What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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2925 W Lynx Drive San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$610,000
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,357 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6782690
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this beautiful, newer home in the desirable Promenade by Fulton Homes! This spacious 3-bedroom + office features an open floor plan, ideal for modern living. The kitchen is a standout with sleek finishes and ample storage, while the built-in fireplace adds warmth and charm to the living space. Enjoy the convenience of a built-in mudroom area, keeping your home organized. The 4-car tandem garage offers plenty of room for vehicles and storage. With no front yard neighbors, you'll enjoy added privacy. Community amenities include a pool, parks, volleyball, basketball, and pickle ball courts, plus you're close to hiking, shopping, and the new Pecan Lake Entertainment. This home offers the perfect balance of comfort and convenience!

20750 N 87th Street Unit 2142 Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$610,000
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,356 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6785238
Property Type Apartment
Price Type --
Prestigious Encore at Grayhawk 2-bedroom, 2-bath with 2 car garage overlooking lush open space with mature trees. Beautiful cul-de-sac location in center of community. Great room floor plan with gas fireplace, open to kitchen with stainless appliances, gas range, granite countertops, spacious pantry and breakfast bar. Master suite has own balcony, large walk-in closet, double sink vanity, garden tub and shower. Private and tranquil on both balconies. Washer, dryer and all appliances included. 2 car garage directly below unit with direct access. Lightly lived in and in excellent condition. Close to community pool, fitness center, clubhouse, Grayhawk Golf Club, Isabella's Restaurant, MoJo's, Quill Creek Restaurant, DC Ranch Market Street, and more. See Floor Plan in Photos.

2412 W Crimson Terrace Phoenix, AZ 85085

$610,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,131 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6785687
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Discover the charm of this exquisite 2,131 sq ft home in the desirable Carefree Crossings community. Ideally located just 5 miles from the TSMC Semiconductor plant, it offers the perfect balance of work and relaxation. Enjoy panoramic mountain views, stunning sunsets, and star-gazing under clear desert skies, free from city lights. In spring, watch hot air balloons drift by. The resort-style backyard features a sparkling pool with pencil jet waterfalls, ideal for entertaining or relaxing. With easy access to Sedona and Flagstaff, weekend getaways are shorter drive, saving you time for the adventures you love. Perfect for both peaceful retreats and lively gatherings!

1914 N San Luis Circle Sierra Vista, AZ 85635

$610,000
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,965 SqFt
Status Active Under Contract
MLS # 6784470
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to the Hexagon Home, an unique Pearl Certified SIP Home (Structural Insulated Panels) with 8'' layered external walls. Three bedrooms, two and a half bathrooms, plus a large bonus room. The home has a living area of 2,965 sqft surrounding a 2,700 sqft enclosed courtyard, with a total of 6,150 sqft of everything between the exterior walls. Features include a two car attached garage with RV port, 6' deep pool with water feature, Trex Decking and water capturing system in courtyard, handmade redwood doors, indirect and recessed lighting throughout the home, gourmet kitchen with leathered granite, 36'' oven and stove vent with heat rack, red oak cabinets, 10' and 18' ceilings, glazed dual pane windows, German Blackout rolling shutters, rustic chestnut Pergo floors and gas fireplace There are two new furnaces and AC units, two new 40 gallon water heaters, walk in jetted jacuzzi tub, stained glass window coverings in a cathedral style third bedroom, amazing views of Fort Huachuca and five named mountain ranges. This is a one of a kind enchanting home, see it today!

16005 W Shaw Butte Drive Surprise, AZ 85379

$610,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,977 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6778086
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Stunning model home featuring 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a den/office, a loft, and a spacious 3-car garage. This energy-efficient residence boasts an open floor plan, a formal family room, and prewired surround sound. Enjoy an abundance of cabinets with crown molding, elegant quartz countertops, a gas cooktop, and top-of-the-line stainless steel appliances. The wood-like tile flooring runs throughout, complemented by plantation shutters. The master suite includes dual sinks, a walk-in closet, and a luxurious walk-in shower. Outside, you'll find beautifully manicured landscaping and an inviting exterior fireplace, perfect for relaxing Arizona evenings. Spacious backyard awaits, complete w/a covered patio and an exterior fireplace. Don't miss it!

