What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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7636 E Thornwood Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85251

$577,500
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,700 SqFt
Status Active Under Contract
MLS # 6730272
Property Type Townhouse
Price Type --
Accepting backup offers! Welcome to your meticulously maintained abode—a harmonious blend of comfort and style. Here's what makes it shine: Modern Upgrades: In 2022, all plumbing received a complete update, ensuring worry-free living. And in 2023, a brand-new roof was completed. Tile Elegance: Wood-like tile flows seamlessly throughout, creating a warm ambiance. But step into the Arizona room, and you'll find charming Saltillo tiles—a nod to the Southwest. Crisp Kitchen: White shaker cabinets grace the kitchen, offering ample storage. Quartz countertops sparkle, inviting culinary adventures. Picture yourself sipping morning coffee at the breakfast bar. Low-Maintenance Bliss: The front and backyard require minimal effort. Paver Perfection: The driveway—crafted with precision pavers. And the epoxy-coated carport practical and is stylish. Community Comforts: As part of the 55+ community, you'll enjoy camaraderie, activities, and a sense of belonging. It's more than a house; it's a lifestyle. Ready to Unpack: No stress here just move in and relish coffee through the French doors off the main suite to your patio.

9038 W Orchid Lane Peoria, AZ 85345

$577,500
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,437 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6738790
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Seller Concession Available ! Beautifully maintained single-story home nestled in a gated community on a quiet Cul-De-Sac. The kitchen is a chef's dream with granite countertops, a large island adorned with pendant lights, a gas cooktop, stainless steel appliances & LED lighting, all complemented by high ceilings. The split floor plan includes a versatile flex room, perfect for a home office or playroom. The luxurious primary bathroom boasts a soaking tub & a spacious frosted glass tiled shower, alongside a generous walk-in closet. The 3-car garage provides ample storage space. Enjoy the low-maintenance backyard, complete with artificial turf, a dog run, an RV gate, a kids' play structure. Plus, there are no two-story homes behind the property, ensuring privacy. Conveniently located, close to The Westgate Entertainment Complex! This home offers both tranquility and entertainment at your doorstep.

43227 W Caven Drive Maricopa, AZ 85138

$577,000
5 Beds
3 Baths
3,955 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6758139
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Must see this GORGEOUS HACIENDA home located in Pecan Groves, Maricopa's most desirable community! This multi-level floorpan with 5 Beds & 3 Baths + LOFT is accented by soaring ceiling & Travertine Tile! Create an incredible life with this 3,901 Sq ft nestled in the GREAT- The Villages of Rancho El Dorado. CHECK OUT THE SPECTACULAR VIEW of the LAKE and the GREAT AMENITIES as YOU enter the subdivision ! You'll love the beautiful Grand Front Porch! Bright open floor plan w/ separate living room & dining room, Lovely KITCHEN w/ Stunning Granite Counter Tops, S/S Appliances w/ Double Oven, Gas Stove & Dishwasher, S/S French door Refrigerator & Microwave Oven.

2352 W Willow Breeze Road Chino Valley, AZ 86323

$577,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,512 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6728432
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This gorgeous home sits on 3.45 acres of fully fenced property offering breathtaking views from your whole property. The large circular driveway offers more than enough room for parking and guests. The interior of the home is elegantly done, with modern finishes including tile throughout, quartz countertops and a butcher block island. Both bathrooms are well finished with tile and upgraded vanities. The large patio is a perfect place for entertaining or just enjoying the amazing views. The property also features is a large detached shop as well as being equipped for horses and other livestock with stables, tack shed and separately fenced portions of the property. Brand new roof!

3536 N Snead Drive Goodyear, AZ 85395

$577,000
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,466 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6748270
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this beautifully updated home + casita w/ full bath surrounded by a private backyard oasis featuring multiple entertaining areas, covered patio & gorgeous water feature. Charming courtyard entrance with pavers. Elegant Great Rm with vaulted ceilings & French doors to patio, game table or dining area & entertainment area with media cabinet. Rich wood cabinets, granite counters, stylish tile backsplash, SS appliances incl gas stove (new in 2012), portable prep-bar, walk in pantry & breakfast bar. The primary suite offers a cozy sitting area, patio access, bathroom with dual sinks, shower & walk-in closet. Addtl guest bdrm, full bath, home office/den. Travertine tile throughout home. Re-imagined laundry/craft room with extra storage. GORGEOUS HOME!

23131 E Twin Acres Drive Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$576,990
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,264 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6766341
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Brand new phase!. Our popular Sage plan is conveniently located to all that Queen Creek has to offer. Minutes from the brand new Costco, Schnepf Farms, Queen Creek Market Place and the Queen Creek Olive Mill.

