What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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21242 N 80th Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$1,550,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,532 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6773622

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This breathtaking home in the highly desirable community of Grayhawk Raptor is nestled nicely at the end of a cul de sac and central in the neighborhood. Within close proximity to all your recreational and highly rated restaurants, this home boasts of extensive stone work all throughout. Take in the serenity of the calming desert gardens all throughout the home and enjoy the brand new hot tub surrounded by it all! Make it all yours!

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3010 E Sierra Vista Drive Phoenix, AZ 85016

$1,550,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,450 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6784813

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Opening the front door reveals a huge airy living room & fireplace, a high open ceiling & picturesque views beyond the patio majestically framing PIESTEWA PEAK just beyond the formal living room opening to private patio & pool. Spacious primary bedroom suite enjoys the view & walk out to the covered patio & yard, Primary Spa styled twin vanities, large walk-in closet & natural lighting. Sky Light & a glass brick wall illuminate the kitchen w a gourmet GAS cooktop close to formal dining with desert views opposite a Breakfast room & counter along a lovely garden atrium. Two upstairs bedrooms each ensuite with walk-in closets. Total 3 bedrooms, 3 full baths plus a powder room. Approximately 2,450 square feet. Recent New Roof & HVAC System installation & more w pride of ownership CLICK MORE 2 new GAS FURNACES & 2 new A/C units installed in 2021 NEW ROOF installed 2020 - 10-year warranty to 2030. NEW Front Door, 2021 New Interior & Exterior Paint, 2020 New Ceiling Fans, New Hot Water Heater, New Refridgerator 2022 NEW PELLA Doors & Windows on level 1 in 2023 New Carpeting 2022

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20488 N 95th Place Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$1,550,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,501 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6784673

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Upgraded luxury living in beautiful DC Ranch! This home has seen a total transformation with custom updates and high-level finishes throughout including a stunning open kitchen and oversized island with new cabinets, gas cooktop, countertops, appliances and great storage. New wood floors throughout, wet bar with beverage fridge and built-ins, washer/dryer, all plumbing fixtures, sinks, toilets and fresh paint on the interior and exterior. The landscaping was completely redesigned including new plants, pavers, lighting, pergola, artificial turf, built-in BBQ, gas fireplace with seating, and a Zen fountain with views of the McDowell Mountains. Both HVAC units and all windows have been replaced as well! This home truly is move-in ready, located in a gated community that is walking distance to the highly coveted Market Street for shopping, dining and entertainment, as well as around the corner from the new Desert Camp Community Center featuring an expanded fitness center, pool & spa, basketball, tennis & pickleball courts, walking paths & more!

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12113 E Sahuaro Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85259

$1,550,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

3,125 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6786461

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This custom Scottsdale home is situated on an expansive cul-de-sac lot with unobstructed mountain views, exceptional privacy, and a 3-car garage. Inside, 12-ft vaulted ceilings, a custom star-and-cross tile inlay, engineered wood floors, and a two-sided fireplace create a warm ambiance. The chef's kitchen is a showpiece with white-oak cabinetry, Calacatta Prado Quartz countertops, Z-line appliances, a pot filler, a stylish walk-in pantry, and a drink fridge. The luxurious primary suite offers tray ceilings, a cozy built-in fireplace, and a serene private seating area. Additional highlights include a chic powder bath, an expanded laundry room with oak cabinetry, and a versatile drop station. The backyard is an entertainer's dream, featuring a sparkling pool, artificial turf, lush desert landscaping, a mature shade tree, and a built-in BBQ. Conveniently close to top-ranked schools and hiking trails!

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28640 N 76th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85266

$1,550,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

3,362 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6775775

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Nestled in the heart of North Scottsdale, this expansive 2.5-acre estate offers the perfect blend of luxury, space, and potential for customization. Set against a backdrop of the stunning desert landscape, the territorial-style home showcases the timeless beauty of Saltillo tile floors, bringing warmth and character to every room. With 4 spacious bedrooms and a charming courtyard entry, this home welcomes you with a serene ambiance and elegant design. Ample space surrounds the property, making it ideal for the discerning buyer looking to create a custom equestrian setup, build additional garages, or add sport courts to enhance the estate's recreational offerings. The centerpiece of the backyard is a large, sparkling pool, complete with a slide and diving board, perfect for family fun and entertaining. For those seeking panoramic views of Scottsdale's breathtaking sunsets, the rooftop deck offers an unbeatable vantage point.

