What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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706 W Curry Street Chandler, AZ 85225

$560,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,208 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6757486

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to your dream home in the sought-after Mission Valley neighborhood of Chandler! This spacious single-level home features a desirable split master bedroom floor plan, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile den perfect for an office or guest room. Sitting on an expansive lot, featuring lush, mature landscaping, creating a private oasis complete with a sparkling pool, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The 2.5 car garage provides ample space for storage or a workshop. With its prime location near top-rated schools, parks, and shopping, this home is perfect for those seeking comfort and convenience in a peaceful setting.

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1228 E Wesleyan Drive Tempe, AZ 85282

$560,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,486 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6758491

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Prime Tempe Location! This stylish 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with 2-car garage is just minutes from ASU and the freeways. The kitchen boasts sleek stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and seamlessly flows into the dining area. Enjoy the additional living space in the separate living room which opens to the backyard. Recently updated with new flooring installed in 2024, this home features a distinctive and modern look. The backyard is perfect for entertaining, with a covered patio, misting system and a refreshing diving pool. The property is situated among single-story homes, offering added privacy. New roof. No HOA. Come see it today!

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6850 N 15th Place Phoenix, AZ 85014

$560,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,906 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6710157

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Charming 3-bed, 2-bath home on a spacious corner lot with ample storage and an RV gate. The pride of ownership is evident as this home has been with the same family since it was built. Enjoy stunning mountain views from your front porch. Recent updates include a roof replacement just 2 years ago. Don't miss this opportunity!

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22443 E Munoz Street Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$560,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,301 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6731713

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome Home! Situated in the coveted Meridian neighborhood this property comes highly upgraded and professionally designed. Stunning laminate flooring throughout, marble kitchen backsplash, oversized island and new carpet freshly installed. All upgraded pendants and dining lighting is included, also pre-wired for surround sound. This is a 3 bedroom plus spacious office/playroom and 2 bath home. Front and back yard are connected to an automatic watering system for easy maintenance. Post tension slab included along with tankless water heater. Meridian offers lots of green spaces, parks and a luxury community pool.

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17831 N 130th Avenue Sun City West, AZ 85375

$560,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

2,394 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6703110

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Come see this completely renovated 4 Bedroom/2 Bath home with paid off solar! No detail was missed in this stunning 2394 square foot property. All work was permitted and completed by licensed contractors. Updates include: New Windows, Electrical, Plumbing, Fixtures, Paint, Flooring, ductwork, outdoor upgrades, and Appliances. From the new flooring to the kitchen upgrades, you don't want to miss out on the opportunity to tour this home! Seller to pay the $5000 SCW Asset Preservation Fee if COE by 12/31. Enjoy all of the amenities Sun City West provides! The new owner(s) will be able to pick out their new backsplash for the kitchen and installed by our contractor.

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10913 W Chino Drive Sun City, AZ 85373

$560,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,746 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6719018

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Beautiful Lakefront Home in Ventana Lakes 55 + community! It has everything you want, 2 bedroom, 2 baths, 3 car garage, Living room, separate great room, and an Office. You will enjoy the morning sunrises and evening sunsets from the patio and backyard. Ventana Lakes is one of Peoria's premier 55+ communities. The community features 9 lakes, some with waterfalls, and great fishing! 4 pools and spas, recreation and fitness room, billiards, fine arts and crafts and quilting rooms, handball, tennis courts, Bingo games, etc.

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26916 N 52nd Glen Phoenix, AZ 85083

$560,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,927 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6749367

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Experience luxury living in this stunning resort-style retreat featuring a fenced Pebble Tec saltwater pool and spa, heated and self-cleaning with a variable speed pump. The professionally landscaped yard boasts a pomegranate tree in the front, a synthetic grass backyard, and a covered patio with extended cool decking—perfect for outdoor relaxation. Nestled in a cul-de-sac, this home offers privacy and direct access to a greenbelt and walking trail, all framed by picturesque mountain views. Inside, enjoy a formal living and dining area, along with a spacious family room that flows seamlessly into an open-concept kitchen designed for entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with a large island and sink, a breakfast bar with ample seating, a gas oven/range, a pantry, and a reverse osmosis system. Modern touches include updated light fixtures, surround sound wiring, ceiling fans, and a combination of tile and laminated flooring. The master suite is a serene retreat with dual sinks, an updated walk-in shower, a spacious walk-in closet, and a private toilet room. This smart home is equipped with a programmable thermostat, security system, and an owned solar system with a loan assumption. Additional features include garage storage cabinets, overhead storage racks, a water softener, and an automatic garage door opener. With great curb appeal and a welcoming front porch, this home is conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, dining, Deem Hills Recreation Area, and major highways including I-17, Loop 101, and 303.

