What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 26, 2016

Last week’s economic news was abundant with releases on home builder sentiment, housing starts, building permits, sales of previously owned homes. The Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve released its customary statement at the conclusion of its meeting; Fed Chair Janet Yellen also gave a press conference. Weekly readings on new jobless claims and mortgage rates were released as usual.

NAHB: Builder Sentiment Increases in September

Home builder confidence in housing market conditions increased in September according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index. Builder confidence rose five points to 65; analysts expected a reading of 60 based on August’s reading of 59. NAHB said that September’s reading was boosted by more “serious” buyers entering housing markets.

Components used to determine NAHB HMI readings were also higher. Builder confidence in current market conditions rose six points to 71; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months rose by five points to 71. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments rose four points to 48. Buyer traffic readings have not reached 50 since 2005; 50 is a neutral benchmark for NAHB HMI readings.

Home prices continue rising at a higher pace than wages; this is pressuring first-time and moderate income buyers out of the market. An ongoing shortage of available homes is pressing prices higher as demand increases. Analysts pay close attention to the NAHB HMI as building more new homes is a key factor in easing the shortage of homes for sale.

Housing Starts, Building Permits Lower

Commerce Department readings on housing starts and permits issued were lower for August Housing starts were lower in August at 1.142 million starts on a seasonally-adjusted annual pace. Analysts expected 1.182 million housing starts based on July’s reading of 1.212 million starts. Regional readings showed a dip in starts in the South. Severe flooding in Louisiana contributed to the lower reading for housing starts. August’s reading for housing starts was 5.80 percent lower than July’s reading and 0.90 percent lower than for July 2015.

Building permits issued were nearly flat in August; this was likely due to the prime building season winding down 1.139 million permits were issued as compared to 1.144 million permits issued in July. Single-family starts were six percent lower than for July and were 1.20 percent lower year-over-year.

Existing Home Sales Dip: High Demand, Low Supply Cited

Sales of pre-owned homes fell by 0.90 percent in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million sales. Analysts expected a reading of 5.48 million sales; July’s reading for sales of pre-owned homes was 5.38 million sales.

Low inventory of available homes continues to impact housing markets as demand for homes increased and prices rose; the national average home price was $240,000 in August. Rising home prices continued to be driven by high demand and low supplies. These conditions also impacted first-time and moderate income home buyers who were pressured to keep up with rapidly rising home prices.

While mortgage rates remain relatively low, higher home prices and tight mortgage credit requirements remain obstacles for first-time buyers.

Mortgage Rates, Weekly Jobless Claims Lower

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell by two basis points to 3.48 percent; the average rate for a15-year fixed rate mortgage fell on one basis point to 2.76 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was lower by two basis points at 2.80 percent.

Analysts expected new jobless claims to remain flat at the prior week’s reading of 260,000 new claims, but 252,000 new claims were filed for the lowest reading since July. The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 22250 claims to 258,500. The four-week reading is considered a less volatile reading than week-to-week readings.

Federal Reserve: No Increase in Fed Rate

The Federal Open Market Committee said in its post-meeting statement that the target federal funds rate would not be raised. In a press conference given after the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that although the economy continued to improve, the Fed had concerns over the labor market and decided not to raise rates. Any increase in Federal Reserve rates triggers increases in consumer lending rates.

What’s Ahead

This week’s readings include Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, readings on new and pending home sales and weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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4489 N Ocotillo Road Benson, AZ 85602

$2,250,000

5 Beds

4 Baths

3,600 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6746660

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

With irrigated pastures, barns, multiple homes, and the San Pedro River this property is one of a kind. This ranch has 55 acres of irrigated pasture and a 900 gpm irrigation well. Along with two horse barns, shop, clinic, hay storage, working corrals, tack rooms, feed rooms, and more. The ranch is the perfect place to raise cattle or horses in privacy. The 2400 sf home, 1200 sf ranch mangers home, and barn with office/apartment it provides space for all your crew or guests. Just 22 miles from Benson this location is great for expanding your livestock operation. Three domestic wells, a large irrigation well, and a pond supply water to the acreage. This location has an amazing water table and would make a perfect place to grow any crop or raise feed. A 350 acre private lease also available.

