What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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26615 S 181st Place Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$1,300,000
5 Beds
3 Baths
3,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6702571
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
NEW BUILD-Approximate completion date November/December 2024. Enjoy the priceless views of the San Tan Mountains, 957 sq/ft detached casita with full kitchen, irrigated lot and NO HOA, YES PLEASE! Located on just over an acre in the desirable Chandler Heights District of Queen Creek. This open floor plan offers plenty of space for indoor/outdoor entertaining and also includes a den. 5 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms. Oversized 4 car garage and abundant space finishes off this dream home. Home is currently under construction and builder is offering an allowance for the following: appliances, cabinets, counter tops, flooring, electrical and the front door. Minutes from local shopping, hiking, entertainment, Horseshoe Park & Equestrian Center and the newly build Pecan Lake Entertainment Center!

3333 N 87th Street Mesa, AZ 85207

$1,300,000
4 Beds
3.5 Baths
3,503 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6781067
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Gorgeous Santa Fe style home offering elegant southwest living with Mountain Views. At over 1900 feet elevation and located high in the desert uplands/foothills bordering Las Sendas. Very quiet and private neighborhood of million-dollar homes. No HOA. Incredible views with 1.3 acres. Lots of space for your RV or toys. The property features 3503 sq ft of living space. Extra deep garage and large storage room. The kitchen features hickory cabinets, granite countertops, two built-in ovens, raised dishwasher, and a large walk-in pantry. The Master bathroom offers dual sinks, soaking tub, walk-in shower and large walk-in closet. 10' ceilings throughout, 8' knotty alder interior doors. Two covered balconies front and rear upstairs which provide beautiful Valley and Mountain view Super large rear patio, outside sitting area with fireplace. Entire house painted in 2021. FEATURES: Higher Elevation - 1,905 feet (City of Mesa average elevation is 1,263 feet) Large lot - 1.3 acre County Island Quiet neighborhood No HOA Santa Fe style Southwest exposure Surrounded by Mountain views Valley views - day and night Well - new water tank and well pump and tank pump 5 years ago - not shared Two covered balconies - front and rear Premium security screen doors all around - main level and balconies 10-foot ceilings throughout 8-foot interior doors Round corners Extra deep 3 car garage - Cabinets in garage 3 A/C units - 1 new 6 years ago - 1 new 3 years ago 3 1/2 bathrooms - all with walk-in showers Granite counters in kitchen Raised dishwasher Brand new GE range/oven Appliances stay - refrigerator, washer and drier two water heaters - one replaced 4 years ago new luxury vinyl plank floors and new carpeting 8 foot solid wood doors Hickory cabinets throughout Sunscreens New master bath soaking bathtub Upgraded fans in every room - kitchen fan is remote control Video projector and screen in family room - speakers in ceiling Surround speakers in master bedroom Huge walk-in pantry Two built-in microwave ovens Two separate ovens Super large rear patio - 15 feet x 70 feet New Master Spa hot tub Front patio sitting area Parking for three cars at side of garage/or RV parking Outside sitting area with fireplace Foam roof with tile features - foam roof re-coated in 2024 Entire house painted in March 2021 Water softener Reverse osmosis system Copper plumbing Lot engineered with culverts, grading and stones Topographical surveyed Area for additional driveway and parking from Russell Street 20 minutes to Sky Harbor 15 minutes to ASU 5 minutes to MCC East 10 minutes to Red Mountain High School 15 minutes to Saguaro Lake/Salt River

28319 N 252nd Avenue Wittmann, AZ 85361

$1,300,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
2,115 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6696908
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
***DREAM HORSE PROPERTY*** Escape the hustle & bustle of the city and embrace the beauty & serenity of country life in this fantastic Custom Santa-fe style property! This beauty is located on it's own private road, comes with a MASSIVE almost 5 acre lot including 2 parcels!! Upon arrival, discover roping & riding arena, 6 shaded double stalls total of 12 stalls and 19 pens with water at each one , 40 foot conex for tack, hay & extra storage, This is one of the most completely turn-key, ready to move into horse properties out there. Conveniently located within a 30 minute drive to all the great roping & barrel racing arenas in Morristown, Wickenburg & Buckeye RV hookups parking with ele., plenty of room for all your toys, horse trailers & Big trucks, your own private well with the ability to have 4 shares if more homes were to be built on the additional parcel someday, a 3-car garage & gated courtyard with Rustic knotty pine beams. This bright & airy open floor features a beehive fireplace, tile flooring, recessed lighting, and a soothing palette. The kitchen comes with large cabinetry, granite counters, and built-in appliances. The primary retreat has a sliding barn door that opens to a full bathroom flooded with natural light, A dual vanity, soaking tub, glass block shower, walk-in closet, and backyard access complete the picture for this ensuite. The den is perfect for an office or an extra bedroom. The laundry room includes attached cabinetry & a sink. Sit back & relax under the covered patio while contemplating colorful sunsets & panoramic mountain views! Let's not forget about the attached parcel 503-32-031-B, which provides tons of space for horses to roam & limitless possibilities! Inquire today! Furnishings, John Deere tractor & bobcat can be purchased with separate bill of sale.

