What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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2235 W Aston Drive San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$565,000 - 4Br/3Ba -  for Sale in Morning Sun Farms Unit 4b 2015022077, San Tan Valley
Open House
$565,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,553 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6711865
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Seller may consider buyer concessions if made in an offer. Welcome to this beautiful property with a natural color palette that creates a serene atmosphere throughout the home. The kitchen features a center island for extra counter space, while the primary bedroom boasts a walk-in closet for ample storage. The primary bathroom offers a separate tub and shower, double sinks, and good under sink storage. Step outside to the fenced backyard, complete with a private in-ground pool and covered sitting area. Fresh interior paint and partial flooring replacement in some areas make this home move-in ready. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity!

7682 W Saddlehorn Road Peoria, AZ 85383

$564,990 - 3Br/2Ba -  for Sale in The Retreat At Aloravita, Peoria
New
$564,990
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,779 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6787471
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
''Welcome to the beautiful Marigold plan, offering 1,779 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a versatile den—perfect for a home office, library, or personal retreat. Ideal for modern living, the open-concept layout creates a seamless flow between the spacious great room, kitchen, and dining area. The heart of the home is the stylish kitchen, featuring sleek gray cabinetry, complemented by contemporary black hardware. A large white quartz island serves as both a functional workspace and an inviting gathering spot for gatherings and friends. The kitchen flows effortlessly into the great room, where a striking center sliding door opens to the outdoor space, blending indoor and outdoor living for a truly spacious feel. The elegant Spanish elevation enhances the curb appeal of this home, with its distinctive architectural features and timeless design. Inside, you'll find stunning Edgewood steel plank tile flooring throughout, offering both durability and beauty in every room. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities and a walk-in shower. The convenient half-bath serves guests and adds to the functionality of the home. With a 2-car garage offering additional storage space, this home provides the perfect balance of style, comfort, and practicality. Whether you're working from home in the study, relaxing in the great room, or enjoying the outdoors through the sliding doors, the Marigold plan offers a warm, inviting atmosphere for all to enjoy.

14946 W Smoketree Drive Surprise, AZ 85387

$564,990
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,468 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6786413
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Ask about special financing with preferred lender! Homeowners will enjoy a spacious open floorplan where the Great Room, kitchen and dining room share a footprint and offer direct access to a covered patio through sliding glass doors. A versatile den is ideal for families who need a home office. Three secondary bedrooms are situated off the foyer, while the luxurious owner's suite is found at the back of the home. Photos are of a model home, not the actual home. A public report is available on the Arizona Department of Real Estate website.

16687 W Saguaro Park Lane Surprise, AZ 85387

$564,990
4 Beds
3.5 Baths
2,664 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6742761
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Up to 3% of base price or total purchase price, whichever is less, is available through preferred lender plus additional 2% of base price or total purchase price, whichever is less, is available to be used toward closing costs, pre-paids, rate buy downs, and/or price adjustments. This Parklane floorplan offers 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, a garage extension, a no-step shower, and 8' interior doors among its standout features. The home also includes built-in appliances, quartz kitchen counters, a gas stub in the kitchen for BBQs, and a laundry area equipped for a gas dryer.

20239 W Catalina Drive Buckeye, AZ 85396

$564,990
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,561 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6655095
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
QUICK MOVE-IN HOME! MOVE INTO YOUR NEW HOME BEFORE THE HOLIDAYS! SPECIAL FINANCING WITH BELOW MARKET INTEREST RATES AVAILABLE! MOVE-IN PACKAGES AVAILABLE! PLEASE INQUIRE ABOUT THESE SPECIALS ON THIS QUICK MOVE-IN HOME AND OTHERS. ACT SOON BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE! MOVE-IN BEFORE THE HOLIDAYS! It's the beautiful Cinnabar with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 3 car tandem garage. Brick pavers at drive, walk and entry. Large multi slide door off the great room that leads out to the covered patio. Stainless steel gas appliance package with a 30'' cooktop, wall oven and glass canopy hood. Barnett ''Linen-off white'' cabinets with 42'' kitchen uppers, pull out trash drawer with two bins. DT Quartz countertops in evening gray in kitchen and at the enhanced kitchen island. Upgrade flooring includes EMS Beaumont 7x24 Bosso tile in all areas of the home except bedrooms & closets. Tile surrounds at tub and shower in owner's bath. Dual sinks at bath 2, gas stub for future BBQ, Pre-plumb for soft water and so much more. Please verify information with onsite agent. Thank you!

18944 W Ocotillo Road Waddell, AZ 85355

$564,990
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,224 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6739345
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
QUICK MOVE-IN HOME! MOVE INTO YOUR NEW HOME BEFORE THE HOLIDAYS! SPECIAL FINANCING WITH BELOW MARKET INTEREST RATES AVAILABLE! MOVE-IN PACKAGES AVAILABLE! PLEASE INQUIRE ABOUT THESE SPECIALS ON THIS QUICK MOVE-IN HOME AND OTHERS. ACT SOON BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE! We're building this home at the beautiful Windrose community. It's the very popular Crimson with 3 bedrooms + flex space, 2.5 baths. Multi slide door that leads out to the extended covered patio. Large walk in shower at owner's bath. Stainless steel gas appliance package with a 30'' cooktop. Linen-off white cabinets with hardware, pull out trash drawer with two bins, 42'' kitchen uppers. AZT White sand granite countertops. Undermount single bowl kitchen sink. Upgrade flooring includes EMS Ravenna Olmo 7x24 plank tile in all areas of the home except bedrooms/closets and 5'' base boards and 3 1/4'' door casings. 8' tall garage door 2 openers & garage service door. Please verify all information with onsite agent. Thank you!