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14216 S Canyon Drive Phoenix, AZ 85048

$2,250,000

5 Beds

5 Baths

5,561 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6751901

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Custom estate sitting on nearly 2.5 acres in the prestigious of gated Canyon Reserve community. Stunning mountain views surround the main and guest house on this quiet cul-de-sac. Greeted with high ceilings, arched entryways, travertine floors, and large windows to provide natural lighting in the formal dining, great room with gas fireplace, and office/den with built-in floor to ceiling bookshelves. Chef's kitchen includes stainless steel appliances, kitchen island with additional sink, pantry, and eat-in kitchen. Primary suite includes built-in shelves, fireplace, private seating area, dual sink vanities, oversized shower, separate bathtub, and walk-in custom closet. Entertain family and friends in the backyard's custom pool/spa with expanded pool deck, covered patio, outdoor TV setup, built in BBQ, and exterior fireplace while enjoying your private mountain views and desert landscaping. Additional home features include a 3-car garage and guest house with mini kitchen and full bath. Located near your favorite Ahwatukee hiking, golf, and dining!

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10141 N Mcdowell View Trail Fountain Hills, AZ 85268

$2,250,000

3 Beds

4 Baths

4,479 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6771738

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

A beautiful Fire Rock CC home priced to sell with furniture and finishes included.This well appointed home sets on over an acre and is move in ready.Majestic mountain views and city lights are undeniable through large picture framed windows.Vibrant views of the golf course are also present throughout the home and while enjoying numerous outdoor patios.A designer kitchen with timeless granite countertops with bar and a floor to ceiling Cantera fireplace showcase the great room.The split master suite has it all with mountain and sunset views, privacy, access to the pool/spa and separate study.Pride of ownership shows with many updated systems including the theatre room and backyard pool area with fountains and a rocking Sonos/Pioneer sound system. Live and enjoy the FireRock CC lifestyle!!!

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4822 E Flower Street Phoenix, AZ 85018

$2,250,000

4 Beds

3.5 Baths

3,033 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6759791

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Stunning ranch style renovation/ new build in one of Arcadia's most coveted neighborhoods! Great room w/ vaulted ceilings, custom beams and 2 sets of sliding doors for indoor/ outdoor living. New Andersen windows, European Oak wood floors & custom millwork t/o. Gourmet kitchen w/ quartz island, custom cabinetry, 48'' dual fuel range, leathered granite counters. Beautiful large butler's pantry w/ powder room. Separate media room/ den. Split floor plan w/ formal office and 3 bedrooms/ 2 baths in separate wing. Primary suite w/ vaulted ceilings and sliding doors to covered patio, marble oversized shower and custom walk-in closet. Backyard w/ covered patio & Belgard pavers, plenty of room for pool, Camelback mtn views. New plumbing, electrical, sewer lines, gas lines & 3 new HVAC units.

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9452 E Heritage Trail Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$2,250,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

3,252 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6766268

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Exquisitely Remodeled Single Level DC RANCH Home in (Gated) Desert Haciendas. Rare find that does not come on the market often! Luxuriously Upgraded with Custom Designer Finishes. 3bed, 2.5bath, Den/Media, 3-Car, Soaring 20''ft ceiling w/ Wood Beams, White Oak Hardwood floors, Amazing Gourmet Kitchen, Expansive quartz island, w/Custom Cabinetry, WOLF Range, Newer 48'' SUBZERO, New BOSCH DW, Wine bar, Butler's Pantry! Spa Primary Suite , Marble Shower, Rift wood custom cabinets, w/Custom Double M-Closet w/Built-ins and French door to Backyard Paradise. Enjoy the double French Doors that open to the Courtyard w/ Fireplace. Outdoor areas w/ incredible Stone Finishes, Pool & Raised Spa, Fireplace & Pergola...a ton of Architectural details throughout! Check out this Very Special Home!