4186 W Silverdale Road San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$1,300,000
4 Beds
3.5 Baths
3,602 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6752080
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Are you tired of cheaply built black-and-white spec homes? Have you been looking for a home built with quality craftsmanship and distinctive style? Your search is over! This property is designed and built by a respected custom home builder as his personal retirement residence. This nearly 3.5 acres of beautiful desert land offers exquisite privacy, incredible views, and enough room for a shop, guest house, barn, you name it. All with animal rights and freedom from HOA hassles. The elegant interior finishes include over 12,000 sqft of beautiful blue pine lumber, cut from northern Arizona pine forests bringing resort-style living into the valley, custom stonework, granite countertops, and much more. The full-length covered patio, porch, and massive 30'X30' garage combine with the spacious home to equal 6,000 sqft under roof. Expertly designed for maximum functionality and efficiency, this home offers ample storage space and no hallways. No detail has been overlooked, and no corners have been cut in this custom four-bedroom, three-and-a-half-bath energy-efficient home. With a 400 amp electrical service, welder-ready connection, and EV charger in the garage, not to mention the R/V hook-up outside, this property checks all the boxes. Endless hiking, biking, and horseback riding are at your fingertips from the Rock Peak Wash Trail-head entrance into the over 10,000-acre San Tan Mountain Park just down the street. Don't delay! You could search the entire Phoenix Valley for years and never find another opportunity like this.

7737 E Shooting Star Way Scottsdale, AZ 85266

$1,300,000
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
3,504 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6744041
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Beautiful home in guard gated Winfield with breathtaking views. Home features a gated courtyard with lush landscaping, and backs onto private natural space with no homes in sight. Once through the front door, you are greeted by a massive living and dining room with soaring ceilings and expansive windows letting in lots of natural light and magnificent views of the beautiful backyard. Custom wood flooring in most areas, with tile and carpet in the remainder of the home. Oversized kitchen has beautiful Granite countertops, lots of cabinets, Stainless appliances and walk-in pantry. Breakfast Bar separates kitchen from eating area, which overlooks an enormous Family Room with built-in entertainment center and fireplace. Family Room leads to an outdoor entertainer's dream steps away from the Saltillo Tiled covered patio. Backyard features a built-in BBQ with sink and small fridge, a small pool and a raised fireplace with surrounding seating and gorgeous views. Primary suite features wrap around windows overlooking stunning views, oversized bathroom and large organized walk-in closet. Bathroom features separate sinks, walk-in shower and large raised bathtub. In addition to two large secondary bedrooms, there is an oversized flex room with tile flooring and direct access to one of the two double garages that could serve as an office, game room or workout room. Community offers a beautiful community pool and spa, workout facilities, many Pickleball and Tennis Courts and a beautiful clubhouse.

31006 N Memory Lane Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$1,300,000
5 Beds
4 Baths
3,209 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6774124
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this exceptional luxury estate, where elegance, functionality, and modern design come together on a sprawling 1.299-acre lot. With 3,209 sqft of living space, 5 bedrooms, and 4 bathrooms, this home offers the finest in high-end living. At the heart of the home is a gourmet kitchen that truly stands out, designed for both culinary enthusiasts and entertainers. The kitchen features a large 10-foot island, an 8-burner Forno gas range, a custom chef's fridge, and an oversized walk-in pantry. Lovely accent pendants above the island add a touch of sophistication, making this space as beautiful as it is functional. The luxurious primary suite is a true retreat, offering a spacious bedroom with ample natural light and serene views. The primary bathroom exudes luxury...click more... with a huge walk-in shower, a standalone soaking tub, and elegant finishes throughout. The expansive walk-in closet completes this private haven, providing both comfort and style. This home has been meticulously upgraded with significant aftermarket improvements, including front landscaping, a custom courtyard, and stunning wood plank tile flooring throughout. High ceilings, with 10-foot heights across the home and an impressive 11 ft 6 in ceiling in the great room, create a sense of grandeur and openness, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Outdoor living is equally impressive, with breathtaking views of the San Tan Mountains providing a stunning backdrop for your daily life. The property, zoned for horse use, offers endless possibilities for outdoor amenities like a pool or equestrian facilities, all within the privacy of your own estate. Practicality meets luxury with an extended driveway that has been expanded to accommodate up to nine vehicles, ideal for hosting guests or simply enjoying the convenience of extra space. The property also features dual RV gates on each side, allowing for easy pull-through access for large trailers or motor homes, a rare and highly desirable feature. Energy efficiency is a priority, with spray foam insulation and two AC units ensuring comfort year-round. The 3-car garage, complete with epoxy-coated floors, adds to the home's functionality and appeal, providing ample space for vehicles and storage. In addition to the luxurious features of this stunning estate, the location offers proximity to some of the most appealing destinations in the area. Just a short drive away, San Tan Mountain Regional Park provides miles of scenic hiking, mountain biking, and equestrian trails with breathtaking desert views, making it the perfect escape for outdoor enthusiasts. Nearby, the Queen Creek Olive Mill offers a charming experience with farm tours, artisan olive oil tastings, and farm-to-table dining, perfect for a relaxing day out. For equestrian lovers, the Horseshoe Park & Equestrian Centre is a nearby facility that hosts a variety of horse-related events and competitions throughout the year, serving as a hub for the local horse community. Additionally, Schnepf Farms, a favorite family destination, offers seasonal events like the Pumpkin & Chili Party, U-Pick gardens, and a country store, providing endless fun and fresh produce year-round. For golf enthusiasts, the area offers excellent courses just a short drive away. Here are four great options nearby: San Tan Highlands, Encanterra® Country Club, Las Colinas Golf Club, and Poston Butte Golf Club. These destinations, combined with the luxury and privacy of your new home, make this property a truly exceptional place to live.

