What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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17463 N 66th Avenue Glendale, AZ 85308

$563,980
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,832 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6645957
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
FINAL OPPORTUNITY! ** LAST HOME REMAINING * * Mid-Dec 2024 completion. Our last available home in the community, nestled along the scenic Skunk Creek Trail near Arrowhead. Priced affordably with builder incentives for financing. Price includes front yard landscaping. This 3-Bedroom, 2.5 baths and 1832sq ft has no stairs or steps, with a bright, open Great Room and features a wall of sliding doors to the covered patio; Be the envy of your friends and family with this amazing Gourmet kitchen, with oversized island, walk in pantry, 42'' upper cabinets—all open to the Great Room with lots of light!

10959 E Tupelo Avenue Mesa, AZ 85212

$563,900
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,150 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6694537
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Singe level pool home in Bella Via! Neutral paint and flooring in soothing tones is waiting for personal touches! Chef's kitchen with gourmet SS appliances including gas cooktop and wall oven, Expansive quartz island with extended staggered cabinetry Split floorplan is perfect for hosting guests. The spacious backyard with stunning pool is perfect for hosting BBQ's and enjoying the AZ sun! Prime East Mesa location near the 24, shopping and dining! Don't miss out on this one today!

4886 W Hunter Trail San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$563,090
5 Beds
3 Baths
2,926 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6780940
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
The perfect blend of functionality comes to life. This stunning home boasts 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, home office, bonus space and walk-in closets, ensuring that there's room for everyone! The island takes center stage, serving as a workspace or a social hub where family and friends can gather. Whether you're preparing a gourmet meal or enjoying a family breakfast, the kitchen is designed to be a culinary haven. Dark Umber cabinets, granite counter tops with a generous amount of wood look tile! Stepping outside, the 3-panel sliding glass door offers an additional living space that seamlessly extends the indoor experience. Each of our homes is built with innovative, energy-efficient features designed to help you enjoy more savings, better health, real comfort and peace of mind

2023 W Rancho Drive Phoenix, AZ 85015

$563,000
5 Beds
4 Baths
2,717 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6766472
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Central Phoenix home with a lot of character in a prime location that is walking distance to the Valley Metro Rail Station and the Spectrum Mall while being minutes away from I-17! This house includes a 500 sq ft guest house that has a separate entrance with full bathroom, huge living area, kitchen cabinets with separate heating and cooling unit. The guest house would be a great Airbnb, VRBO, or an in-law suite! If you have a green thumb, this house is for YOU, it offers lots of tree and vegetation: 2 mature orange trees, pomegranate, peach, tangerine, blood orange, 5 grapevines, artichoke, and rosemary. The house has a sustainable front and backyard with a distinctive water fountain and a wood crafted entry door. The main house features hand-carved Cantera stone, slate flooring, double-sided fireplace and 3 skylights throughout the house. Chef's kitchen boasts granite countertops, huge breakfast bar for additional seating, and stainless steel appliances. Walk-in closet, steam shower, jacuzzi tub and double vanity sink makes for a great master suite! All bathrooms have stone tile work from floor to ceiling with inset mirrors. The backyard of the home is very unique and features a fountain, fully mature orange tree, raised concrete trellis area, and outdoor fire-pit! Extended driveway, RV GATE, and a GARAGE! NO HOA! HURRY, this one won't last long!

41355 N Eliana Drive San Tan Valley, AZ 85140

$563,000
5 Beds
3 Baths
2,880 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6765240
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Seller may consider buyer concessions if made in an offer. Welcome to this beautifully updated home! The interior boasts a neutral color paint scheme and fresh paint. The kitchen is a chef's dream with an accent backsplash, convenient kitchen island and a walk in pantry for ample space. The primary bathroom is a sanctuary featuring double sinks, a separate tub, and shower. The primary bedroom is complete with a walk-in closet. Outside, enjoy the low maintenance landscaping, a covered patio perfect for entertaining, and a fenced-in backyard for added privacy. The home also features partial flooring replacement. This home is a must-see!e!

3102 W T Ryan Lane Phoenix, AZ 85041

$563,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
3,182 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6760028
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Two-Story Home with Large Lot and Loft! Welcome to this stunning two-story home, perfectly situated on a large lot. This spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath residence features an open-concept design ideal for modern living. The main floor boasts a large living room with abundant natural light, a gourmet kitchen with an island and walk-in pantry, and a formal dining area that opens to the backyard. The private master suite is located on the main level, offering a luxurious en-suite bath with a walk-in shower, soaking tub, double vanity, and a spacious walk-in closet. Upstairs, you'll find 3 additional large bedrooms and a versatile loft area—perfect for a second living room, media room, or home office. The expansive backyard is perfect for outdoor entertaining, & room for a pool and more...