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12785 N 135th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85259

$2,250,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

3,431 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6781211

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to an exquisite luxury estate in the esteemed guard-gated community of Scottsdale Mountain. This privately gated property offers a harmonious blend of soft contemporary design, rustic stone accents, and modern lighting, creating an inviting and elegant ambiance. Perched high on an expansive hillside lot, the estate promises breathtaking panoramic views. Inside, every room is a masterpiece of refinement and detail. The gourmet kitchen is every chef's dream with three SubZero units - fridge, freezer, and wine fridge - alongside a built-in Miele coffee center. The spacious island is the ideal gathering spot for family and friends, while the sleek 5-burner induction cooktop adds to the home's contemporary aesthetic. Retreat to your luxurious owner's suite and indulge in breathtaking sunsets or savor your morning coffee with panoramic views from every window. The owner's bath is truly spa-like, boasting modern floating vanities, a massive walk-in shower, and a soaking tub - perfect for unwinding after a long day. Complete with an oversized walk-in closet, the space offers ample storage space that is highlighted by designer lighting. Designed for both relaxation and entertainment, the backyard features a low-maintenance paradise with silver travertine pavers, lush turf, an outdoor kitchen, a ramada, and LED accent lighting. Watch sunsets light up the mountains to the north and take in incredible 180-degree panoramic cityscapes to the south. This expansive lot is also surrounded by Natural Area Open Space (NAOS) to the east, ensuring no neighboring developments disrupt the tranquility. Discover the ultimate luxury living experience at Scottsdale Mountain, where breathtaking views and an active lifestyle converge. This community embodies the quintessential Arizona lifestyle with easy access to a myriad of outdoor activities. Enjoy pickleball, tennis, basketball, and neighborhood events all within the community's gates. Or venture out for a vibrant array of local attractions, including golf, hiking, mountain biking, and horseback riding. With the Lost Dog and Sunrise Trailheads into the McDowell Sonoran Preserve located just outside the community gates, you're just minutes from exceptional scenery and an active lifestyle. Don't miss out on this opportunity to live in one of Scottsdale's most coveted communities, surrounded by natural beauty, while still being close to all that this vibrant city has to offer. Come see why this is more than just a house - it's an experience you won't want to miss!

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8049 E Via Sierra -- Scottsdale, AZ 85258

$2,250,000

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,539 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6781460

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Stunning golf course property with picturesque lakes and the McDowell Mountains in the backdrop. This fully renovated home has it all: a spacious gourmet kitchen featuring a high-end appliances, wine bar and coffee station. The home boasts four bedrooms, including a luxurious master suite, and three beautifully designed bathrooms. Elegant hardwood and marble floors flow seamlessly throughout. Enjoy outdoor living with a private pool, or relax and take in the charm of your neighborhood from the comfort of the front patio. Ample parking space can be added in the front. Ideally located for those who love outdoor activities, dining, and coffee shops, this home is perfectly situated. An exceptional home, designed with unparalleled taste.

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2304 Fox Tail Trail Carefree, AZ 85377

$2,250,000

3 Beds

3.5 Baths

4,202 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6780112

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Desert Oasis: A Custom-Crafted Treasure: Experience the pinnacle of desert living in this exquisite, custom-designed home showcasing spectacular views of Black Mountain and the shimmering city lights. This meticulously appointed residence features 3 bedrooms, 3 ½ baths, and a built-in office, skillfully crafted by the esteemed architect Terry Kilbane. With its adobe style exterior walls, authentic fireplaces, and unique architectural elements, this home is truly one-of-a-kind. Set on two generous lots that back onto NAOS for added privacy and serenity, recent enhancements include a fresh stucco finish and new paint, complemented by elegant brick flooring throughout. Step inside to discover the inviting warmth of hardwood floors, the sophistication of custom wood doors and cabinetry,

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4007 E Montecito Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85018

