What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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2647 E Vista Place Williams, AZ 86046

$1,695,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

4,184 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6692525

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Discover tranquility & expansive beauty of the High Country. Stunning log home nestled on 5.03 acres secluded amidst towering juniper and pinon trees. A picturesque retreat boasts a charming wrap-around composite deck offering panoramic vistas, 3 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, a spacious kitchen complete with a farmhouse sink, a welcoming great room & family room, versatile loft space, office for remote work or creative pursuits, hardwood floors, and luxurious in-floor heating. The main floor master suite offers a sanctuary with a generous walk-in closet, a separate jetted tub, and shower. Extra-large 2-car garage, measures 25x38, 950 sq ft, equipped with heating. Experience the epitome of mountain living in this idyllic haven.

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5805 E Agave Place Carefree, AZ 85377

$1,695,000

5 Beds

4 Baths

3,329 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6711345

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This stunningly remodeled and modernized residence was crafted by the renowned architect Ilan Baldinger from Baldinger-Studio. Nestled at the foot of Black Mountain in Carefree, AZ, this exquisite home offers a tranquil setting. Step inside this luminous and spacious home to experience a sense of relaxation and serenity. Explore the expansive living and dining area with a revamped entertainment center, complete with a water vapor electric fireplace. The kitchen, with its contemporary white design, boasts top-of-the-line finishes and overlooks the living space and pool. The master suite features a private gas fireplace, a lavish bathroom with a freestanding tub, and a walk-in shower. Additionally, there is a guest casita or office ideal for remote work or visitors. The property includes a 3-car garage equipped with electric charging for your EV. Moreover, there is a separate air-conditioned RV garage or workshop. Countless other upgrades and amenities await discovery in this remarkable home - a true gem that should not be missed.

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4202 E Windsor Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85008

$1,695,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

3,420 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6716435

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

WOW! A new custom home in Arcadia Lite! Walk in to a spacious foyer with tall ceilings & tons of natural light. The living room is open to the kitchen & has spectacular views of the green grass & sparkling blue pool in the backyard. The kitchen boasts TWO islands, walk in pantry, induction cooktop, stainless steel appliances, quartz counter tops, & under-cabinet lighting. Enjoy hosting family & friends in the large dining area with additional cabinet storage. The master suite is a special oasis with a custom accent wall, wall sconces, and spa-like bathroom featuring double sinks, standalone tub, & pristine shower. The master closet even has it's own washer & dryer! The private backyard is ready for entertaining with both covered & uncovered patios and shimmering pool! RV gates! No HOA!

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18526 E Cloud Road Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$1,695,000

6 Beds

5 Baths

6,200 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6753942

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Unleash your creativity with this expansive, unfinished home, ready to be tailored to your exact vision! Set on a sprawling 2 acres, this property offers the rare opportunity to craft your perfect residence from the ground up. With a generous 6,200 sq. ft the layout includes multiple bedrooms and bathrooms, allowing for flexible room configurations and personalized touches. Imagine creating expansive living areas, a gourmet kitchen, and luxurious master suites tailored to your taste. The on-site shop adds functionality, whether you need a workshop, storage, or an extra garage.Enjoy the benefits of a private, serene setting while still being conveniently accessible to local amenities and major roads.This is a rare opportunity to finish a home to your wants and needs.

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411 W Galvin Street Phoenix, AZ 85086

$1,695,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,726 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6771487

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Luxury Remodeled Farmhouse on 2.6 Acres - Horse Property with Resort-Style Pool & Guest Suite Step into the elegance of this completely remodeled farmhouse, sitting on 3 acres of pristine land, perfect for horse lovers. The property features a 2-mare hotel and an arena, catering to all your equestrian needs. Unwind in the 40,000-gallon saltwater pool—a true resort-style oasis right in your backyard. For those who need space to work or play, there's a 3,600 SF detached warehouse complete with a guest suite and bathroom. It's already prepped for a kitchenette, and includes a full gym, an inground cold plunge, and an infrared sauna for ultimate relaxation and wellness. Additionally, a 1,600 SF building on the property is fully outfitted as an office and schoolroom, perfect for homeschooling or remote work. With too many upgrades to list, this property is a rare find. Seller financing available.