2738 N 217th Avenue Buckeye, AZ 85396

$562,997
3 Beds
2.5 Baths
1,997 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6748415
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
This is a to be built home -- 6/7 months build time. Welcome to your 3-bed, 2.5-bath home with a 3-car tandem garage, located in Sienna Hills next to Verrado, nestled on The White Tank Mountains for privacy and views. With a North/South orientation, this energy-efficient home features cutting-edge SPRAY FOAM insulation and an electric car charger outlet. Enjoy granite countertops, a pot filler over the stove, paver driveway, 8' overhead garage door, and a double gate on a 10' side yard for your off-road toys. The 12' sliding glass wall seamlessly connects indoor and outdoor living. HOA dues include a pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym!

7 E La Vieve Lane Tempe, AZ 85284

$562,900
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,794 SqFt
Status Active Under Contract
MLS # 6768838
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Two bedrooms and Den - Completely re-done and in excellent condition. Small yard to take care of. Dual pane windows - Almost new A/C unit top of the line* Kitchen and baths have been upgraded - Roll in Shower in Master Bathroom* Kitchen is to die for* Refrigerator, washer & dryer included. Ready to move in. Bright, cheery and vaulted ceilings Community Pool in Warner Ranch for your enjoyment and closed to all freeways, restaurants and shopping. Come look....

4656 E Laredo Lane Cave Creek, AZ 85331

$562,500
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,314 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6775740
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
No detail was overlooked in this immaculate and lovingly maintained - BETTER THAN NEW - single-level home in the highly sought-after, gated Dove Valley Ranch! Surrounded by desert preserve, this three-bedroom home features mountain views, an open-concept floor plan, and low-maintenance, worry-free living. Interior features include neutral tile flooring throughout, granite countertops, a gas stove, a renovated primary bathroom, plantation shutters, vaulted ceilings, and more. Step outside to find manicured desert landscape, a covered patio, and unparalleled views of surrounding mountain vistas and natural area open space. Beyond your new home, enjoy one of North Phoenix's finest public golf courses, a clubhouse bar/lounge, and easy access to first-rate schools, parks, hiking, & more. Roof 2019, HVAC 2015, water heater 2016, whole-home water filtration system... the list of thoughtful updates goes on. Come see your new home today!

4330 Copperhead Drive Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$562,500
2 Beds
2 Baths
1,873 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6769355
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Discover a home that balances comfort and character in the coveted Lone Star neighborhood. This exceptional residence welcomes you with a warm, rich color palette, setting a relaxed and inviting mood throughout. Large rooms flow seamlessly across the tile flooring, while plantation shutters add a touch of elegance. The kitchen is a highlight, featuring a gas cooktop that makes cooking a pleasure. And with an owned wired alarm system, peace of mind is built right in! Out back, the space is designed for year-round enjoyment. Gather around the gas fire feature on cooler evenings, fire up the built-in BBQ, or relax under the shade of the pergola while taking in the desert air. It's an outdoor space made for quiet moments and lively get-togethers alike, with thoughtful details that invite... you to unwind. The extended-length 3-car garage isn't just practicalit's a well-organized space with attached shelving, providing room for vehicles, gear, and projects. It's the kind of garage that offers flexibility, whether you need extra storage or room for hobbies. This home at Wickenburg Ranch is all about easy living, with spaces that invite you to make them your own. It's a place where the details matter, offering a lifestyle that feels as good as it looks, ready to become your next favorite spot.

4207 E Ford Avenue Gilbert, AZ 85234

$562,500
5 Beds
3 Baths
2,370 SqFt
Status Active Under Contract
MLS # 6753341
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
INCREDIBLE ORIGINAL OWNER UNIQUE 5 BDR home in the HEART OF GILBERT. This Fulton Home features a vaulted ceiling great room with LARGE KITCHEN and tons of NATURAL LIGHT. Upstairs features primary suite + 2 additional bedrooms and full bath. Short steps down from great room features full FLEX SPACE, 2 additional bedrooms and a 3rd full bath! REAL WOOD FLOORS and tile throughout. BRAND NEW ANDERSEN WINDOWS, + AC & ROOF REPLACEMENT COMPLETED. Backyard features gardeners paradise: Pears and Pomegranates nearly ripe; Tangerines, Lemons and HUGE Ruby Red Grapefruit Tree, Katy Apricots and Figs in the Spring/Summer. Incredible fruit bearing grape vines on the west side and shade tree + paver patio provide the PERFECT BACKYARD CANVAS. Neighborhood park just down the street. Stop by today!

4919 W Hunter Trail San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$562,490
5 Beds
3 Baths
2,776 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6776898
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
NEW HOME! The perfect blend of functionality comes to life. This stunning home boasts 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, bonus space and walk-in closets, ensuring that there's room for everyone. The island takes center stage, serving as a workspace or a social hub where family and friends can gather. Whether you're preparing a gourmet meal or enjoying a family breakfast, the kitchen is designed to be a culinary haven. Umber dark cabinets and granite counter tops with a generous amount of wood look tile! Stepping outside, the 3-panel sliding glass door offers an additional living space that seamlessly extends the indoor experience. Each of our homes is built with innovative, energy-efficient features designed to help you enjoy more savings, better health, real comfort and peace of mind.

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