What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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7084 W Jasper Drive Chandler, AZ 85226

$585,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,015 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6755604

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Ignore DOM. The property was off-market, while the seller had the first-floor den converted into a full bedroom, adding double doors and a closet. Take advantage of this beautifully upgraded home in the community of Rhythm. This privately gated community features a beautiful central amenity complete with a large resort-style swimming pool, kids pool, spa, shade structures, TVs, firepits, sports courts, a dog park, and a workout facility. You will feel right at home as you enter this pristine 3-story loft-style home with 3 bedrooms and 3.5 baths. The kitchen features honed quartz countertops, upgraded stainless steel appliances including a gas range, white cabinetry with crown molding, a large island for family gatherings, and extra prep space. Enjoy outdoor living with a private patio.. plus large balconies off the great room and primary bedroom. Your primary suite offers dual vanities, a large walk-in shower and loads of natural light. This home is centrally located with easy access to the I-10 and 202 Freeways, just a stone's throw away from Casa Paloma shopping center, numerous restaurants, schools, and a short drive to Chandler Fashion Center. See the floor plan in the document tab.

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1448 W Shellfish Drive Gilbert, AZ 85233

Open House

$585,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,171 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6780572

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Don't miss out on this rare opportunity to live in a community that blends beauty, convenience, and comfort. This beautifully maintained home, featuring a brand-new roof, seamlessly combines modern upgrades with low-maintenance living. Step outside to your serene backyard, thoughtfully designed with artificial turf and a private gate that opens directly to a lush greenbelt—just steps from the sparkling community pool. Enjoy the luxury of poolside living without the upkeep! Inside, the primary suite is nothing short of a sanctuary. Vaulted ceilings w/ open feel while the en suite bath offers a spa-like experience with double vanities, a separate soaking tub, & a walk-in shower. Unwind on your private balcony, where peaceful greenbelt views ensure ultimate privacy & relaxation. Catch and release fishing permit $10/per year for residents Watercraft $25/per lifetime of watercraft The Islands Community offers a wealth of amenities, including: 74 acres of lakes (North Lake: 25 acres, Mid Lake: 18.73 acres, South Lake: 30.55 acres) 30 acres of lush grass Basketball court Sand volleyball court Bocce ball court Playground Facility rental options Community dock Special events Full-size exercise track (4 laps = 1 mile) Shaded ramadas with picnic tables and charcoal grills

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26020 N 138th Lane Peoria, AZ 85383

$584,999

3 Beds

3 Baths

2,282 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6728614

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Stunning 3-bed / 3-bath home with a large den nestled in a quiet community with mountain views! Better than new, this residence sits on an expansive lot and boasts a generous 2,282 sq/ft of living space. The open and split floor plan features a den, great room, and 9+ ceilings. The spacious kitchen is a chef's dream with a large island overlooking the family room and a walk-in pantry. Multi-sliding glass doors lead to a beautifully landscaped backyard, perfect for entertaining. Additional highlights include a 3-car garage with an RV gate, dual pane windows, and neutral two-tone paint throughout. This home offers luxury, space, and beautiful views - your perfect retreat!

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602 E Amarillo Circle Payson, AZ 85541

$584,999

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,452 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6765626

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This charming 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home is located in a serene and peaceful community, perfect for anyone seeking a quiet retreat. The house boasts a brand-new roof, ensuring years of worry-free living. The spacious interior includes a potential rental unit downstairs, ideal for additional income or guest accommodations. The fenced-in yard offers privacy and ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or pets. With its thoughtful layout and tranquil surroundings, this home provides both comfort and opportunity in a highly desirable neighborhood.

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4628 E Monte Vista Road Phoenix, AZ 85008

$584,999

4 Beds

2 Baths

1,569 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6775224

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Wow! COMPLETELY REMODELED 1 year ago. NEW EVERYTHING! Bright, Open Floorplan ARCADIA! New Kitchen w/ quartz counters! backsplash! New cabinets! w/ handles! New S/S appliances! Big island w/ bfast bar! Pendant lighting! Recessed lighting everywhere! New Vinyl/Dual Pane windows everywhere! New doors! New handles/hinges! New fans! New bathrooms! Quartz! Vanities! Shower/tub surrounds! New roof! New plank flooring everywhere! New baseboards everywhere! new Interior/Exterior Paint. HUGE BACKYARD! New landscaping in front and back yard! Big cov'd patio w/ firepit! Big Laundry w/ Workshop/Storage area! Do NOT Disturb OCCUPANTS! (appt only) Seconds away from Pierce Park w/ Lighted courts & fields for basketball, PICKLEBALL! / tennis, softball, volleyball, plus a playground, restrooms and POOL!

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2234 N Winthrop Circle Mesa, AZ 85213

$584,999

4 Beds

2 Baths

2,096 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6781239

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Come check out this amazing home in a large lot no HOA neighborhood of north Mesa. Just 3 minuets from the 202. This is your blank slate to have an amazing corner lot remodeled home in an extremely quiet neighborhood. Home features 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Large primary bedroom with sliding doors to your exterior covered patio. Exterior has a large covered patio with even more wood slatted covering for great indoor outdoor living. Spacious 3 car garage. Some large upgrades were done including the windows, sliding doors and water softener. There are vaulted ceilings in most rooms of the home. Come see it before its gone!

