What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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10433 S 46th Way Phoenix, AZ 85044

$550,000 - 3Br/2Ba -  for Sale in Spanish Mountain Estates, Phoenix
New
$550,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,795 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6787232
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to your Spanish-style dream home, just minutes from South Mountain trails! This single-level beauty features 3 bedrooms, an office/den, and no HOA—because who needs rules? The huge great room w/ a cozy fireplace is perfect for Netflix (or Netflix and wine). Vaulted ceilings make you feel like royalty, and large windows let in tons of natural light so your plants can live their best life too. The dining room has built-in cabinets that scream, ''I'm organized, but I still have room for a bottle of tequila.'' The kitchen has ample counter space, modern appliances & a breakfast nook to enjoy your morning coffee. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities and a walk-in shower because who needs a spa when you've got a shower big enough to house your dreams. Outside, enjoy a enjoy low-maintenance and spacious lot where you can paint your door whatever you like - just remember it is best to make friends with your neighbors if you ever need borrow eggs or milk. Don't miss this opportunity. Grab your hiking boots and come see it today!

4936 E Coronado Road Phoenix, AZ 85008

$550,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,821 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6784981
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2- bathroom home! This property boasts a spacious front and backyard, complete with citrus trees and green plants, a 2-car garage, an RV gate, and a covered patio for outdoor enjoyment. Inside, you'll find tile flooring throughout, with a family room featuring laminate flooring perfect for entertaining guest. The freshly painted interior complements the kitchen's cream-colored cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and an island ideal for enjoying meals. Both bathrooms have been fully remodeled with modern tile backsplashes, glass doors, and sleek black faucets and shower heads, Conveniently located near freeway access, shopping centers, the Phoenix Zoo, and Papago Park, this home offers both comfort and accessibility.

10709 E Knowles Avenue Mesa, AZ 85209

$550,000 - 3Br/3Ba -  for Sale in Villages Of Eastridge Unit 4, Mesa
New
$550,000
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,161 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6787305
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Welcome to this beautifully updated home, offering luxury and comfort at every turn. The spacious kitchen boasts sleek stainless steel appliances and elegant slab granite countertops, making it perfect for both cooking and entertaining. The expansive master suite provides a peaceful retreat with plenty of room to relax. Step outside to your private oasis featuring a sparkling pool. With a 3-car garage, there's ample space for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. This home combines style, space, and functionality—don't miss the chance to make it yours!

2603 S Playa -- Mesa, AZ 85202

$550,000 - 5Br/3Ba -  for Sale in Laguna Shores Amd, Mesa
New
$550,000
5 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,823 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6786635
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
5 BR 2.5 BA single level home in prestigious Laguna Shores of Dobson Ranch. What a find at just under $195/sq ft. The possibilities are endless for a family or investor. From the moment you walk in, you will feel at home w/spacious rooms, a flexible floorplan, & the most private tranquil back yard. Enter thru the double door entry w/formal LR on the Lt & formal DR to the Rt. Down the hall is a half BA, 3 lg secondary BR's, a hall BA, & the primary BR. Primary BA has dual sinks & upgraded tile shower. KIT has been updated with SS appliances & flows into the FR w/wood burning FRPL, lg Bonus Rm & 5th BR (perfect for BR, office, or playroom). French doors lead to the backyard. This home has so many possibilities for any buyer's lifestyle. It is full of charm & warmth w/Saltillo tile floors & baths w/Capelo sinks from Guanajuato. Private backyard w/lush landscaping is ideal for entertaining friends & family. Large grass area w/patios, RV gate, newer A/C's, & roof resealed in 2024. Ample storage, walk-in KIT pantry, & inside laundry w/built-in cabinets. The home is a true bargain, located on one of the most desirable streets in Dobson Ranch. Lake access down the street for your boating adventures. Saratoga Park & Laguna Park around the corner. Dobson Ranch amenities include community pools, clubhouses, pickle ball, planned family activities, 8 lakes, public golf course & library, and easy access to #60 & #101 freeways. This home won't last!

2673 W Ivanhoe Street Chandler, AZ 85224

$550,000 - 3Br/2Ba -  for Sale in Raintree Ranch, Chandler
New
$550,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,794 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6786111
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Prime Location! Close to the 101 & 202, walking distance to Whole Foods, restaurants/shopping. Beautiful home in a lake community w/3 beds, 2 baths, newer AC & water heater, mature landscape & a 2-car garage w/cabinetry. Discover the large living & dining room and the separate family room with a media niche. Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by custom paint & tile flooring t/out for easy maintenance. The kitchen boasts built-in appliances, recessed lighting, a pantry, and ample wood cabinetry. Enter the main bedroom to find a walk-in closet and an ensuite with dual sinks. The Arizona room, with multi-sliding doors merging the inside/outside activities. Two open patios & a citrus tree complete the large backyard. Located in the heart of Chandler - easy access to the Valle

