What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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18710 E Rio Lane Rio Verde, AZ 85263

$594,000
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,954 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6743115
Property Type Townhouse
Price Type --
Being sold *COMPLETELY FURNISHED*, large townhouse in Rio Verde with golf and mountain views. Located on the 3rd green of the Quail Run golf course . With 1954 Sq Ft, two Primary En-Suites, large great room and dining areas. This home has been remodeled with tile floors, carpet in the bedrooms. Kitchen recently remodeled, featuring new cabinets and stainless steel appliances, both bathrooms have been remodeled as well. Large walk-in pantry. Split floorplan with security roller shields on each window, pavers on the back patio. Two new AC units in 2023. Across the street is a small community pool! The Country Club is within walking distance with fine and casual dining. the Community Center, Tennis, Pickle Ball and Boccee Ball Courts as well as the large community pool and heated spa.

8814 E Sunnyside Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85260

$594,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,385 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6739588
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Quiet neighborhood in a fantastic North Scottsdale location with easy access to Loop 101. This 3 bedroom home offers a 2 car garage with a Brand New epoxy floor, a newer tankless water heater (2023), and spacious living. Welcoming courtyard & private backyard. The sizeable living room has newer ceiling fans and plantation shutters. Breakfast area in the kitchen, large primary bedroom with walk-in closet & open vanity area, ceiling fans in every room, and all appliances are included. Very well maintained community with heated pool, spa, & tennis/pickleball. HOA maintains the front yard too!

253 E Sherri Drive Gilbert, AZ 85296

$594,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,141 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6762235
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Great home in a fantastic location! 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a 3 car garage. Boasts a formal living room with dramatic ceilings, in addition to a family room. The kitchen features Shaker cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry and a breakfast bar. The master suite is spacious and includes separate tub and shower, dual vanities and a walk-in closet. The backyard space has a new, (3 yr old) beautiful, heated pool and spa, with new app control technology. Backyard also has gas stub ready for your firepit, bbq, etc. Only 5 minutes to downtown Gilbert and walking distance to Gilbert town square. A must see!

3230 E Woodside Way Gilbert, AZ 85297

$594,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,166 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6756120
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
CORNER LOT in beautiful Santan Ranch. This community is full of beautiful parks and walking trails and located just 10 min from Mesa Gateway Airport and only 1.5 miles north of Gilbert Regional Park! This home offers stunning high vaulted ceilings that allow in our beautiful Arizona light! But is also equipt with new sun shades for the windows to keep it cool. Enjoy your open plan, modern living space with new floors and appliances as of 2023. You'll be able to enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms upstairs and a bedroom and full bath on the main floor as well. Your stunning back yard will feel nice and open on the corner lot. This yard has all new landscaping and a new pool pump as of late 2023. Come check this beauty out today! We can't wait to have you!

7430 E Coronado Road Scottsdale, AZ 85257

$594,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,344 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6707659
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Located in the sought-after Old Town Scottsdale and near Tempe/ASU, this single level homes boasts tons of on-trend features catering to both comfort and functionality. Chef's eat-in kitchen has black granite counters, center island with breakfast bar, stainless appliances, gas cooktop, and a large bay window that brings in plenty of natural light. Other features include tile and wood laminate flooring, open great room with wood accent wall, and an attached garage. The Primary bedroom has en-suite bathroom with walk-in shower and granite vanity. The new 2021 AC unit ensures high efficiency for low energy costs! Double door exit to the North facing backyard with a green grass lawn, ally access gate, lush landscaping, and a paver patio.

287 E Citrus Hollow Way Queen Creek, AZ 85140

$593,818
2 Beds
2.5 Baths
1,678 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6597679
Property Type Townhouse
Price Type --
This brand new Valletta model is move-in ready! It features a spacious layout with plenty of natural light. The kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops. It has a gourmet kitchen, gas cooktop and will be the perfect place to entertain your guests. Both bathrooms are highly upgraded with tile surround and upgraded fixtures. The resort collection at Encanterra offers you the perfect balance if you are a seasonal owner or full time. Book your tour today and start living the good life at Encanterra now!

1732 E Dobbins Road Phoenix, AZ 85042

$593,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
1,866 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6786266
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Two Homes, One Incredible Opportunity! This unique property offers two private living houses on the same lot, surrounded by stunning South Mountain views! Featuring a private pool, a separate large multi-use room, a spacious fenced backyard and new AC units! The main house boasts 1,866 SF of beautifully upgraded living space, including 3 bedrooms, 2 remodeled bathrooms, and a renovated kitchen with modern finishes. Tile flooring adds style and durability throughout the home and enjoy large picturesque windows overlooking the glistening pool which has a new pump. The primary suite includes an ensuite bathroom and a sliding glass door to the backyard. The 512 SF guest house has a spacious bedroom, a full kitchen and bathroom, washer/dryer hookup, and tile flooring throughout. It also features its own private backyard for added convenience and privacy. Oversized, low-maintenance yard, 2 car garage and plenty of parking. NO HOA! Savor breathtaking mountain views just steps from your door, complemented by dazzling cityscapes and sparkling lights that come alive at night. Bus stop and local shopping just minutes away, enjoy easy access to hiking and mountain bike trails nearby. This property provides the perfect opportunity to subsidize your mortgage, provide multigenerational housing or host extended family and friends with ease. Don't miss out on this rare gem!