3131 N Central Avenue Unit 6021 Phoenix, AZ 85012

$576,913
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,125 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6568555
Property Type Apartment
Price Type --
*Construction completed* 5% BUYER INCENTIVE! Introducing Edison Midtown Phase 2 with 60 new construction condominiums. This spacious two bedroom condo offers ten ft. ceilings, an open floor plan, and large master bedroom with ensuite bathroom. Chefs kitchen offers expansive cabinetry, quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances including a gas range. Edison Midtown features incredible amenities for that perfect Urbanite lifestyle. A beautiful pool and lap pool, 2000 sq. ft. fitness center and lounge, and gated parking garage.

18231 E Coronado Cave Court Rio Verde, AZ 85263

$576,862
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,678 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6630554
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this brand new home in the desirable Trilogy at Verde River community! This is the Valletta model and offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and stunning upgrades throughout! Featuring upgraded flooring, upgraded stained cabinets throughout, a R/O system, and tankless water heater. The kitchen is gorgeous with Quartz countertops and Chevron tiled backsplash! The primary suite is spacious with a lavish ensuite bathroom featuring a dual sink vanity, tiled shower, and a walk-in closet! Do not miss out on this beautiful home! The amenities at Verde River are World Class with Tom Lehman inspired eighteen-hole Golf course, tennis courts, pickleball courts, and bocce ball, heated lap pool and Resort style swimming pool, hot tub, Afterburn fitness center, Helen's demonstration Kitchen for cooking classes and a 7.5 acre dog park. The community center has casual poolside dining at Eddy's Diner and gourmet dining at award-winning Needle Rock Kitchen and Tap, Alvea Spa with full-service Salon and Spa amenities, Art Loft and events center. Trilogy at Verde River is adjacent to the Tonto National Forest and is situated in the middle of miles and miles of hiking and biking trails.

2225 W Peak View Road Phoenix, AZ 85085

$576,500
4 Beds
2 Baths
2,313 SqFt
Status Active Under Contract
MLS # 6764557
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Rare Find! Wonderful ''family friendly'', 4 bed/ 2 bath Home! Single level, 7000+ sq. ft. lot, heated pool W/water fall feature,& lush, mature fruit trees!! Perfect condition! Easy access to I17 Expressway! W/Plenty of nearby shopping & Restaurants in the Norterra area of N. Phoenix & hiking trails just steps away in the Sonoran Preserve! Ideal N/S Exposure! Home features a large, open Greatroom, Vaulted ceilings & neutral paint! 18'' neutral tile T/O except carpet in bedrooms! Totally re-painted inside & out in late 2023/24! Tile & grout just cleaned; outdoor kool deck resurfaced! Open & bright kitchen W/plenty of cabinets! New S.S. appliances, kitchen faucet! Plus HUGE walk-in pantry. Spacious Master bedroom W/ensuite full bath & separate exit to the backyard patio & Paradise! Must See!

12012 W Parkway Lane Avondale, AZ 85323

$576,310
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,480 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6741797
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Explore this must-see Alden home, ready for quick move-in! Included features: a covered entry; a gourmet kitchen showcasing 42'' cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless-steel appliances, a center island and a roomy walk-in pantry; an open dining nook with center-meet patio doors; an inviting great room; a thoughtfully designed primary suite offering an oversized walk-in closet and a private bath with double sinks; three secondary bedrooms; two additional baths; a convenient laundry and a tranquil covered patio. This home also boasts impressive 10' ceilings, 9'' x 35'' stone tile flooring, cultured marble bath countertops, extra windows and ceiling fan prewiring in select rooms, front yard landscaping and concrete pavers at the walkway and driveway.

3355 Rising Sun Ridge Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$575,950
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,543 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6745962
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Amazing off-the-grid, very well-maintain cozy house, sitting on a premium lot. Features: high tech appliances, walk-in pantry, spacious master bedroom, built-in vacuum system, solar panels with bird proofing, inverter and storage batteries. House has an extended length garage with beautiful epoxy floor and installed shelves on the walls. House stays attached to the grid in order to sell excess electricity to APC. House is energy efficient in many ways. A Trane XV20i Variable Speed Heat Pump (20 SEER) with 4-ton Hyperion Air Handler was installed in 2022. In 2023 the complete exterior of the house painted, windows and seams caulked. Deal includes an EZ-GO RXV (golf cart) with replaced batteries.

9229 E Spiral Avenue Mesa, AZ 85212

$575,700
4 Beds
3 Baths
2,224 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6755701
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
BRAND NEW MOVE IN READY HOME! This SLOAN plan includes a DELUXE gourmet kitchen, white cabinets, black pulls, quartz counter tops, subway tile backsplash, upgraded tile and carpet flooring, and Apple Pod Smart Home Kit. READY SEP!

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