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49947 N 26th Avenue New River, AZ 85087

$560,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,784 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6739056

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

360 VIEWS! This charming home sits atop a mountain on a HUGE 1.4-acre corner lot, offering unmatched scenery & privacy. Providing 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage. Bright & light interior showcases carpet & Saltillo tile flooring t/out and vaulted ceilings that add to the airy feel. Discover the living/dining room and a cozy family room w/fireplace! The kitchen features SS appliances, oak cabinetry, a pantry, & a garden window. Primary bedroom boasts French doors to the back and an ensuite with dual sinks, a separate tub/shower, & a walk-in closet. Relax under the back full-length covered patio while enjoying the unobstructed vistas! Want MORE? Bring your toys, RVs, horses, & other animals—this property has plenty of space! What a GEM!

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27478 W Tonopah Drive Buckeye, AZ 85396

Open House

New

$560,000

2 Beds

2.5 Baths

1,998 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6786670

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Exceptional Opportunity at Sun City Festival in this highly upgraded Preserve model, located in the sought-after Sun City Festival community. This stunning home is truly move-in ready and offers a host of impressive features. Enter through the custom iron entry door and see well over $100,000 in thoughtful upgrades throughout. Open concept kitchen / dining / living. Two spacious suites, a primary and a guest, each with its own bathroom. An additional tiled and HVAC connected utility / hobby room off the laundry room brings living space up closer to 2,100 square feet. Step outside to the extended, beautifully paved patio, complete with a charming pergola with built-in fireplace and BBQ, perfect for entertaining or relaxing in style. Pride of ownership shines at this lightly used home.

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3406 E Libby Street Phoenix, AZ 85032

Open House

$560,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,560 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6717614

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this beautifully updated three-bedroom, two-bath home nestled in a prime location backing directly onto a beautiful golf course. This open-concept floorplan boasts a bright and spacious layout, The kitchen flows seamlessly into the living and dining areas, ideal for entertaining. Step outside to your private oasis which features a view fence that showcases the golf course, a large putting green, and a chipping area, perfect for golf enthusiasts. Enjoy evenings by the firepit, soaking in the serene surroundings of AZ. Best of all, there's NO HOA, offering you unparalleled freedom and flexibility.

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16972 W Alice Avenue Waddell, AZ 85355

Open House

$560,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,788 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6763393

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This better-than-new 4-bedroom + Den, 3-bathroom home is nestled in a peaceful community with no homes behind, offering ample privacy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and entertainment, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an income generating property, this home is perfect - currently operating as an established Airbnb. It features a family room and upstairs loft, highlighted by fresh interior paint, soft carpet and wood-look tile flooring. The oversized primary bedroom on the main floor has an oversized ensuite bathroom with double sinks and a walk-in shower. The kitchen offers a pantry, granite countertops, a kitchen island and an eat-in dining area. The exterior features a covered patio and lush real grass!

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3839 N St Elias Circle Mesa, AZ 85215

$559,999

3 Beds

3 Baths

2,181 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6766638

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to 3839 N St Elias Cir, nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac with mountain views in the highly desirable Red Mountain Ranch community of Mesa, AZ. This 3 bedroom home, plus a spacious den, offers not only a beautifully maintained interior but also a lifestyle that embraces Arizona's natural beauty. The peaceful backyard is a private retreat with a large, extended covered patio, perfect for dining, surrounded by vibrant landscaping. From your kitchen window, enjoy the view of blooming flowers and frequent hummingbird visits. The cozy gazebo offers a shaded sitting area, making it the ideal spot to savor your morning coffee. Inside, the home features soft, clean carpeting with upgraded padding, providing comfort underfoot. High ceilings and very large energy efficient windows invite an abundance of natural light, creating a bright, airy atmosphere throughout. The kitchen overlooks the living room and is designed with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and soft close cabinetry, blending style and function. The den, larger than a standard bedroom, is equipped with custom shelves and drawers, offering versatility for work or leisure. Living in Red Mountain Ranch means more than just a home; it's a lifestyle. With access to world class golf courses, fitness centers, hiking trails, and more, there's always something to enjoy. Plus, located just minutes from the Red Mountain 202, the home's location provides easy access to local dining, shopping, and entertainment. This well maintained property combines comfort, convenience, and a true sense of community. With its move in ready condition and prime cul-de-sac location, this home is a perfect sanctuary for those looking to embrace both relaxation and an active lifestyle.

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