What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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7031 W Morrow Drive Glendale, AZ 85308

$575,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,800 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6759901
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This 3-bedroom home with a blue pool in Arrowhead Ranch exudes charm and comfort! A grassy front yard, 2-car garage, brick veneer, and code entry box in the front door are just the beginning. Discover an open layout with all-new double-pane windows and doors, vaulted ceilings, sunny bay windows, and a two-way fireplace. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, plenty of honey oak cabinets, granite counters, and tile backsplash. The main bedroom features backyard access, a fireplace, and a lavish bathroom with a jetted tub, glass enclosure shower, dual sinks, and a walk-in closet. In the backyard, you'll find a swimming pool with a heater and chiller, green grass, two covered patios, and a pool house with a/c. Plus, the roof is only 3 years old! You won't be disappointed!

6812 S Hardy Drive Tempe, AZ 85283

$575,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
2,237 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6770066
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Incredible 4 bedroom home on a 1/3 acre lot in a quiet Tempe neighborhood. Upgrades include Alder wood cabinets and slab granite counters. Newer stainless steel appliances. Tons of tile. Split bedroom plan, roomy master closet with built ins. 4th bedroom is 11 x 20 den option or 5th bedroom. Huge back yard with citrus trees and a great view of South Mountain. Close to all the major freeways, shopping/dining, Sky Harbor and ASU. SPA IS NOT OPERATIONAL AND CONVEYS AS IS

10910 E Oro Avenue Mesa, AZ 85212

$575,000
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,922 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6766561
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Discover the perfect retirement lifestyle in this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a den, located in a sought-after 55+ community in Mesa, AZ. Designed with comfort and ease in mind, this home offers a relaxed and welcoming atmosphere ideal for those looking to enjoy their retirement years. This active adult community boasts incredible amenities, including a 27-hole executive golf course, perfect for both seasoned players and those just looking to enjoy a leisurely game. You'll also have access to top-tier recreational facilities, with clubs and activities tailored to your interests—whether it's Pickleball, Tennis, or Softball, there's something for everyone. Enjoy a vibrant social life, meet new friends, and participate in a variety of clubs and programs that keep your retirement to the fullest. This is more than just a homeit's your gateway to a fulfilling and active retirement!

5921 S Tobin -- Mesa, AZ 85212

$575,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,832 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6762561
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Located within the thriving community of Encore at Eastmark, this 1832 sq. ft split floor plan with 3 bed, 2 bath, extended 2 car garage, and great room is immaculate! Beautiful upgrades include: extensive wood plank tile, grey cabinetry, granite countertops, eat-in kitchen with a large island, stainless steel appliances with a gas range, walk-in pantry, tiled master shower and more! The backyard is private with low maintenance landscaping, a covered patio connected to the paved and turf yard. The 55 plus community features a 15,000 sq. ft clubhouse with a state-of-the-art fitness center, cardio room, fitness and dance studio, classroom, arts and crafts studio, library, internet café, billiards area, and a resort style pool with spa.

804 N Wilderness Circle Payson, AZ 85541

$575,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,686 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6762747
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This beautifully maintained and updated home is located in the Woodhill subdivision on a quiet cul-de-sac. The home offers large rooms, a split floor plan, a generous primary suite with an oversized closet, hickory extended cabinets, a breakfast bar, vaulted ceilings, and a large screened covered patio. It has new exterior paint, a new Electric Heat Pump, water heater, primary bathroom shower, beautiful luxury vinyl plank flooring, a roof replaced two years ago, and much more. You do not want to miss out on this perfect place to call your home!

6063 W Pinon Way Pine, AZ 85544

$575,000
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,200 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6765502
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to Pine Creek Canyon at the Portals II nestled in the Ponderosa Pines! The majestic views are breathtaking. This cozy 2 bedroom 2 bath home comes furnished. Extensive paver work recently done makes the entry to the home inviting and gives a fresh updated look. There is a newer AC/Heat Pump as well as a stone fireplace. You will have access to Portal II amenities such as basketball courts, shuffleboard, and tennis courts.

4323 W Villa Theresa Drive Glendale, AZ 85308

$575,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,098 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6763477
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The search is finally over! This coveted corner lot property greets you with a 2-car garage, an RV gate, a tasteful brick facade, and a paver walkway. You'll find a living room with new paint, a charming bay window, and new wood-look flooring. The great room has an inviting fireplace for relaxing evenings. Cook delicious meals in the kitchen, equipped with granite counters, ample wood cabinetry, a tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and a handy pantry. You'll also find a versatile den ideal for an office. The main bedroom includes sliding door access to the backyard for seamless indoor-outdoor living, a wakj0ub closet, and an ensuite with dual sinks. The backyard boasts a covered patio, pristine natural turf, and a pool for endless summer fun. Make this yours!