1646 N Chestnut Circle Mesa, AZ 85213

$610,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,769 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6786978
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Your Dream Home Awaits in Mesa, Arizona! Nestled in a quiet cul-de-sac on a spacious .3-acre fenced lot, this stunning 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom ranch style home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and outdoor living. Spanning 2,769 square feet, every corner of this home invites you to relax and unwind. Step inside to discover the open canvas for your personal style. You'll find fresh paint throughout the home and garage, and professionally cleaned tile and carpet. Envision yourself in this open-concept spacious kitchen with stainless steel appliances and an abundance of cabinet space, perfect for culinary adventures and entertaining. The remodeled master suite shower brings a touch of luxury for you to relax after a long day. Outside, a backyard oasis awaits! Dive into the in-ground diving pool, or host memorable gatherings in your Arizona room, looking over the beautifully landscaped and fenced yardideal for outdoor dining, lounging, and even extra parking on the extended drive in the back. The expansive yard offers endless possibilities for play, pets, and gardening. Located in a highly desirable neighborhood in Mesa, this home is close to great schools, parks, and shopping, with easy access to everything the city has to offer. Don't miss this rare gem!

15409 W Corrine Drive Surprise, AZ 85379

$610,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,990 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6767241
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Spacious 4-bed, 2.5-bath, 2-story home on a corner lot in the desirable community of Marley Park! This home features a wrap-around balcony and porch, large rear patio with built in BBQ perfect for enjoying outdoor living. Inside, you'll find a generous loft upstairs, while the primary suite is conveniently located on the first floor, complete with a separate den/office for added privacy. The backyard boasts a sparkling pool, ideal for relaxation and entertaining. With a 2-car garage and leased solar panels for energy efficiency, this home offers both style and sustainability. Don't miss out on this beautiful property!

1419 California Drive Chino Valley, AZ 86323

$610,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,937 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6651628
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This stunning single-level home in the Chino Valley is a hidden treasure, surpassing the allure of new constructions. Its flawless design and meticulous layout make it a true gem. Boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a 2-car garage, this spacious abode offers everything you need. As you step inside, the open and airy ambiance, created by the high-volume ceilings, instantly embraces you, making you feel right at home. In summary, this single-level home surpasses expectations with its impeccable design, thoughtful layout, and luxurious features. It is a haven of comfort and elegance, offering a true sense of home. This remarkable home goes above and beyond with its thoughtful features and attention to detail. Each of the 3 bedrooms boasts its own spacious closet, ensuring ample storage

1023 E Fairmont Drive Tempe, AZ 85282

$610,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
1,761 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6673927
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Near ASU and downtown Tempe this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a 2-car garage and RV gated/storage area that is covered with access from front and back. This residence boasts a perfectly flowing layout showcasing tile and wood vinyl flooring, soothing color palette and plantation shutters. The kitchen connects to the living and dining areas with oak cabinetry, a mosaic backsplash, stainless steel appliances, induction oven, modern track lighting and sleek quartz counters. A/C unit is 3 yrs old. French doors lead to a covered patio. Entertaining will be a breeze on the patio with rope lighting or near the fire pit. Home includes security doors and roller shields in rear. New sewer lines in past few yrs.

930 Leisure World -- Mesa, AZ 85206

$610,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,330 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6749579
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this beautifully updated, one-owner home in the highly desirable Leisure World community, celebrated for its exceptional amenities. Since 2004, this home has undergone extensive updates, including new LVP flooring in the kitchen, all new carpet, and paint both inside and out, and a newer roof. Both bathrooms and the kitchen have been stylishly renovated, featuring custom cabinetry, granite countertops, and modern appliances. The master bath offers a zero-step shower and grab bars for ease of access. The home is ADA compliant. Enjoy the large front patio with a rose garden, pergola, and travertine pavers—perfect for entertaining. Plus, it's equipped with surround sound and wiring for data and security systems. Among the lowest HOA fees in the neighborhood.

19618 N 19th Place Phoenix, AZ 85024

$610,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,005 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6717356
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
New Roof, recently updated AC, Beautiful family home in a tranquil community located on a premium oversized cul-de-sac lot that backs up to a mountain preserve. Property boasts views from the front and the back decks of the valley lights and night stars; 4 bedrooms all upstairs, fireplace downstairs. Beautiful granite countertops and wood cabinets; RV gate with large concrete pad for RV or boat storage or future pool; backyard is an oasis for relaxing, fire pits, desert plants and several fruit trees and private view of the mountain preserve. Close to shopping and 101 access.

899 S Roanoke Street Gilbert, AZ 85296

$610,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
1,892 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6723501
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to your dream home in a prime Gilbert neighborhood, offering an exceptional blend of modern luxury and serene surroundings. This meticulously maintained property offers the perfect blend of indoor comfort and outdoor tranquility, making it an ideal choice for discerning buyers. Bathed in natural light, this home boasts extensive remodeling with attention to detail. Featuring waterfall countertops, the kitchen is both stylish and functional, catering to culinary enthusiasts. Custom accent walls in the living room and primary bedroom add character and charm. Experience luxury in the spa-like primary bathroom, offering a retreat within your own home. Enjoy a large, private backyard adorned with fruit trees and a sparkling pool, ideal for relaxation and entertaining. New roof in 2021.

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