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20612 W Colter Street Buckeye, AZ 85396

$1,550,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,383 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6775381

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to a luxurious David Weekley masterpiece in the exclusive Victory at Verrado, a 55+ community that combines resort-style amenities with serene, golf course living. This 3,383 SF Spanish-style home sits on a prime lot with mountain, golf course, and city light views. With a highly sought-after Fruition floorplan, it offers 3 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and is loaded with custom upgrades that make it as functional as it is beautiful. The home's curb appeal is undeniable, with a charming Spanish-inspired exterior and low-maintenance, meticulously landscaped front yard. As you approach, a grand walkway leads to the entry, setting the stage for what lies within. Step inside and you're immediately struck by the openness of the floorplan and the abundance of natural light streaming through expansive windows and a unique interior/exterior courtyard. This open-concept layout and the seamless flow from the grand entry into the main living space create a welcoming atmosphere for relaxation and entertainment. As you round the corner into the shared living areas, you're greeted by sweeping golf course views. The living room is anchored by an upgraded fireplace and opens to a chef's kitchen equipped with top-of-the-line Thermador appliances, including an oversized refrigerator with a wine door attachmenta thoughtful touch for those who love to entertain. The kitchen counters are elegant Quartz, and the island countertop features a stunning stone finish, adding to the space's modern yet inviting design. Thoughtfully placed under-cabinet and island lighting add to the kitchen's cozy ambiance, perfect for evening gatherings. A spacious walk-in pantry completes the kitchen, providing ample storage for those who thrive in the culinary arts. The dining area, positioned just off the kitchen, is perfect for hosting and offers more stunning views that make each meal a memorable occasion. The split floorplan ensures privacy, with a primary suite that feels like its own retreat. The master bedroom features plush carpet flooring and a luxurious ensuite bath, complete with Quartz counters and beautifully tiled finishes. The walk-in closet connects conveniently to the laundry room, an incredibly practical and elegant feature. Additionally, a versatile den/office boasts a built-in real wood library with dual desks and custom lighting, making it an ideal space for work or relaxation. An unexpected bonus awaits in the garage, which features a 2-car tandem setup, comfortably fitting up to 3 vehicles. Throughout the home, wood flooring extends through the main living areas, enhancing the warm and timeless appeal, while tile graces the bathrooms for both style and practicality. The backyard is an entertainer's paradise and a peaceful retreat, designed to make the most of Arizona's breathtaking landscape. Enjoy a private pool with water features, string lights for evening ambiance, and multiple outdoor seating areas, including a cozy firepit lounge. This outdoor space offers unobstructed views of the golf course, mountains, and the city lights of downtown Phoenixa backdrop that transforms each sunset into an event. Resort-style amenities in Victory at Verrado include access to state-of-the-art fitness facilities, pools, and the renowned Victory Golf Course. This home's combination of high-end finishes, stunning design, and an unbeatable location makes it truly one-of-a-kind. Don't miss the opportunity to experience this exceptional property!

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3354 E Jaeger Circle Mesa, AZ 85213

$1,550,000

6 Beds

4.5 Baths

5,420 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6778272

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Nestled in the desirable, gated community of Arboleda, this beautifully updated semi-custom home is set along charming, citrus-lined streets. Thoughtfully designed with custom molding throughout, this spacious home showcases a gourmet kitchen featuring a GE Café double oven and newer appliances, perfect for hosting gatherings. The home offers a versatile layout ideal for families, with six generously sized bedrooms, including a grand master suite, and a game room for endless entertainment. Enjoy real wood flooring and tile throughout, with a bonus flex space off one bedroom and a split floor plan offering privacy for the master suite and office. The family room boasts a custom fireplace and built-in bookcase, adding warmth and character. Step outside to two covered patios overlooking .... a large pebble-tech pool and a backyard filled with mature citrus trees, including Arizona Sweets, navel oranges, and lemons. The 4-car garage, complete with storage cabinets and attic space, completes this home's unique appeal.