$2,250,000

5 Beds

4.5 Baths

3,545 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6712091

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Wow! Discover the unparalleled beauty & exquisite craftsmanship of this 5-bedroom new construction in Suncrest Gardens! This 2023 Thomas James home offers over 3,000 SqFt of exceptional luxury with an impressive open floor design & high-end details. Heated pool with fountains and light settings all easily controlled through an app. Tall ceilings, recessed lighting, wood flooring, abundant natural light, and multi-sliding glass doors are features found throughout. The living room has a textured accent wall with a mounted fireplace. Elegance & modernity seamlessly mix in this magazine-cover white kitchen showcasing stacked shaker cabinetry, herringbone tile backsplash, lavish quartz counters, a massive island with w/breakfast bar, and state-of-the-art stainless steel appliances. The bright owner's suite is split & comes with a pristine ensuite comprised of two vanity sinks, a freestanding tub, an oversized walk-in shower with bench, and a walk-in closet. Secondary bedrooms on the main floor share a Jack & Jill bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find a sizable loft and a second primary bedroom with walk-in closet & an immaculate bathroom with a dual vanity & separate tub/shower. The stunning backyard boasts a covered patio, a pebble-tec pool, lush greenery, and an outdoor shower with travertine stone. This beauty has an excellent location with Camelback Mtn. Views, within minutes from restaurants & shopping, and close to major roads. Words don't make this modern farmhouse gem justice. You must see it!

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9327 W Vereda Solana Drive Peoria, AZ 85383

$2,250,000

7 Beds

6 Baths

7,091 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6724854

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This stunning Santa Fe-style north Peoria property, nestled on a serene 1.1-acre lot on a private cul-de-sac, boasts breathtaking mountain views & a host of premium features! The large main house features Energy-efficient solar panels, large 3-car garage & RV gate. Discover the large great room & gourmet kitchen, with plantation shutters & pre-wired surround sound throughout the home. The generous owner's suite offers direct access to the backyard & a luxurious bathroom. A den, teen/Bonus room and 3 large bedrooms make this the perfect family retreat. Outside you will find a sparking pool, putting green, batting cage, grill/outdoor kitchen and sprawling yard perfect for hosting and gathering. The large 3bed/2ba casita with separate entrance and private garage is perfect for extended famil The oversized backyard is an entertainer's dream, featuring a refreshing pool, a covered patio, & putting green for golf enthusiasts. A detached guest house provides additional living space, ample bedrooms, & a fully equipped kitchen, making it perfect for visitors or extended family. This residence is more than a home; it's a lifestyle!

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7056 E Mighty Saguaro Way Scottsdale, AZ 85266

$2,250,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,600 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6760321

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Prepare to be amazed by this one-of-a-kind, custom-rebuilt masterpiece! Completely reimagined with the finest luxurious materials and designer finishes, this home is a true gem unlike anything else Terravita has ever seen! From the moment you step onto the meticulously landscaped entry and pass through the stunning iron front door, you'll know you've found something special. This property feels like a brand-new home thanks to an extensive transformative rebuild, which included expanding rooms, removing walls, and adding entirely new spaces. The gourmet kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a 6-burner Wolf stove, Wolf microwave, Sub-Zero column refrigerator/freezer, dual-zone wine chiller, Cove dishwasher, stunning quartzite island/dining table that comfortably seats up to 10. Custom cabinetry of the highest quality and a chic wet bar add convenience and elegance. The gorgeous primary suite boasts a rockstar worthy custom closet by Elevation Closets, easily convertible back to a bedroom if needed. Guests will be pampered in their own private two-room suite with a separate entrance. The north facing backyard provides ultimate privacy, where you can relax in your Pebble Tec pool. Please see the document section to view the extent of the rebuild and the specific top-tier finishes and features. This is an unparalleled opportunity for discerning buyers who value quality and desire the ease of moving into a show-stopping, like-new home in a world-class resort community with readily available memberships. Live the luxury lifestyle you've been waiting for without the wait!

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3510 E Claremont Avenue Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$2,250,000

6 Beds

4 Baths

3,718 SqFt

Status Active Under Contract

MLS # 6707201

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Nestled in the tranquil back of a cul-de-sac within the prestigious Mirada Los Arcos subdivision of Paradise Valley, this extraordinary property offers breathtaking mountain views in multiple directions. Its prime location places you close to the finest amenities that Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, and Phoenix have to offer, including the scenic Phoenix Mountain Preserve trails, an array of popular restaurants, boutique shops, and top-rated public and private schools. The expansive lot tucked into the back of a gorgeous cul-de-sac provides the perfect opportunity to build your dream home, creating a custom living space that takes full advantage of the stunning natural surroundings. This one-of-a-kind property combines a prime location, stunning views, and exceptional potential. This is an unparalleled opportunity to create a luxurious and personalized living environment in one of the most desirable areas of Paradise Valley.

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