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3174 E Marlette Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85016

$1,695,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,796 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6760989

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to your perfect oasis in the guard gated Biltmore Greens. Ideally situated in the foothills of the Phoenix Mountain Preserve, this Biltmore pied et terre offers you both privacy and peace of mind. Allowing you to right size your life with the convenience of a lock and go lifestyle. Step inside to discover a bright, open-concept kitchen that boasts tons of countertop space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. The timeless design seamlessly flows into inviting living areas, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere for family and friends. While the charming low-maintenance backyard provides a serene escape for outdoor gatherings or quiet moments of relaxation. Convenience is at your fingertips with an array of shopping, dining, and entertainment options just moments away.

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29048 N 53rd Street Cave Creek, AZ 85331

$1,695,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,392 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6755729

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

The ideal Arizona Ranch, This property features a beautiful single level home with 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms a sparkling pool and private yard plus a new roof. The ranch area features a brand new 24 stall barn, large new arena 80x120 and property has room to add a round pen or more turnouts. The separate casita has a full kitchen studio style living space and full bath. This ranch is located at the end of 53rd street a very private, very equestrian friendly neighborhood and the best part...This property has CITY WATER and PAVED ROADS TOO!

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7705 E Doubletree Ranch Road Unit 46 Scottsdale, AZ 85258

$1,695,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,366 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6778656

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

PROFESSIONALLY DESIGNED & ARCHITECTED WITH LEVEL 5 FINISHED SMOOTHED WALLS-ALL MARBLE & QUARTZITE BACK SPLASHES & COUNTER TOPS W MITERED EDGES-FLOOR TO CEILING TILE & GLASS THRU OUT BATHROOMS W CURBLESS ENTRY-ENTIRE HOUSE HAS AMERICAN MANUFACTURED DELTA PLUMBING FIXTURES-ALL BRAND NAME HIGH END DESIGNED LIGHTING/CEILING FANS.NEW CUSTOM & LOCALLY MANUFACTURED ALDERWOOD INTERIOR DOORS-96'' WHERE APPLICABLE-BARN DOORS ARE ALL SOFT CLOSE-NEW TOP OF THE LINE CABINETRY THRU OUT ENTIRE HOME-ALL W SOFT CLOSE DRAWERS AND CABINETS -ALL FLOORING/TILE/MARBLE MATERIALS ARE ITALIAN OR SPANISH MANUFACTURED-NO DISCOUNT OUTLETS-ENJOY GAINEY RANCH AMENITIES-24-HR GUARD GATES-NEW ESTATE CLUB-TENNIS & PICKLE BALL COURTS-FITNESS CENTER-OLYMPIC SIZE POOL-THIS HOME IS TRULY MOVE IN CONDITION -THIS IS A MUST SEE

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7151 E Mcdonald Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

Open House

$1,695,000

2 Beds

3 Baths

1,884 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6768548

Property Type Townhouse

Price Type --

Welcome to the epitome of modern luxury at this exquisitely rebuilt from the studs out and reimagined single level jewel box. Luxuriously appointed, this Paradise Valley masterpiece is exactly what you have been waiting for and more. This stunning two bedroom, 2.5 bathroom townhome, complete with a versatile den, has been meticulously reconfigured to maximize space, eliminate hallways and raise ceilings, all with a soft contemporary design. Step inside to discover an open floor plan bathed in natural light, custom iron Western doors and windows and French white oak flooring and gas fireplace, highlighting the sophisticated style of the interior. Embracing indoor out door living, there are two charming limestone and turf patios with one patio featuring a newly built gas fireplace, creating an intimate atmosphere for both relaxing and hosting guests. The gourmet kitchen features custom designer cabinetry, elegant honed white marble countertops, wolf range, subzero refrigerator, subzero wine tower, and two additional beverage drawers. Retreat to the spacious master suite, where you'll find a luxurious spa-like bathroom with a walk-in shower, soaking tub, dual vanities, designer cabinetry, white marble and premium fixtures and custom walk-in closet. The second bedroom offers ample space and comfort, featuring a full ensuite and new closet. Attached direct access two car garage has newly epoxied floor and generous storage. A rare opportunity for an interior location at the exclusive Villa Serena community. You'll have access to a range of amenities including a sparkling pool, fitness center, and beautifully landscaped grounds. Located in prestigious Paradise Valley, this home offers unparalleled convenience with close proximity and walkability to upscale shopping, dining, and entertainment.