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22770 Fox Ranch Road Munds Park, AZ 86017

$1,550,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,416 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6662555

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

All reasonable offers considered! Act fast to secure with built in equity since its listed below 3 appraisals! Open to investor offers! Flexible Financing Available Seller willing to carry with sizeable down and Interest rates tailored to fit your needs. Peace & Quiet on 11+ Acres Perfect for Short Term Rental, running a business, hobby farm, or simply embracing tranquility. Price Lowered - Owner Extremely Motivated! Over 300k in Equity immediately! ACT NOW NO HOA, 11.98 Acres Bordering the majestic Coconino National Forest, this property offers a rare opportunity to live in harmony with nature while enjoying Munds Park amenities just a stone's throw away. -Custom Home Features Stainless appliances, wood stove, entertainers bar, spacious bedrooms, large mudroom, and more! Available fully furnished! -Peace of Mind Amenities Equipped with Briggs & Stratton generator, septic system, and shared well for continuous comfort. -Equestrian Paradise Full arena, round pen, cross-fenced areas, shelters, and out-buildings provide everything you need to care for your horses. A haven for both horse and rider! -Four-Season Comfort Mild climate ensures year-round enjoyment of your outdoor pursuits. Don't miss out on this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to own your slice

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9602 E Allison Way Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$1,550,000

5 Beds

4 Baths

4,004 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6695491

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Price Improvement! New roof underlayment & newly resurfaced pool. Welcome to this cul-de-sac home in the gated community of Mirabel Village! Experience this stunning property with a short film (not a photo slideshow - 2nd image click play) showcasing the elegant interior and resort-like grounds. After, further explore this impressive home with a full interior 3D walk-through. Tour this home at your own pace. 1.2 acres featuring a heated pool, spa, fire pit and BBQ pergola. Expansive private courtyard with fireplace and access to attached casita. Iron entry door opens to a foyer and formal living room with fireplace. The main home features 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, a total of 3 interior fireplaces, stacked stone accent walls, window shutters, soaring ceilings and built ins throughout.

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37202 Ne Greythorn Circle Carefree, AZ 85377

$1,550,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,088 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6732284

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This nearly new Catalonia model by Toll features a fantastic great room split floor plan w/great Black Mountain views in gated Reserve at Tranquil Trail. 3 ensuite bedrooms, 3.5 baths, an office, & a bonus room plus a 3 car garage all on one level w/a gorgeous pool/spa & gazebo. Upgrades throughout including courtyard entry w/travertine pavers & modern water feature, huge great room w/sliding pocket door, gas fireplace, wood-look tile floors, dark wood cabinets, granite counters, glass tile backsplash, SS appliances, custom lighting, clerestory windows, plantation shutters, & ceiling fans. Large primary bedroom w/lavish bath featuring dual sinks, floating tub, tiled shower surrounds w/dual shower heads, & walk-in closet w/organizers. Great secondary en suite bedrooms and bonus room in

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10914 E Cinder Cone Trail Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$1,550,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

3,900 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6758237

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Luxury home in Candlewood Estates at Troon North * Open, 3 bedroom plus office and bonus room, game room, formal dining room and living room with zero interior steps * Private north/south exposure lot with mountain and sunset views * Resort-style outdoor living with a pool, covered dining patio, built-in BBQ and gas fireplace * A 3-car garage completes the residence *

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8170 E Golden Spur Lane Carefree, AZ 85377

$1,550,000

4 Beds

4.5 Baths

3,809 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6764276

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Amazing Custom Home with detached casita (footage calculated in total). Nestled between gorgeous mountain vistas and natural wash valleys on 2.6 acres of land. Grande porte cochere towers over the private drive entry with gorgeous double wrought iron entry doors. Home opens to a 2-story foyer with gorgeous vistas and natural lighting overlooking pool/spa. Natural stone floors, marble & granite accents and tops, other pillar accents throughout. Newly refinished cabinetry adds a modern touch to an otherwise elegant space. 2-story patio shadows a large exterior entertaining zone flanked by a gorgeous pebble tech pool/spa and detached pool/guest house. This home truly is a desert gem!

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