Trailhead just a short walk from your door. This hidden gem in The Pointe is nestled on the most sought-after and tranquil cul-de-sac, radiating (read more) ...charm both inside and out. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, a 2-car garage and a glorious resort-style feeling... Your home is waiting for you with its stunningly unique living space and an elegant formal dining area. The vaulted ceilings and high clerestory windows enhance the spacious ambiance, complemented by plantation shutters, flowing natural light, and stylish wood-look flooring throughout. Cozy up by the fireplace in the delightful kiva nook for a martini or a book...or both! JJ Completely upgraded everywhere you look! The bright kitchen is a chef's dream, equipped with all-brand-new stainless steel appliances, sleek quartz countertops, a vertical tile backsplash, ample cabinetry and a breakfast bar peninsula. The primary bedroom boasts a sparkling ensuite with all-new dual sinks and a gorgeous large walk-in shower. The bright front bedroom offers plantation shutters and a generous walk-in closet. Step outside to your entertainer's paradise: a backyard featuring a covered patio, pavers, lush lawns, and a sparkling pool. Every detail exudes WOW! This home is an opportunity not to be missed. Experience the perfect blend of elegance, comfort, and unparalleled beauty. Hurry, this masterpiece won't last long!

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19733 N 79th Avenue Glendale, AZ 85308

$599,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

2,272 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6769879

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Charming single-story home with a spacious, open-concept layout and high ceilings, offering an abundance of natural light and elegant tile flooring throughout. Original owners have lovingly maintained the property ideal for hosting gatherings, this home boasts an extended, covered patio and a serene garden-like backyard. The generous primary suite features a separate tub and shower, a private water closet, and a large walk-in closet. A well-designed split floor plan includes 3 additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. The exterior was freshly painted this year, enhancing its curb appeal. The three-car garage is equipped with insulated door and ample storage cabinets. Conveniently located near golf courses, lakes, parks, and easy access to freeways, shopping, and medical facilities.

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1849 E Northview Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85020

$599,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,752 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6770374

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Location! Location! Location! Act fast before its gone. Beautiful home in Skyline Heights. This home is in the High Demand Pointe area. Brand New Roof just replaced with underlayment and brand-new tiles. New electrical panel box, New Garage door opener, New Security System, and New Dishwasher! Front and Backyard Brand New pet friendly artificial turf installed for low maintenance. Open and bright floorplan with fireplace and Atrium. Across the street from the park with mountain views and minutes from the Biltmore with restaurants, shopping and entertainment.

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