What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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9496 W Freedom Trail Peoria, AZ 85383

$2,500,000

5 Beds

5.5 Baths

4,838 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6776025

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this exquisite luxury custom home situated on over an acre in the beautiful community of Cibola Vista. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 5.5 bathrooms, dedicated office, and flex/game room, no detail was overlooked. Enter through 2 large courtyards to take in the uniqueness of this very special 4838 square foot residence. The gourmet kitchen has Cambria quartz countertops, premium appliances, massive island, dual kitchen cooking areas, and lovely large breakfast room. This opens to great room with fireplace, floor to ceiling windows retractable a full 90 degrees. The 12 foot ceilings add to the grandness of this spectacular home. All bedrooms have walk-in closets, and private bathrooms. Primary bedroom is massive, with a highly upgraded primary bath, stunningly finished. Elegant touches fill every inch, including Cambria countertops throughout home, luxury vinyl flooring, lovely window treatments, and highly upgraded fixtures. Enjoy the 4 car attached garage with ev charger. Detached huge RV garage has been pre-built for a casita (plans available). Additionally, slab parking can accommodate 8 more vehicles, with RV gate at side. Outside, enjoy the lovely heated play pool and spa, with removable glass fencing. Two custom gazebos add to the outdoor living with built in barbecue, cooler, tv, and smoker. Sport court for the pickleball enthusiasts, basketball court, tennis. Childrens' Ruff House play set to keep the kiddies busy! All landscaping is beautifully done, with artificial grass for ease of care. This home is truly special, and checks every box! Near the 303, Lake Pleasant, restaurants, and shopping. Welcome to your desert oasis, intended for the most discerning buyer.

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8742 E Woodley Way Scottsdale, AZ 85266

$2,500,000

4 Beds

5 Baths

4,613 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6747685

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

In addition to the new custom home design, the owners have invested in additional upgrades. A professionally designed desert landscape featuring rolling terrain with marquee desert plant specimens. Expanded patio spaces created for enhanced outside living. The north facing heated pool is in the sun while the covered patios provide large shaded areas to eat and relax. The large lot provides for even more eastward expansion if desired. Windows and doors with direct sunlight have been tinted to maximize energy efficiency of the three zone heating and cooling system. The pool, HVAC and indoor and outdoor lighting can be controlled remotely as well as the monitored security and camera systems. The home features custom wood cabinetry throughout with dovetail joinery and soft-close hinges and glides. All four large bedrooms feature walk-in closets and ensuite baths and large showers. The attached casita features its own external entrance off the front patio for your guests.

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4052 E Oak Street Phoenix, AZ 85008

$2,500,000

5 Beds

6 Baths

5,232 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6778389

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

New construction - Modern Luxury just south of Arcadia. Every detail of this 5 bedroom masterpiece has been thoughtfully considered and expertly crafted, from the framing to the quality finishes, to the seamless smart home technology integration. Details such as hand-troweled venetian plaster and embedded light fixtures, generous butler pantry and doggie bath laundry are generally found at much higher price points. This flexible floor plan features a separate primary retreat that feels like a private spa, and an attached full casita including kitchen, bath and laundry. All bedrooms are ensuite. The kitchen is a cook's dream with all Thermador appliances, streamlined wood cabinets, and a huge, cantilevered island with plenty of room for seating and entertaining! The living area opens onto a generous patio and beyond is a new pool, hot tub, and large grassy area in the oversized backyard. Enjoy the lifestyle this amazing location affords: close to restaurants, shopping, golf, hiking, ASU, freeways, and 15 minutes to the airport. Call today for a private showing.

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25323 N 104th Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$2,500,000

5 Beds

5 Baths

4,438 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6778685

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Discover luxurious living on a golf course lot with stunning views, nestled in the prestigious Troon Fairways community. This remarkable property located on Hole 1 boasts a spacious main home with 3 bedrooms and 3.5 baths downstairs, plus attached guest quarters on the second floor featuring an additional bedroom and bath—ideal for visitors or multi-generational living. Enjoy the heated pool and hot tub year round while taking in the views. Also included is a charming 1 bedroom, 1 bath detached 795 sqft Casita with Kitchenette & Living Room for the ultimate private retreat. With access to Troon's renowned amenities—championship golf courses, scenic trails, and a vibrant clubhouse—this home offers the finest in Scottsdale living.