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17632 W Blue Sky Drive Surprise, AZ 85387

$584,995

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,840 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6766476

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

The Darius provides a sophisticated and accommodating ranch-style layout. In addition to a lavish owner's suite— with a roomy walk-in closet and attached double-sink bath—this home includes a second owner's suite with an adjacent living room, perfect for MULTI-generational living. For a more complete secondary residence, in addition to a kitchenette with a sink, refrigerator and cabinets. You'll also enjoy a 3-car garage, a study, a great room with an adjacent covered patio—featuring optional center-meet or multi-slide doors—and an inviting kitchen with a generous island, built-in pantry, dining nook and optional gourmet features. This new addition to the sought-after Desert Oasis masterplan in Surprise offers five impressive ranch plans, including some with UltraGarage® attached RV/boat garages! The beautiful masterplan also boasts an onsite K-8 school, community pool, parks, basketball, trails and open space, as well as easy access to nearby shopping, dining and recreation.

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23964 N 171st Lane Surprise, AZ 85387

$584,995

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,630 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6720282

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Ease and elegant design blend beautifully in the ranch-style Pomona plan. An inviting great room is at the heart of the open layout, adjacent to a dining nook and a kitchen showcasing a pantry and a center island. Aspiring top chef? This home has gourmet kitchen features! The impressive owner's suite offers a walk-in closet and a private bath with a deluxe, large walk-in shower. Three additional bedrooms, a central study and a laundry round out the floor plan, which includes a covered patio, a 2-car garage and a 1-car side-turn garage. This home features 10 ft ceilings, paver driveway, Wood look tile flooring, Quartz countertops, Super shower with an additional rainfall shower head & many more upgrades.

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698 E Aurora Drive San Tan Valley, AZ 85140

New

$584,990

5 Beds

3 Baths

2,568 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6788103

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Move-In Ready! Located just south of AZ-24, this home is perfect for commuters and adventurers alike. The popular Warren plan offers 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, and a media room! Enjoy the open gourmet kitchen, dining area, and great room with mulit-slide door, that flow seamlessly to the patio—perfect for indoor/outdoor living. The kitchen stuns with dark blue cabinets, brushed nickel hardware, floating shelves, white quartz countertops, and a spacious island. The media room is perfect for movie nights or relaxing. The split floor plan ensures privacy in the Primary Suite with its large walk-in closet and spa-like bath. Stylish wood-look tile, cozy bedroom carpet, and designer touches throughout complete this exceptional home. Ready now!

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4353 N 203rd Avenue Buckeye, AZ 85396

$584,990

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,670 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6736276

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This home is our Gorgeous Bernstein plan! Designed with our Loft 'Looks' selections providing a curated interior offering stunning finishes. Your spacious kitchen features an oversized island, quartz counters, 42 '' upper cabinets and GE profile stainless steel appliances. The open great room with coffered ceilings is perfect for entertaining. A bonus room is ideal for relaxing, working from home or as an additional bedroom. The primary suite includes resort like bath with no-step shower and walk-in closet. Plan you visit today! ^^Short/long term interest rate buydowns available when choosing our preferred Lender. Additional eligibility and limited time restrictions apply.

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7615 W Saddlehorn Road Peoria, AZ 85383

$584,990

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

1,953 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6763668

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Brand new community in North Peoria! This stunning single story home offers 1,953 sq ft of functional living space. It features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, den, and a 2 car garage. The open concept kitchen is perfect for entertaining and features an Island, a walk-in pantry and stainless steel appliances. It also offers our Harmony Palette which includes gray painted 42'' Cabinets, silver falls granite kitchen countertops, 4x4 kitchen backsplash, and 6x36 wood looking plank tile in all the common areas, soft water loop, and interior blinds. The great room offers a 4-panel center sliding glass door so you can step out into your covered patio to enjoy indoor/outdoor living in your backyard with friends and family. The primary suite has a spacious walk-in closet, double sinks, walk-in shower, and an additional linen closet for extra storage. Great location close to dining, freeways, parks, and entertainment!

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10206 W Piccadilly Road Avondale, AZ 85392

$584,990

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,815 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6772257

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

MLS#6772257 January 2025 Completion! Discover modern living at Parkside Los Cielos with our 40-RM4 floorplan, a spacious two-story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 baths. The open-concept layout effortlessly blends the dining room, kitchen, and great room, creating an ideal space for daily living and entertaining. A private bedroom and bathroom are conveniently located at the front of the home, offering a quiet retreat. Upstairs, the primary bedroom awaits with a large walk-in closet and shower, accompanied by two more bedrooms. Experience the perfect balance of comfort and style in this thoughtfully designed home. Structural options include: 4th bedroom and full bath on 1st floor, paver driveway, loft in lieu of upstairs bedroom, large tandem garage, large mud room, vaulted ceilings.

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