What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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8821 S 47th Place Phoenix, AZ 85044

$579,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,195 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6745563

Property Type Townhouse

Price Type --

A rare opportunity for totally updated residence w/ views in mountainside resort, gated community! Amazing 4 bed, 3 bath residence in Pointe South Mtn/ AZ Grande in Ahwatukee haven! Two master bedrooms/ two large bedrooms perfect for large family or multi generational living. Upstairs bedrooms have balconies. Downstairs master with outdoor access. Updates from 2024 include modern interior color palette (2023 colors of the year), ext paint, two luxurious tiled rain showers, SS appliances, granite counters in kitchen/ downstairs baths, new light fixtures, new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring (wood plank tile and carpet), feature wall, roof updated, new landscape design featuring artificial grass and nightscape. The joy of your own piece of resort living, totally updated!

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25024 S Stoney Lake Drive Sun Lakes, AZ 85248

$579,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,968 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6750372

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this beautiful 2-bed, 2-bath Plus Office/Den residence on a coveted corner lot! The exterior boasts a striking stone facade, a 2.5-car garage, and a tasteful paver driveway. The inviting living room showcases vaulted ceilings, a soothing palette, and plush carpeting throughout. The eat-in kitchen comes with granite counters, ample wood cabinetry with crown molding, built-in appliances, a center island, and a serving window with a breakfast bar for casual dining. The cozy main bedroom offers direct backyard access, an en suite with dual sinks, and a walk-in closet. Venture outside to find a covered patio for al fresco dining, a relaxing spa, and a low-maintenance desert landscape. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! HVAC - 2 Units- Replaced in 2021, Hot water heater replaced 2021, Exterior Painted 2023, New Drip system - valves & timer replaced 2023. Exterior Stone work & Pavers done in 2023. New SPA Hot Tub 2024 Hard wired Security System. Reverse Osmosis.

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1509 E Peach Tree Drive Chandler, AZ 85249

$579,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,250 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6757886

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome home to this gorgeously redone 3BR 2BA home in the vibrant active adult community of Sunbird CC. A charming courtyard greets you. Enter a large living/dining area with wood look tile throughout. The stunning kitchen boasts granite counters, crisp white cupboards, bar and newer SS appliances. Large family room with access to the relaxing patio and backyard. Bonus art studio den just off the family room. Enjoy the active adult resort lifestyle with golf, pool, tennis and pickleball. Plus, restaurant, bar and loads of entertainment!

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8305 W Pioneer Street Tolleson, AZ 85353

$579,000

5 Beds

3 Baths

3,244 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6756752

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Make yourself at home in this beautiful 5-bedroom haven with a 3-car garage in Tolleson! Large living & dining room and the desirable great room are meticulously designed for relaxation and entertaining. High vaulted ceilings, plantation shutters, and wood-look tile flooring add to the overall appeal. Open-concept kitchen boasts ample white shaker cabinets, a pantry, tile counters & backsplash, a center island with a breakfast bar, and stainless steel appliances. You'll also have a den/office and a cozy loft ideal for a reading nook. HUGE main retreat provides double door entry, media niches, an ensuite with dual sinks, and a walk-in closet. Surely to impress with the wonderful backyard equipped with a covered patio, gazebo, and a refreshing pool for endless summer fun. Don't miss it!

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233 E Angela Drive Phoenix, AZ 85022

$579,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,808 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6774515

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This charming home features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, providing ample space for family or guests. The updated kitchen boasts modern amenities, making meal preparation a joy. All the windows are energy-efficient low-E windows, complemented by new doors throughout the home. Two of the bedrooms are particularly spacious, with the master bedroom offering a large walk-in closet for plenty of storage. The master bathroom includes a beautifully tiled walk-in shower, adding a touch of luxury. For those who work from home, there's a dedicated office space, perfect for productivity. The family room is a cozy retreat, complete with vaulted ceilings and a warm fireplace for those chilly evenings. Step outside to a backyard oasis, where a sparkling pool invites relaxation. The expansive covered patio offers a fantastic space for outdoor living and entertaining, with a lush grass area and a paver front entry adding curb appeal. Additionally, art lighting highlights your favorite pieces, and a large laundry/storage room adds functionality to the home.

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9101 E Nacoma Drive Sun Lakes, AZ 85248

$579,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,252 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6750314

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

UPDATED Extended Palacia Plus Model w/ Energy Efficient (Solar) & NEWER HVAC in the GATED, ADULT COMMUNITY of Oakwood. Featuring NEW FLOORING & GRANITE COUNTERTOPS with an OPEN kitchen & TONS of Storage. Completely REMODELED Primary Bath. Vaulted ceilings in the great room makes space feel much larger. Also wired for stereo system. New VERY Bright can lights throughout & new dimmers & ceiling fans. 2 sliding glass doors which all give great natural light to the home. The 2.5 car garage has tons of storage. The RV electric hookup is also a nice feature. Don't miss this AMAZING opportunity in Sun Lakes w/ Guarded gate entry for more security and all of its amenities including golf, tennis, pickle ball, pools, fitness center, clubs, social activities, restaurants & so much more!

