What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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3966 W Antelope Way San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$619,999
6 Beds
4.5 Baths
3,164 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6784816
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
BETTER THAN NEW with over $20k in upgrades added after closing! Rare opportunity for a modern design home in the sought after Toll Brothers community on the edge of San Tan Valley and Queen Creek! Close to shopping and dining with gorgeous mountain views!

10516 S 48th Glen Laveen, AZ 85339

$619,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,390 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6728647
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This Deacon home includes an attached insulated RV garage, plus two tandem garage bays! Inside, a well-appointed gourmet kitchen, gas stove, quartz countertops, with a walk-in pantry that is flanked by a great room and a dining room with center-meet doors with covered patio access. You'll also appreciate an elegant primary suite with a private bathroom with deluxe shower #2 and ample walk-in closet space. A mudroom, a convenient laundry, and a flex room will complete the plan.

21783 E Roundup Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$619,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,510 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6666441
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this stunning three-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home that exudes elegance and functionality! Step inside to discover a teen room, study, and a three-car garage, providing ample space for all your needs. This home offers a desirable north-south exposure and a paver driveway, adding to its curb appeal. The kitchen is a chef's delight with 42-inch regal white kitchen uppers, quartz countertops, an oversize island, and upgraded stainless steel appliances including a professional gas range. The contemporary interior design features a 6 x 35 wood tile throughout, creating a seamless and stylish look. Unwind in the primary bath's tile walk-in shower or enjoy the convenience of a kitchen pantry for storage. The upgraded paint package in agreeable gray adds a touch of sophistication! Located conveniently near Highway 24, this home is also close to dining, entertainment, and shopping options, making it a prime location for a vibrant lifestyle. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own this gorgeous home, experience luxury living at its finest!

4813 W Stargazer Place Laveen, AZ 85339

$619,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,390 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6700009
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The Deacon plan includes an attached RV garage, plus two tandem garage bays! Inside, a well-appointed Gourmet kitchen with a walk-in pantry is flanked by a great room and a dining room with covered patio access. You'll also appreciate an elegant primary suite with a private bathroom and ample walk-in closet space. A mudroom, a convenient laundry and a flex room.

4836 W Stargazer Place Laveen, AZ 85339

$619,995
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,630 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6679937
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
An inviting covered porch welcomes guests to the charming Pomona plan. A spacious great room is at the heart of the open layout, adjacent to a roomy nook and impressive gourmet kitchen with a walk-in pantry, center island, Stainless steel appliances. This home will be built with either a study and Guest suit option complete with separate living room, wet bar and separate laundry. There is also an additional bedroom and full bathroom, The lavish primary suite offers a generous walk-in closet and a private bath with double sinks and oversized walk-in shower. A convenient laundry and covered back patio are also included. This home will also feature a 3-car garage and 10ft ceilings.

10515 S 47th Lane Laveen, AZ 85339

$619,995
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,630 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6720382
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
An inviting covered porch welcomes guests to the charming Pomona plan. A spacious great room is at the heart of the open layout, boasting 10' ceilings throughout, adjacent to a roomy nook and an impressive gourmet kitchen with white shaker cabinets, quartz counters, satin nickel fixtures, with a walk-in pantry and center island. This home has stone tile throughout with carpeted bedrooms. The lavish primary suite offers a generous walk-in closet and a private bath with double sinks. A convenient laundry, covered patio, and separate study are also included.

10512 S 48th Glen Laveen, AZ 85339

$619,995
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,630 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6728638
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
An inviting covered porch welcomes guests to this charming Pomona home with 10' ceilings throughout. A spacious great room is at the heart of the open layout, adjacent to a roomy nook and an impressive gourmet kitchen, 42'' white shaker cabinets, quartz countertops, gas stove, with a walk-in pantry and center island. This home will be built with a space to use for a study or formal dining room. The lavish primary suite offers a generous walk-in closet, a private bath with deluxe shower #2, and double sinks. A convenient laundry and covered patio are also included.

21726 E Lords Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$619,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,390 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6702133
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Introducing this exquisite home featuring the interior Bermuda Linen collection features timeless 42'' white regal upper cabinetry in the kitchen perfectly complements the sleek blanco maple quartz kitchen countertops & island, making it a chef's dream. The kitchen is adorned with a subway tile backsplash, wood laminate flooring throughout the main living areas, tile in the baths. Enjoy the gourmet kitchen's built-in single oven and microwave, gas cooktop stove, and stove-pipe pyramid stainless steel vented hood. With 10-foot ceilings, this home feels open, airy, and full of natural light. The three bedrooms, 2.5 baths, study & 3-car split garage provides ample space for comfortable living. This move-in ready gem offers a north-south exposure, ideal for enjoying bright and sunny days! With amenities like a tankless water heater for efficiency and a charming paver driveway, this home harmoniously blends convenience and sophistication.

21849 E Saddle Court Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$619,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,500 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6730780
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The single-story Cassandra plan showcases an open layout with a great room with a multi-sliding glass door, a breakfast nook, a large gourmet kitchen and a 2-car garage. The primary suite is adjacent, and boasts a generous walk-in closet and an attached bath with a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms flank a full bath, and the nearby study.

17225 W Calle Lejos -- Surprise, AZ 85387

$619,995
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,630 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6731947
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Experience luxury in The Pomona, located on a prime corner lot with stunning mountain views. This home features a guest suite, a three-car garage, and a gourmet kitchen featuring Quartz countertops -end appliances. Enjoy 10-foot ceilings, a deluxe primary bathroom with a massive super shower, 3 car garage, paver driveway, RV Gate and 15-foot Center meet doors that open to an oversized 8,750 sq ft lot.

21856 E Saddle Court Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$619,995
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,500 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6730743
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The single-story Cassandra plan showcases an open layout with a great room with a multi-sliding glass door, a breakfast nook, a large gourmet kitchen and a 2-car garage. The primary suite is adjacent, and boasts a generous walk-in closet and an attached bath with a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms flank a full bath, and the nearby study.

791 W Rock Needle Trail Apache Junction, AZ 85120

$619,990
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,473 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6730540
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Up to 3% of base price or total purchase price, whichever is less, is available through preferred lender plus additional 2% of base price or total purchase price, whichever is less, is available to be used toward closing costs, pre-paids, rate buy downs, and/or price adjustments. This exquisite Parklane model, priced for a quick sale and set for August completion, offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a versatile den. The chef's kitchen with a 36'' gas cooktop, wall oven, and pearl white quartz countertops is perfect for entertaining. Additional features include a 2' garage extension, 3-car tandem garage, and a luxury shower with dual shower heads in the owner's bath.

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