9230 N 82nd Lane Peoria, AZ 85345

$564,990
6 Beds
3 Baths
3,156 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6785062
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this stunning two-story property in Peoria! Fully remodeled with fresh paint inside and out, this 6-bedroom, 3-bathroom home features a low-maintenance front yard, a 2-car garage with an RV gate, and exceptional flexibility for various living arrangements. The home boasts two fully equipped kitchens, two laundry areas (one on each level), and separate access to the upper floor from both inside and outside, making it perfect for short-term or long-term rental opportunities. This beautifully updated property is a must-see!

1976 S Follett Way Gilbert, AZ 85295

$564,990
4 Beds
3.5 Baths
2,084 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6756086
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This FANTASTIC 2018 home on a UNIQUE PREMIUM lot is full of UPGRADES! GOURMET kitchen w/stacked espresso stained cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless appliances including new dishwasher + island w/breakfast bar! Open concept great room w/wall of sliders! Head upstairs to 4 bedrooms (all with walk-in closets), 3 baths + a loft! Primary bedroom w/GORGEOUS ensuite bath w/BIG shower + built-in seat! Head outside to your EXTRA LARGE low maintenance backyard w/covered patio, pavers + faux grass! Carpets were cleaned, grout re-stained on the upgraded tile flooring + garage epoxy! This home is truly move-in ready!! Rare in this community to have a driveway! Don't miss this opportunity! Close to SO many wonderful restaurants/shopping including Agritopia, San Tan Village and MORE! WELCOME HOME! Upgraded options include hand-applied 95% smooth finish drywall, 5 baseboards, two-tone paint, wood-grain tile flooring, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. The 4th bedroom includes a full bath, and all bedrooms are equipped with spacious walk-in closets. Step outside to a meticulously landscaped backyard, complete with pavers, artificial turf, low-voltage lighting, and a stucco wall, perfect for relaxing or entertaining.

260 S 165th Avenue Goodyear, AZ 85338

$564,990
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,456 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6739798
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
QUICK MOVE-IN HOME! MOVE INTO YOUR NEW HOME BEFORE THE HOLIDAYS! SPECIAL FINANCING WITH BELOW MARKET INTEREST RATES AVAILABLE! MOVE-IN PACKAGES AVAILABLE! PLEASE INQUIRE ABOUT THESE SPECIALS ON THIS QUICK MOVE-IN HOME AND OTHERS. ACT SOON BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE! It's the Amethyst floor plan with 3 bedrooms + flex space to use as you wish, 3 baths. 12'x'8' off the extended covered patio great for entertaining. Sonoma Maple Linen - off white cabinets with T-bar pull hardware in matte black. Kitchen has stainless steel gas appliance package with 30'' cooktop, wall oven, canopy hood, 42'' uppers with pull out trash drawer with two bins. AZT quartz Tawny quartz countertops in kitchen and and at enhanced kitchen island and owner's bath. Upgrade flooring includes Beaumont Olmo 7x24 plank tile in all areas of the home except for bedrooms and closets. Dual sinks at bath 2, soft water loop, 8' garage door with 2 openers and so much more. Please verify all information with onsite agent . Thank you!

4226 N Turnberry Court Florence, AZ 85132

$564,900
2 Beds
2 Baths
2,039 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6746069
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
MAKE A SPLASH! Enjoy the tour of this stunning, nearly new ''Pursuit'' model in the highly sought after Legends community in Sun City Anthem at Merrill Ranch. Your new home offers an abundance of upgrades that include a chefs kitchen with beautiful and highly upgraded granite, stainless appliances, ample cabinets, large island, triple sliding glass door and soaring 10' ceilings. The primary bathroom offers the same upgraded granite countertops, large walk-in tiled shower and large walk-in closet. Additional upgrades include ceiling fans, beautiful flooring, surround sound and much more. The outdoor living space features a gorgeous swimming pool w/sheer descent water feature, expansive travertine decking w/gas fire pit and professionally manicured landscape. A MUST SEE HOME!! Take advantage of the Anthem Grille, The Poston Butte Golf Club, a learning center and all the festivities, activities and amenities a Sun City community has to offer. Remember you are buying a lifestyle that goes beyond the homes property lines.

10345 E Rimrock Loop Gold Canyon, AZ 85118

$564,900
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,536 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6772762
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Upgraded home, VIEWS and a Resort Style Backyard with a Newer Heated Pool! Superstition Mountain views from the front patio to the Dinosaur Mountain View in the backyard, this comfortable open floor plan has tons to offer with the well designed newer flooring, kitchen counters/cabinets, windows, bathrooms, Pool with heater, Alumiwood pergola, synthetic grass, paint, pavers, light fixtures, epoxy garage floors, garage cabinets, water softener, concrete patio coatings, and more. This home feels like new and it is maximized for relaxing! From this location here in Gold Canyon East with just a $24 per month HOA you are close to many great golf courses, walking trails, hiking, off road trails, mountain biking, local restaurants, and more. This home has options to be purchased furnished.

854 S Del Rio Court Apache Junction, AZ 85120

$564,900
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,367 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6781016
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This remodeled home is just like walking into a new build model home! It is situated in an intimate small neighborhood that is conveniently located to shopping and restaurants. Freshly painted interior in beautiful grey tones, updated custom kitchen cabinets and new granite counter tops plus all new flooring. New turf lawn front and back. An open floor plan that includes 12+ foot ceilings in great room and plantation shutters plus new blinds. Private owner's suite boasts large walk-in closet, separate tub/shower and dual sinks. Secondary bedrooms have convenient jack and Jill bath with individual vanities. Backyard is an entertainer's delight, built-in barbecue/bar area, fire pit, and full length patio. All one one level plus a three car garage!

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