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8233 E Foothill Circle Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$2,500,000

4 Beds

4 Baths

3,540 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6746614

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Gorgeous home in desirable Pinnacle Peak Country Club situated on the golf course with mountain views. Breathtaking sunrises from your extended covered patio. Resort like backyard is amazing with a heated pool and spa, covered built in bbq, putting green tons of lighting for parties or privacy for romantic dinners. This custom home comes with 4 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms that have all been updated. Primary bedroom with fireplace, dual vanities, walk in shower steam shower, jetted tub with micro therapy and walk in closet. Kitchen is full of features, stainless steel appliances, wall oven, warming drawer, cooktops and your own coffee maker. Roof was recoated in August 2024. New interior paint throughout. Also, a 300-bottle wine cellar for you to enjoy. This property is absolutely AMAZING!!

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4949 E Lincoln Drive Unit 13 Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$2,500,000

4 Beds

4.5 Baths

3,748 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6697345

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Nestled at the base of Camelback Mountain, in the exclusive Montelucia Resort guard gated community, Villa 13 offers Arizona's famed lifestyle w/a low maintenance vibe. French doors open out from the great room to the patio allowing a true indoor/outdoor feel. Recent thoughtful updates include sealed limestone countertops in the kitchen/butler pantry w/a refreshed contemporary tile backsplash & redesigned fireplace surround. An open floor plan enhances casual or formal entertaining. All bedrooms are ensuite. Second level is accessible by a paneled elevator. The Omni Montelucia's amenities assure true resort style living: fitness center, 3 pools( in addition to a private pool for Villa residents), restaurants & special events. A true lock & leave lifestyle awaits!

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42311 N Sierra Vista Road Cave Creek, AZ 85331

$2,500,000

4 Beds

4 Baths

4,656 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6748202

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

SERENITY! Oasis in Cave Creek only seven minutes from downtown Cave Creek, Buffalo Chip & Harold's. This incredible home is located on over five acres, unsurpassed views of mountains and saguaro cactus, private guest house, private pool, spa, 3 car oversized garage and beautifully upgraded. Home features private front and back porches with peaceful and truly incredible views. You will find Viking appliances, oversized tile flooring, custom paint, open floor plan, negative edge pool, spa & rock waterfall feature. Close to National Forest and preserve for horses, hiking, etc.

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2060 E Quartz Street Mesa, AZ 85213

$2,500,000

7 Beds

8 Baths

6,846 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6768491

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Recently built, beautifully constructed 2 story home in a quiet neighborhood, no HOA, on the edge of town with access to all major shopping and located just minutes from the freeway. Designed for multi-generational living, this home includes a beautiful large kitchen on the main floor with a large walk-in pantry, a 2nd fully functional kitchen on the 2nd floor. The elegant master bath is a must see with 2 large walk-in closets and a separate laundry in the master closet. Designed for comfort w/ 6 AC zones/thermostats for greater temperature control and balance. All interior walls are insulated for sound reduction. Parking - oversized 4 car garage and large circular drive with RV parking. The detached 1 bedroom guest house is fully functional with a kitchen and laundry.

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3440 E Kael Street Mesa, AZ 85213