14916 W Piccadilly Road Goodyear, AZ 85395

$550,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
2,962 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6622880
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
$60,000 BELOW RECENT COMP. see MLS#6608783 Welcome to luxury living of Goodyear, nestled within the prestigious guard-gated community of PebbleCreek! As you enter, you're greeted with soaring ceilings in the grand foyer. The Cambria plan revolves around a spacious great room with vaulted ceilings, bar area, chef's kitchen with granite counters, large breakfast area flowing seamlessly to the outdoors. The primary suite is accompanied by a relaxing sitting room, walk-in shower, make-up with a dual sink vanity. This home is ready for your touch! Lastly, step out back to a covered patio and a professionally landscaped low maintenance backyard. The community offers golfing, restaurants, social clubs, fitness center, indoor/outdoor pools, tennis, trails and so much more!

15213 N Cameo Drive Sun City, AZ 85351

$550,000
3 Beds
3 Baths
2,800 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6682424
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY- Welcome to your dream home nestled in the desirable community of Sun City! This stunning property at 15213 N Cameo Dr offers the perfect blend of elegance and relaxation with its prime location overlooking the golf course and serene lake views. Boasting 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, this premium lot home features a spacious layout designed for comfortable living. Step inside to discover a light-filled living space with picturesque views of the lush greenery and tranquil waters. The kitchen is a chef's delight, equipped with modern appliances and ample counter space. Retreat to the master suite, complete with a private en-suite bath and scenic vistas. Enjoy Arizona's outdoor living at its finest in the expansive backyard oasis, where you can soak in the breathtaking sunsets from your Arizona Room/ patio. With its proximity to shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers the ultimate lifestyle experience. Don't miss your chance to own this piece of paradise - schedule your showing today!'

9345 W Pasadena Avenue Glendale, AZ 85305

$550,000
4 Beds
3 Baths
3,136 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6690752
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
PRICE REDUCTION ....This stunning two-story property exudes charm and elegance from the moment you arrive! You'll be greeted by a meticulously manicured front yard and pull into the spacious two-car garage with extension for a 3rd car.Upstairs you will fine the large master suite featuring a bonus room can be a living room or baby room. Also has a large family room.Spacious gourmet kitchen with island, granite countertops and a large pantry. The property is in a fantastic location near restaurants, shopping, and easy access to the freeway. This is a formal model home with lots of upgrades.SELLER IS MOTIVATED.

36843 W Indian School Road Tonopah, AZ 85354

$550,000
4 Beds
2.5 Baths
2,969 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6694104
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Wow, fantastic opportunity to own a residence with 2,969 SqFt of construction on a 1.1-acre lot! The impeccable interior boasts a warm palette, neutral tile flooring, recessed lighting, tall ceilings, and a sizable den ideal for an office or a formal living room. The bright & ample great room promotes a greater traffic flow & maximizes space. This open floor design makes entertaining a bliss! The kitchen features white shaker cabinetry, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and an island with a breakfast bar. The primary bedroom has a full ensuite with a step-in shower, a jetted tub, a dual sink vanity, and a walk-in closet. The vast exterior offers endless landscaping potential to get creative, with room for RVs, a pool, & space for horses to roam. Take a tour today!

7604 W Molly Drive Peoria, AZ 85383

$550,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,882 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6708257
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Beautiful home in the gated community of Rock Springs featuring 3 Bedrooms/Den/2 Bathrooms and Pool! Don't miss this opportunity to purchase this low maintenance, upgraded, modern gem. Located on a corner lot, North/South facing, extended driveway are all exterior bonus features. The interior showcases an open-concept Great Room, modern kitchen with spacious island for entertaining, and recessed entertainment wall. The den or flex-room is located off of the Great Room and the two other bedrooms are split from the Master Bedroom. The upgraded garage has storage cabinets, overhead storage, and space for refrigerator. Energy efficiency and low utilities are other features of this well built home.

17780 W Canto Bonito Lane Surprise, AZ 85387

$550,000
2 Beds
2 Baths
2,019 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6721721
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Your ideal home awaits in the vibrant 45+ community of The Grand. This meticulously maintained Sierra model blends luxury and functionality. Updated in 2019, it features laminate plank flooring and tile in the bathrooms and laundry. The kitchen offers granite countertops, a glass backsplash, a center island, Maytag SS appliances, recessed lighting, and bay windows overlooking the courtyard. The oversized primary bedroom boasts bay windows, a walk-in closet, and a tiled shower with a frameless glass door. Enjoy a split guest bedroom, spacious den, new 2024 HVAC, and North/South exposure. Relax in your private courtyard and explore all The Grand has to offer!

1108 E Carter Drive Tempe, AZ 85282

$550,000
3 Beds
2 Baths
1,396 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6716917
Property Type Single Family Residence
Price Type --
Heated saltwater pool and spa in Tempe! Wood burning fireplace. No HOA. Storage closet in garage. Listing Broker has vested interest in home.

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