15021 S 47th Street Phoenix, AZ 85044

$575,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
1,846 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6763249
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Fall in love, this North-South-facing Former Model Home on a corner lot, offering stunning Sunrises & Sunsets in the desirable Ahwatukee Foothills neighborhood, w/ no HOA! Step inside to Vaulted Ceilings in the living room with Natural Lighting with all New Vinyl Windows Installed (2021). Custom Tile/Wood Flooring throughout flows to the open kitchen featuring designer backsplash tile, granite countertops, an eat-in bar that flows into the great room, w/ easy access to the backyard that has a covered patio, awnings, pavers, newer pebble tech pool (2018) upgraded pool equipment (2023). All the bedrooms have ceiling fans for efficient living The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet and a spacious bathroom has granite counter tops, stand-up shower, plenty of Linen cabinet space a sliding door leading to a backyard. This Home is Conveniently located near freeways, shopping, dining, and featuring a new HVAC Air Conditioner installed (2021)

3549 W Denali Court Anthem, AZ 85086

$575,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,704 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6764368
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to your dream home in Anthem Parkside! This refreshed 4-bedroom residence combines elegance and functionality, featuring vaulted ceilings and a freshly painted interior. The modern kitchen showcases stainless LG appliances, a gas range, quartz countertops, and a walk-in pantry—perfect for any cook. Relax in the cozy family room by the fireplace or enjoy the inviting backyard with artificial turf, an extended patio, and an outdoor fireplace, ideal for entertaining. Upstairs, discover all four bedrooms, a hall bath with double sinks, and a convenient laundry room. Located in a quiet cul-de-sac, just steps from a pocket park and a short walk to the Daisy Mountain Trailhead, this home is a must-see!

4429 E Del Rio Drive San Tan Valley, AZ 85140

$575,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
3,460 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6767453
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
A beautiful 4 bed, 2.5 bath in Laredo Ranch is now for sale! Nestled on a premium corner lot and boasting great curb appeal, a manicured landscape w/lush natural turf, and a 2 car tandem garage! Come inside to discover spacious dining & living areas w/tile flooring and trending palette throughout. Prepare delicious meals in this chef's kitchen comprised of staggered cabinetry w/crown moulding, granite counters, mosaic tile backsplash, pendant lighting, stainless steel appliances, and an island complete w/a breakfast bar. Upstairs you'll find a sizeable loft w/soft carpet, where you can spend a relaxing Sunday evening! Double doors open up to the primary bedroom, showcasing a mirrored walk-in closet, and a full ensuite w/dual sinks for added comfort. Don't forget about the large media room w/custom coffered ceilings! Lastly, the expansive backyard includes a covered patio, mature shade tree, and a sparkling blue pool! This is sure to be the home you've been looking for, hurry and act now!

29502 N 126th Lane Peoria, AZ 85383

$575,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
2,285 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6767268
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
WELCOME TO YOUR NEW HOME! As you step through the beautiful, lush front yard, you'll immediately feel at home. Inside, enter through a wide foyer and spacious living room which flows seamlessly into the family room, just off the updated kitchen. The kitchen boasts granite counter-tops, a large island with a breakfast bar, and opens into a roomy breakfast nook. This home features a split floor plan with a generous primary bedroom, a large en-suite bath, a walk-in closet, and a stylish tiled shower. On the opposite side, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. Outside, enjoy a large grassy play area and a recently installed pool, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. Three car tandem garage and spacious inside laundry room add to the efficiency of this home. See it today

3935 E Rockwood Drive Phoenix, AZ 85050

$575,000
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
1,924 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6772320
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to your dream home! This beautifully maintained property features a bright and spacious layout, perfect for relaxation and entertaining. The heart of the home is the modern kitchen. Boasting sleek countertops, updated appliances, and ample cabinetry, it is a chef's delight. Step outside to your private backyard oasis, perfect for outdoor fun or quiet evenings under the stars. This backyard has everyting you need equipped with a covered patio, patio deck, and above-ground spa. Conveniently near the 51 and 101 freeways, you'll be just moments away from a variety of shopping and dining options at either Desert Ridge mall or the newly renovated PV mall. This home truly has it all! Don't miss your chance to experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. See it today!

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