$2,500,000

4 Beds

5.5 Baths

5,852 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6744700

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Luxury remodel in a gated community! New kitchen with custom cabinetry, cabinet-front fridge/freezer, quartz slab backsplashes, huge island with 2 dishwashers, 48' gas range and custom hood, and beautiful hutch style cabinetry with glass doors. If the kitchen wasn't enough.. there is a butlers pantry equipped with a microwave, a full size oven and an ice maker, in addition to the Costco sized pantry for all your additional storage needs. The primary bedroom will draw you in with its beautiful natural Harwood floors, its soaring ceilings, cozy double-sided fireplace, and its views of the full grown citrus trees that adorn the property. The primary bath has been completely overhauled! It boasts a custom shower with multiple shower heads, a freestanding tub overlooking a private courtyard, and its views of the full grown citrus trees that adorn the property. The primary bath has been completely overhauled! It boasts a custom shower with multiple shower heads, a freestanding tub overlooking a private courtyard, 2 vanities and separate closets. the bedrooms are split, with primary bedroom on the east end of the home & three additional bedrooms split on the west end. The home features 4 bedrooms and 5.5 baths, living room, game room, theater room and formal dining room. Additional features included: 4 car extra deep garage with separate storage area, pool with slide, over 1,000 of covered patio, and much more!

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5741 N 38th Place Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$2,500,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

2,671 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6753536

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This Paradise Valley home offers stunning 360-degree views of Camelback Mountain, downtown Phoenix lights, and the Phoenix Mountain Preserve, all complemented by modern upgrades throughout. The property includes a main house and an attached guest house, perfect for hosting visitors or extended stays. The open-concept living room features a wall of windows that bathe the space in natural light, anchored by a cozy fireplace. The chef's kitchen is outfitted with stainless steel appliances, a skylight, an eat-in area, and a formal dining space. The primary suite serves as a peaceful retreat with private backyard access, dual vanities, and a full bath. Designed for seamless indoor/outdoor living, the backyard is a true desert oasis, complete with a custom pool, expanded deck, covered patio, and lush desert landscaping that ensures privacy. Multiple seating areas provide ample room for lounging and entertaining. Situated in a highly desirable, private neighborhood, this home is just minutes from world-class resorts, golf courses, fine dining, and shopping. A rare gem, this property embodies the essence of luxury living in Paradise Valley.

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6418 N 28th Street Phoenix, AZ 85016

$2,500,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

2,863 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6784897

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Soft contemporary elegance meets comfortable living in this meticulously updated property. Located in the highly desirable guard-gated Biltmore Estates. Nestled at the foot of the Phoenix Mountain Preserve w/ peaceful mountain views on a premium lot which abuts natural desert on 2 sides. The clean lines of the plank white oak floors, oversized custom baseboards, 12' ceilings, coupled w/ oversized windows bring in an abundance of natural light, gorgeous views, & simple Arizona indoor/outdoor lifestyle. White kitchen cabinets accentuate the quartz countertops complete w/ a waterfall-edged island, gas cooktop, built in microwave + double wall ovens. Indulge in the Master bedroom & bath featuring a freestanding soaking tub, lavish shower w/ dual heads/controls, 2 vanities and ample storage. This darling home is all on level with no interior steps and all three bedrooms are split for your privacy. The 3 car garage is complete with epoxy flooring. Truly an entertainer's dream complete with a heated pool/ spa, and mountain views. This must see is conveniently located to great shopping, cultural and social events.

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5908 E Orange Blossom Lane Phoenix, AZ 85018

$2,500,000

4 Beds

4.5 Baths

4,395 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6713234

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Nestled in the heart of the Arizona Country Club golf course is this lovely Spanish Colonial home. This is a one-of-a-kind property that offers great privacy and seclusion, while still being conveniently located on Orange Blossom Lane. As you enter through the wooden gate a serene courtyard welcomes you with a large covered patio complete with an outdoor kitchen, sparkling pool, oversized garage, and charming guest house creating an inviting oasis for entertaining family and friends. One of the oldest homes remaining on the course, this special property boasts architectural elegance throughout featuring barreled ceilings, solid wood flooring, a gas and wood-burning fireplace, and arched wooden doors that open onto views of tranquil Camelback Mountain. The open kitchen features a large butcher block island, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances and an abundance of windows and doors that overlook the lush fairways, allowing natural light to flood the space. The main house offers three spacious bedrooms, each with its own en-suite bathroom. Additionally, a basement offers lots of storage space, wine storage and a great workspaces with outside exit. This property is a rare gem and is truly a must see.

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