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24209 N 87th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

Open House

New

$1,695,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,770 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6787243

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to North Scottsdale luxury living in Pinnacle Peak Estates. Situated on over 1.3 acres this spectacular home boasts a variety of upgrades including a 4 car extended length garage w/electric vehicle charging station & storage cabinets, RV parking, observation roof deck, mountain views, resort style backyard, massive circular drive and over 1,000 sq ft of pavers! Brand new roof in 2023 w/10 year warranty, remodeled master bath and new septic in 2021. Interior features include 2 fireplaces, 4 beds, 3.5 baths, separate office & den, split floor plan, stone & wood flooring throughout, kitchen island w/ granite countertops, breakfast eating area & formal dining. Amazing backyard amenities include a private pool, heated spa, built in BBQ, large covered patio, fire pit & mountain views!!

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10468 E Quartz Rock Road Scottsdale, AZ 85255

Open House

$1,694,900

4 Beds

4 Baths

3,691 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6746155

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

A true Troon oasis! This beautiful custom home was perfectly designed to gaze directly upon Troon Mountain. Enter through the front courtyard and imagine yourself relaxing in the pool, or sitting on the patio with one of Scottsdale's most picturesque mountains as your backdrop. Step inside, where you'll find a living room with a wall of windows, again designed with the specific goal of soaking in those majestic views, topped by clerestory windows for abundant light. Subtle southwest details add tons of charm, like saltillo flooring, soft-edge niches and fireplace surrounds, and vega beam accents inside and outside. Continue to the kitchen, with gorgeous granite counter tops, stone accent backsplash, stainless appliances, and a generous pantry. Here you'll also find the comfortable sitting room, with a second fireplace and warm wood accent ceilings. The bedroom layout is ideal. The primary suite has access out to a private patio and an ample ensuite bathroom with separate shower and tub, as well as two walk-in closets. Also within the main house are two large guest bedrooms, each with walk-in closet and ensuite bathroom. Don't miss the casita, this fourth bedroom is a complete setup for your guests, with plenty of space for a bed and seating/office area, a niche for the mini fridge, and of course full bathroom and walk-in closet. The garage is huge, with more than enough space for two cars plus almost one full-size car space on the side for storage, workshop, bikes, golf cart, and more. Imagine having all of this in a gated community within Troon, one of Scottsdale's most renowned neighborhoods. Not just that, but in the center of Troon, walking distance to your morning hike at the Pinnacle Peak Mountain or lunch at Pinnacle Grill, or grab your bike and continue to the Four Seasons Resort for dinner at Proof Canteen, Talavera Steakhouse, or just enjoy a massage at the spa. The list is practically endless for golf, fine dining, shopping, hiking, everything that north Scottsdale has to offer, just minutes away. Come see this amazing home today.

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6836 N 13th Place Phoenix, AZ 85014

$1,694,500

4 Beds

4.5 Baths

3,195 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6745364

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Opportunity is knocking. *TO BE BUILT* Welcome to your future dream home in one of Phoenix's most sought-after neighborhoods! Nestled in the prestigious, A+ rated Madison School District, this rare, custom build opportunity offers you the chance to create a home that's as unique as you are. Imagine designing your perfect sanctuary, tailored to your every desire, right in the vibrant heart of Uptown Phoenix! Whether you envision a modern architectural masterpiece or a charming, classic farmhouse, this prime location offers the perfect canvas to bring your vision to life. Stroll through the nearby trendy cafes, indulge in gourmet dining experiences, or enjoy a night out at the local bars, all within a stone's throw of your future doorstep. *Photos are of previous homes. This is more than just a lot; it's an invitation to build your forever home in a community known for its charm, convenience, and top-tier amenities. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to create the home you've always dreamed of, in a location that truly has it all.

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