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2511 W Queen Creek Road Unit 425 Chandler, AZ 85248

$579,000

3 Beds

3 Baths

1,584 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6755740

Property Type Apartment

Price Type --

Experience true luxury living in this stunning 2-bedroom, 3-bathroom loft-style residence located in the prestigious Cays Downtown. Boasting one of the best floor plans in the entire subdivision, this spacious and stylish home offers an open, modern layout with soaring ceilings, abundant natural light, and high-end finishes throughout. Loft used as 3rd room with murphy bed. Each bedroom features its own en-suite bathroom for ultimate privacy and comfort, while the third bathroom provides added convenience for guests. The sleek, contemporary design complements the vibrant downtown lifestyle, with easy access to upscale dining, shopping, and entertainment. Whether you're relaxing in the expansive living spaces or enjoying the urban energy of downtown, this home is the perfect blend of sophistication and convenience. Don't miss your chance to live in one of the most sought-after addresses at The Cays Downtown!

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21263 W Sycamore Drive Buckeye, AZ 85396

$578,999

4 Beds

2 Baths

1,903 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6775817

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this beautifully designed 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in the heart of Buckeye's highly sought after Verrado community. This home features an inviting open floor plan with soaring ceilings and plenty of natural light. The gourmet kitchen is perfect for the modern chef, offering granite countertops, matching appliances, a large island, and plenty of cabinet space. It flows seamlessly into the living and dining areas, making it perfect for entertaining. Step outside to enjoy the beautifully landscaped large low maintenance backyard, complete with a covered patio, perfect for outdoor dining and relaxing. Situated in the vibrant Verrado community, you'll have access to incredible amenities such as parks, community pools and spa, children's playground, walking trails, golf courses, and a bustling Main Street with shops and restaurants that is walking distance from the property! Top-rated schools and easy access to major freeways make this location unbeatable! Don't miss out on the chance to live in this highly desirable neighborhood! Buyers currently living in Maricopa or Pinal County ask about an ADDITIONAL $7,000 home buyer credit available via the Community Promise Program. Rate Relief Rebate Program: Benefit from a 2% seller credit to reduce your mortgage payments by Approximately $591/month in year 1 and $303/month in year 2. This exclusive offer makes homeownership more affordable now, while you await potential rate decreases.

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16062 W Alameda Road Surprise, AZ 85387

$578,960

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,674 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6729568

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

MOVE IN READY, BRIGHT GREAT ROOM PLAN , QUICK CLOSE!! 4 BEDROOM PLUS LOFT, 3.5 BATH , 9'CEILINGS, GOURMET KITCHEN LAYOUT, UPGRADE CABINETS , GRANITE KITCHEN TOPS, SPA SHOWER, TILED FLOORING. 2'WHITE BLINDS, CEILING FANS, FRONT YARD LANSCAPING COMPLETED, ENERGY STAR QUALIFIED HOME, INDOOR AIR PLUS. A SHORT DISTANCE FROM THE COMMUNITY POOL AREA, PICNIC AREA, TOT LOTS, BASKETBALL, PICKLE BALL COURTSAND SO MUCH MORE.

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3726 E Rochelle Circle Mesa, AZ 85215

$578,950

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,705 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6749729

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This is a to be built home being offered at Base Price plus lot premium. Price includes a nice standard feature package and an option allowance to be used at the Design Studio to personalize the home to your tastes. Features include a heavy iron front door, 2x6 ext. framing, dual pane vinyl windows, Carrier gas furnace and AC. Price includes ceramic tile in select areas. Choice of interior door styles, iron front door styles plus choice of door hardware and bathroom fixture colors. 10' interior ceilings, front porch and rear patio included! Much more. Front view picture is of an artists rendering, pics are of a upgraded former model home. Final price is determined by any other options or upgrades added by buyer at the Design Studio. Taxes are estimated. 2025 completion

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8572 W Palo Verde Avenue Peoria, AZ 85345

$578,900

5 Beds

2 Baths

2,196 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6731165

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to your next business opportunity! This spacious 5 beds, 2 baths home with a sprinkler system is ideal for starting or expanding a group home business. Previously licensed for a 10-bed behavior group home, it offers ample room for residents with its professionally converted garage adding extra space. Located in a prime area with easy access to local amenities and healthcare facilities, Its turnkey nature allows for business operations, offering significant growth potential and profitability.

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9236 E Sector Drive Mesa, AZ 85212

$578,814

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,410 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6778595

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

MOVE IN READY HOME! This WILSON plan features a Deluxe Gourmet Kitchen with a 36'' gas cooktop and a wall mounted gas range. This home features white cabinets with polished nickel pulls throughout, zinc quartz countertop and Santorini 4x12 backsplash with Oregon Rovere 8x36 wood-tile flooring throughout downstairs. One of the most popular floorplans for a reason, the Wilson is the perfect home for hosting visiting guests in the downstairs bedroom with full bath, have a designated office downstairs and a second living room in the upstairs loft where the rest of the family can hang out!

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