6134 E Quail Track Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85266

$1,300,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,559 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6757772
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The ultimate Horse Lover's Paradise! Unparalleled in design & craftsmanship, this light & bright open floor plan is nestled on almost 1.2 acres. Details throughout this immaculately maintained property exude true pride of ownership with only the finest finishes inside and beautifully landscaped outside. You'll be the envy of ALL your horse friends while kicking back on the patio looking out at the most charming barn/horse set up. This horse lover's dream property comes complete with 155 x 65 arena, tack room, storage & misting system. Don't miss out on this amazing opportunity as this home is waiting for you to come and enjoy all that AZ living has to offer.

10231 N 38th Street Phoenix, AZ 85028

$1,300,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
3,102 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6774097
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Introducing an extraordinary opportunity to own a move-in-ready estate on over an acre of pristine land—without the restrictions of an HOA. This exceptional horse property presents an unparalleled blend of natural desert beauty, privacy, and charm. Huge driveway, mature shade trees, and breathtaking desert views, this home offers both seclusion and convenience in an enviable location. Step inside to discover a rustic-inspired interior that exudes warmth and character. The spacious open-concept living area features wooden panel walls, warm paint tones, decorative light fixtures, & wood-burning fireplace. Newly upgraded kitchen is equipped with granite counters & viking stove, beautiful wood cabinetry, a pantry, built-in appliances, and a breakfast bar for casual meal. For those seeking flexibility, the guest quarters offer a perfect blend of comfort and privacy. Complete with its own kitchenette, bathroom, and closet space, this self-contained suite provides a welcoming space for guests or could serve as a potential rental or in-law suite. Whether you envision keeping horses on the expansive property, building additional structures, or simply enjoying the wide-open space, the possibilities here are endless. This remarkable estate is perfect for those who appreciate the finer things in life, offering a seamless blend of luxury, functionality, and natural beauty. Don't miss this rare chance to own a piece of desert paradise.

210 White Tail Drive Sedona, AZ 86351

$1,300,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,612 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6763188
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Luxury home embraced by the 11th fairway of Gary Pank's championship Sedona golf course boasting views of golf course,Red Rocks,& mesas.Elegance found in this newly interior painted 4BR/3BA single level open floor plan, corner golf course lot.New energy efficient owned solar panels,H2O heater,dishwasher,RO system in '24. Lock & leave options include the latest technology w/Ring security cameras & ADT monitoring.Separate building adjacent to the pool/backyard provides unlimited potential for casita/studio/office.Resort style backyard w/hot tub providing cascading waters flowing into pool providing ambient amethyst lighting at night. Favorable Seller financing is a consideration as well as furnishings via a separate bill of sale.Obviously this one won't last long

1302 E Maddock Road Phoenix, AZ 85086

$1,300,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,702 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6763983
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Come see this beautiful property with a beautiful 2700 square-foot main home and then a two bedroom two bath guest house. Plus lots of horse stables and just an amazing overall property.

5606 E Desert Winds Drive Cave Creek, AZ 85331

$1,300,000
4 Beds
4 Baths
4,125 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6766944
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Amazing SW style home located on over 2 acres prime N Cave Creek Spur Cross area with amazing mountain views! This home features a split floorplan with lots of windows, tile flooring, and a fireplace. Owners have added a large walk in closet plus a 2 story library with spiral staircase leading to upper level and balcony! This home also features a hard to find 1600 SQFT separate 3 Car garage/workshop with AC and full bathroom, sink, counterspace, and lots of room so it could easily be converted to a guest house if desired. Relax in the courtyard area in between the home and seperate garage, or enjoy the views on covered back patio with Ramada. This home will not last long.

2002 S El Mirage Road Avondale, AZ 85323

$1,300,000
5 Beds
5.5 Baths
6,083 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6773391
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
A gorgeous home that welcomes you with a circle drive and a grand door poised to impress. This charming home offers unique features unlike other cookie cutter homes. This home includes five bedrooms and six bathrooms. The chef's kitchen offers an expansive gas range, double ovens, built in over-sized refrigerator, dual dishwahers and plenty of counter space. You have a variety of dining areas for your family and to entertain dinner guests. Enjoy the enormous game room or simply go to your private theater and catch a movie or your favorite sporting event. The resort style backyard is the perfect spot to unwind and relax. Concerned about the high cost of utilities? The owned solar generates approximately 30,000 KW annually reducing your utility bills exponentially. Take a look today!

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