5727 N 16th Street Phoenix, AZ 85016

$593,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
1,696 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6760351
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Located in vibrant Uptown, this updated mid-century gem features a 3-bed, 2-bath main house and a newly remodeled 1-bed, 1-bath guest house, offering flexibility for rental income, a home office, or visiting guests. The main house boasts spacious bedrooms, a modernized kitchen and bathrooms, new vinyl flooring, a newer AC system, and a charming patio that opens to a fully fenced backyard for privacy. The 400 sq ft guest house is equipped with a kitchenette, living room, bedroom, and bathroom, and it has its own entrance and parking. This versatile space offers numerous possibilities, including short or long-term rental potential (currently generating $950/month), a quiet, spacious home office, a professional space to meet clients with dedicated parking, comfortable living quarters for extended family, an art studio or workshop, a private master suite, or ideal guest accommodations for seasonal visitors. Both front and back yards are designed for low maintenance, ensuring easy outdoor enjoyment. Just minutes from shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers a 5-minute drive to the Phoenix Mountain Preserve for hiking, a 5-minute bike ride to the Arizona Canal, and only 10 minutes to downtown Phoenix. An excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or those eager to embrace the Uptown lifestyle!

9935 S Centennial Road Apache Junction, AZ 85120

$592,990
4 Beds
2 Baths
2,432 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6750764
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Up to 3% of base price or total purchase price, whichever is less, is available through preferred lender plus additional 2% of base price or total purchase price, whichever is less, is available to be used toward closing costs, pre-paids, rate buy downs, and/or price adjustments. The Avelino floor plan offers a refined single-story design with four bedrooms, including an AllGen suite, and a spacious flex area ideal for an office, TV room, or study. Featuring front yard landscaping, this home will be ready for occupancy in October or November. Conveniently situated near community parks, grocery stores, and dining options.

4311 Sawbuck Way Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$592,561
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,538 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6770321
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to the Thrive floor plan featuring 1,507 sq ft, 2 beds & 2 baths, located in the desirable Homestead neighborhood. This Shea Designer Home includes a built-in induction cooktop, quartz countertops in the kitchen & baths, custom mosaic tile, & soft-close drawers with generous cabinet pullouts & recycling. Enjoy a heavy glass enclosure in the primary shower, satin nickel hardware, a 15ft sliding glass wall in the living room, extended patio, $20k in upgraded tile flooring, a 4-ft extended garage, & custom landscaping front & back. Additional features include under-cabinet lighting, audio/video wall sleeve, & Blanco under-mount sink at the kitchen island. Discover current incentives at Shea sales office.

22431 E Oriole Way Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$592,327
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,726 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6784920
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
BRIGHT GREAT ROOM HOME THAT IS READY TO MOVE IN! FULLY LANDSCAPED FRONT AND BACK, WITH ARTIFICIAL TURF AND PERGOLA IN THE BACKYARD. 3 BEDROOM , 2 BATH, 3 CAR GARAGE. BEAUTIFUL BRIGHT FINISHES, PLANK TILE FLOORING EVERYWHERE EXCEPT BEDROOMS, GRANITE TOPS, TILE BACKSPLASH, SPA SHOWER IN MAIN BATH, INCLUDES WINDOW COVERINGS , CEILING FANS,, GAS TANKLESS WATER HEATER ENERGY STAR RATED,, ETC.! . ALL THIS IN THE NEW PREMIER MASTER PLAN COMMUNITY, LOCATED IN QUEEN CREEK. FEATURING A 22 ACRE LAKE, THAT IS THE CENTERPIECE OF THE COMMUNITY. KAYAKING, CANOEING, AQUATIC CENTER WITH LAP AND SPORT POOL, SPLASH PAD, BOCCE BALL, PICKLE BALL. BOARDWALKS AND RAMADAS AROUND THE LAKE AND MUCH MORE...KATHERINE MECHAM BARNEY SCHOOL IN THE COMMUNITY.

966 E Mulberry Place -- Chandler, AZ 85286

$592,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,273 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6638729
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Charming 3 bedroom and 2 bath home in new Chandler community. Hamilton Landing includes 36 single level homes each with their own front porch, private driveway for 2 vehicles and a single car garage and a small, pet friendly rear yard. Each home has 10' flat ceilings, white cabinets, luxury vinyl plank flooring in every room, two tone paint, beautiful wood trim around windows and doors and granite/quartz countertops in the kitchen and baths. The community includes a dog park with a covered ramada. These homes will be ready for occupancy between March and June of 2024. All photos are of a similar home completed in a previous community.

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